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Mutual Fund Q&A: 
Merger Profits
Author: Ticker Magazine
123jump.com
Last Update: 11:06 AM EDT June 22 2007


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Regina M. Pitaro
  “We know of nothing similar in the marketplace. The fund captures the best of both worlds as it invests both in announced and potential deals with the goal to preserve capital and to make money for clients regardless of the market environment.”
AXA Enterprise Mergers & Acquisitions Fund

In a category that is relatively inaccessible to individual investors, such as the booming mergers and acquisitions market, the AXA Enterprise Mergers & Acquisitions Fund emerges as a viable investment option. Focusing both on announced and potential deals in the U.S. and abroad, the fund is generally diversified across approximately 250 companies in order to capture low-risk returns when the deal is secure or large movements that result from potential takeovers.

 
Q:  What are the core beliefs behind your style of money management?

A: The AXA Enterprise Mergers & Acquisitions Fund is a portfolio with unique structure; we know of nothing similar in the marketplace. The fund captures the best of both worlds as it invests both in announced and potential deals with the goal to preserve capital and to make money for clients regardless of the market environment.

About two-thirds of the fund is invested in announced mergers and acquisitions. When a company announces its intentions to buy another company, we buy the target and hold it until the deal is closed. That is a strategy with a minimal level of risk, which is just above the risk of Treasury Bills, but with higher returns. The investment rationale is that M&A arbitrage is an investment strategy that is not correlated with the equity market. Regardless of the direction of the market, that part of the portfolio is much less volatile, so the risk is lower and the returns are not correlated to the overall market.

The remaining one-third of the portfolio represents companies that we believe could be acquired in the future. We select these companies through a bottomup research process, identify the private market value and look for a catalyst that will surface that value.

Q:  What's the investment strategy and process for achieving those goals?

A: We rely on a team of thirty research analysts that generate and seek out ideas. Each analyst follows specific industries on a global basis regardless of capitalization.

For the announced deals portion of the portfolio, the research process starts after the deal is announced. The initial research involves the spread, the annualized return, the regulatory issues, the financing, the due diligence, the downside if the deal breaks, and the risk. As we analyze the deal, we also look at the buyer, the seller, and the financial conditions. We also look at how the deal is funded and if financing may become an issue. The background is also important; it matters whether it is a friendly or a hostile takeover. The regulatory issues, whether there are overlaps in the business, and whether there are anti-competitive issues, are essential.

The next step is the analysis of risk versus return, which involves the risk in the case that the deal is not successfully completed, the odds of another buyer coming in, and whether the discussions are preliminary or there is a definitive deal. Overall, we look at the potential risk-adjusted return of the announced deals.

We have had over 30 successfully closed deals in the portfolio just in the first quarter of this year. Currently, the spreads on these deals are closely correlated with short-term interest rates. Our goal is to earn two to three times the return on short-term Treasury bills. Our hurdle rate is the short-term Treasury rate, which is around 5%, and we aim to beat that and achieve a 10% to 15% annualized return.

Q:  There are many cross-border deals going on right now. Do you find opportunities there?

A: Yes. According to the prospectus, we can invest up to 20% in non-U.S. stocks and ADRs, and we've been utilizing that opportunity. That has been a very successful portion of the portfolio. For example, last year there was about $3.7 trillion in deal activity globally. Only about $1.4 trillion of that amount was in the U.S. The global deals have been fueled by consolidation in Europe and Asia, and we are taking advantage of those opportunities.

Q:  Do you share the view that in the low interest rate environment, this type of deal making will flourish for years to come?

A: I absolutely agree. With lower interest rates, financing is readily available, and there is an explosion in mergers and acquisitions. Private equity buyers are willing to pay a premium for companies with steady cash flow and predictable business models.

Q:  What's your research process for the potential deals part of the portfolio?

A: The internal research process is bottom- up and company specific. The ideageneration is done by our team of industry analysts who are looking for the companies that could possibly be acquired. For the 30 years that we’ve been in business, we have built certain areas of core competency, which means that we know many companies in those industries. For example, we have a strong base in industrial companies, media, entertainment, broadcasting, cable, and food companies.

The analysts meet with the managements, review the annual and the quarterly reports, and look at any available public information to come up with good ideas. We rely entirely on internal proprietary research, and we don't buy any outside research.

Our valuation methodology includes a long-term analysis of the company’s earnings as we’re not concerned with shortterm fluctuations. We look at the private market value or at the price an informed investor would pay for the assets of the company. We also look at the free cash flow you need to continue operating the business. Then we focus on the management, its style and shareholder sensitivity. Finally, we identify a catalyst that we believe will help to surface those values. In this particular portfolio, the catalyst could be a potential takeover, corporate restructuring or something that would help the stock to go up regardless of the market direction.

The analysts prepare models for each company and each industry, trying to ascertain which companies look less expensive relative to their private market value in the case of an acquisition. Ultimately, we’re trying to own the companies that are selling at a discount of 50% to that value and where there’s a catalyst that could fuel a deal in the next one or two years.

Q:  Could you give us some examples of stock picks in each of the two categories, the potential and the announced deals?
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