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Jump Analysis: 
Retailers Post Sluggish Sales in November
Author: 123jump.com Staff
123jump.com
Last Update: 2:20 AM EST December 10 2007



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Collective net sales gained a strong 10.4% over the month. In October comps fell 0.2% and net sales gained 4.8%. Overall, November results were mixed as merchants blamed the high gas prices and the growing economic concerns. More than half of retailers missed analyst estimates, but strong results by Costco (COST), Macy''s (M), Kohl''s (KSS), Saks (SKS), Jos A. Bank (JOSB) and Buckle (BKE) made it possible for the whole group to record a collective 2.4% gain. The discount retailers and department stores posted some of the best numbers while the specialty retailers missed estimates.

Wal-Mart (WMT) posted a 1.9% increase in U.S. same-store sales, or 1.5% excluding fuel. Comps at the company’s stores rose 1.2%, while Sam''s Club comps advanced 3%.

Costco (COST) reported a stronger-than-estimated 9% increase in November same-store sales, including a 21% gain in international comps.

Saks more than doubled views of 12.2% with a 25.7% increase in sales results.

Target (TGT) said same-store sales rose 10.8%, above the 10.3% Wall Street estimate but on an adjusted basis, same-store sales increased only 1.1%, and the discounter warned that it may not be able to meet its fourth-quarter earnings outlook.

Macy''s (M) reported same-stores sales rose 13.4%, benefiting from colder weather and the calendar shift, which is expected to hurt December figures.

Despite the calendar shift, J.C. Penney Co.''s same-store results missed views, posting a 2.6% gain in its department store business, below the 3.7% view. That calendar quirk is expected to hurt the company’s sales numbers in December and January.

Nordstrom (JWN) enjoyed an 8.7% gain in same-store sales but warned that the calendar shift would depress December sales.

Results at mall-based apparel chains were mostly sluggish. AnnTaylor Stores said same-store sales increased 3.9%, while Gap (GPS) said its November results were flat with a year ago.



2007 SAME-STORE SALES
Company Ticker March April May June July Aug Sep Oct Nov
Apparel Retailers
Abercrombie & Fitch ANF 7.00% -15.00% -5.00% 2.00% -4.00% 6.00% -4.00% -2.00% 2.00%
Aeropostale ARO 15.90% -14.00% 1.90% 0.00% -11.90% 1.7% 1.30% 3.00% 6.00%
AmericanEagle AEOS 20.00% -10.00% 5.00% 8.00% -6.00% 9.00% -2.00% -3.00% 0.00%
AnnTaylor ANN 6.10% -12.80% -4.60% -8.40% -5.00% 2.9% 0.50% -4.20% 3.90%
Bebe BEBE 0.10% -9.00% -3.00% -5.40% -6.30% NA NA NA NA
Buckle BKE 10.70% 1.80% 8.80% 13.30% 7.60% 16.7% 10.90% 14.90% 18.20%
Cato CTR 7.00% -21.00% 2.00% 0.00% -5.00% 2.00% -7.00% -8.00% -6.00%
Chico's CHS 5.20% -7.00% -2.90% -7.30% -6.70% -9.3% -8.30% -10.60% -13.70%
Children'sPlace, The PLCE 7.00% -2.00% 4.00% -4.00% -1.00% 5.00% -3.00% 2.00% 3.00%
Christopher & Banks CBK 0.00% -12.00% 4.00% 3.00% 4.00% 2.00% 1.00% 22.00% 1.00%
CitiTrends CTRN NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Claires CLE 8.00% -6.00% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
DebShops DEBS 6.50% -4.70% 0.20% 1.90% -2.00% 0.2% -3.80% NA NA
Dillards DDS 6.00% -14.00% -2.00% -1.00% -6.00% -5.00% -7.00% -7.00% 1.00%
DressBarn DBRN 12.00% -6.00% NA 2.00% 3.00% NA NA NA
NA
Macy's Inc. FD 2.30% -2.20% -3.30% -2.70% -1.40% 2.4% -2.70% -1.50% 13.40%
Gap GPS 6.00% -16.00% -3.00% -5.00% -7.00% -1.00% -7.00% -8.00% 0.00%
Gottschalks GOT 6.40% -5.40% -3.80% -5.80% -3.90% -7.8% -3.90% -3.00% 0.40%
Gymboree GYMB 9.00% -5.00% NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Hot Topic HOTT 3.40% -9.10% -6.10% -4.00% -7.40% -1.1% -2.90% -4.00% -8.30%
J.C.Penney JCP 10.60% 0.00% -2.00% -1.50% 14.00% -4.00% -4.60% -1.80% 2.60%
Jo-AnnStores JAS NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Jos.A.Bank JOSB 1.40% 7.30% 13.50% 0.40% -6.40% 7.7% 1.40% 1.80% 15.00%
Kohl's KSS 16.80% -10.50% 10.50% -4.90% 0.00% 0.00% -3.20% -3.80% 10.20%
LimitedBrands LTD 8.00% -1.00% 2.00% 3.00% -3.00% -0.6% -4.00% -6.00% -7.00%
MotherWorks MWRK 3.60% -14.80% -3.60% -5.40% -9.40% -3.7% -7.00% -3.90% 0.00%
Nordstrom JWN 15.00% 3.10% 6.30% 2.00% 9.40% 6.00% 3.20% -2.40% 8.70%
Pacific Sunwear PSUN 14.10% -6.50% 6.40% 4.50% -4.60% 9.6% 2.70% -0.80% 2.30%
RossStores ROST 6.00% -7.00% 1.00% 4.00% 1.00% 4.00% 0.00% -1.00% 3.00%
Saks SKS 10.10% 11.70% 37.50% -5.60% 14.90% 18.2% 7.70% 10.60% 25.70%
SteinMart SMRT 8.00% -13.90% 2.50% -2.90% -3.40% -5.2% -9.10% -3.80% -8.90%
TJX TJX 6.00% -1.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 4.00% 2.00% 3.00% 7.00%
Drug Stores
CVS CVS 7.00% 6.10% 6.20% 5.40% NA 1.00% 5.00% 4.60% 4.40%
Walgreen WAG 8.00% 9.20% 6.40% 5.10% 7.20% 6.5% 4.70% 6.90% 4.40%
Wholesale Stores
BJ's Wholesale Club BJ 3.10% -2.10% 4.10% 5.30% 1.50% 1.4% 3.90% 4.80% 7.70%
Costco COST 6.00% 7.00% 7.00% 6.00% 7.00% 2.00% 6.00% 9.00% 9.00%
Family Dollar FDO 5.80% -4.90% 2.50% 1.50% 0.50% 1.00% 0.50% 0.00% -3.40%
Discount Retailers
Target TGT 12.00% -6.10% 5.80% 3.30% 6.10% 6.1% 1.20% 4.10% 10.80%
Wal-Mart Stores WMT 4.00% -3.50% 1.10% 2.40% 1.90% 3.1% 0.80% 0.40% 1.50%
Pier1 Imports PIR NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
Sharper Image SHRP -29.00 -11.00% -8.00% -7.00% -15.00% -16.00% -21.00% -8.00% -8.00%
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Sources: Data collected by 123jump.com and Ticker.com from company press releases, filings and corporate websites.
Market data: BATS Exchange. Inc.

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