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Jump Analysis: 
Muted Sales Growth from Retailers
Author: 123jump.com Staff
123jump.com
Last Update: 2:57 PM EDT July 10 2006



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Amid growing concerns about the rise in gas prices over last year and climbing interest rates, June same-store sales reports by nearly half the retailers missed analyst estimates and fueled economists pessimism for the second half of the year. Major retailers such as Wal-Mart and Gap released disappointing numbers, while a handful of mid-priced retailers, such as Target and J.C. Penney, kept on recording solid growth.

 
Among the companies which released disappointing results, Costco reported same-store sales increase of 6%, vs. expectations of 6.9% gain, while Gap posted a 6% drop, worse than the 5.1% estimate. Home furnishings retailer Pier 1 posted a 18.4% drop, missing views for a decline of 14.1%. Teen retailers posted generally disappointing results, with Abercrombie & Fitch and Pacific Sunwear posting declines, both worse than views. Bucking the trend, Bebe Stores saw a 3.5% growth in line with estimates.
Results at department stores were mixed, with Nordstrom posting a 4.7% gain in same-stores sales, slightly below the 4.9% estimate, while Federated Department Stores Inc. had a 1.7% increase in same-store sales, below the 2.8% estimate. Limited reported a 3% rise in same-store sales, below the estimated 5.1%. But J.C. Penney Co. had a 4.3% gain in same-store sales in its department store business, better than the expected 2.8% increase. Ann Taylor posted a 12.5% growth in June same-store sales, surpassing the 6.1% estimate. At Children''''s Place, same-stores sales rose 14%, better than the 10.8% projected by Wall Street. Dow Jones futures were recently up 26 points, S&P 500 futures rose 2.1 points, and Nasdaq futures rose 2 points




2006 SAME-STORE SALES
CompanyTickerJuneMayAprilMarchFebruaryJanuary
Apparel Retailers
Abercrombie&
Fitch
ANF-4.00% 3.00%6.50%31.00%31.00%33.00%
Aeropostale ARO5.30%-1.10%8.40%-9.30%-5.40%12.30%
AmericanEagleAEOS11.00%11.00%19.00%3.00%6.00%11.30%
AnnTaylorANN12.50%12.00%10.90%0.80%5.60%10.90%
BebeBEBE3.50%1.60%5.70%4.10%1.60%9.80%
BuckleBKE-5.90%-3.80%1.00%-3.70%2.20%3.00%
CatoCTR-3.00%-2.00%2.00%-4.00%-7.00%6.00%
CharmingShoppesCHRSNANANANA11.00%8.00%
Chico'sCHS5.10%7.20%5.40%8.40%5.70%14.60%
Children'sPlace, ThePLCE14.00%18.00%22.00% 6.00%1.00%9.00%
Christopher & BanksCBK10.00% 8.00%13.00%-6.00%-6.00%-3.00%
CitiTrendsCTRN4.30%10.80%21.00%12.80%34.00%22.70%
Claires CLE2.00%4.00%9.00%-3.00%4.00%9.00%
DebShopsDEBS -4.90% 1.40% 4.00% -1.10% 11.60% 11.60%
Dillards DDS -1.00% 3.00% 2.00% -1.00% -2.00% 3.00%
DressBarn DBRN 6.00% 9.00%15.00% 2.00% 7.00% 16.00%
Federated Dept. FD 1.70%9.20% -0.80% 1.00% 1.00% -1.00%
Gap GPS -6.00% -6.00% -3.00% 13.00% 11.00%-1.00%
GottschalksGOT0.30%2.80%0.30%-3.60%2.70% 0.30%
GuessGES11.70% 20.00%22.60%8.10% 8.60%31.00%
GymboreeGYMB9.00%24.00%19.00%10.00%18.00%2.00%
Hot TopicHOTT-3.40%-6.00%-6.50%-12.70%NA-0.70%
J.C. PenneyJCP4.30%11.10%2.60%-1.00%2.30%2.50%
Jo-AnnStoresJAS8.50%-4.20%-5.40%-3.10%-3.70%-3.20%
Jos.A.BankJOSB8.50%7.10%17.80%4.40% 3.30%20.40%
Kohl'sKSS7.10%3.10%13.40%3.70%3.40% NA
LimitedBrands LTD3.00%7.00% 2.00%5.00%5.00%0.00%
Men'sWearhouse MW3.70%5.00%8.80%0.90%NA3.00%
MotherWorks MWRK6.20%5.50%6.60%2.20% 2.20%3.90%
NordstromJWN6.90%7.80%7.30%2.20%4.90%6.00%
Pacific SunwearPSUN-2.70%-2.60%-14.00%-10.90%NA4.90%
Ross Stores ROST5.00%5.00%9.00%4.00% 6.00%6.00%
SaksSKS4.70% 1.10% 2.20% -6.60% 6.00%4.00%
SteinMartSMRT0.90%1.00%NANA-0.40% -0.40%
Talbots TLB NANA10.80%-3.40%-6.00%0.80%
TJXTJX4.00%4.00% 1.00%2.00%1.00%5.00%
Drug Stores
CVSCVSNA8.40% 14.00%9.40%5.90%5.40%
WalgreenWAG 9.00%9.80%2.00%1.40% 5.70%7.40%
Wholesale Stores
BJ's Wholesale ClubBJ-0.10%4.20%2.10%3.10%NA2.00%
CostcoCOST 6.00%10.00%7.00%7.00%8.00%9.00%
Family DollarFDO 3.60%4.50%5.90%1.40%4.40% NA
Shoe Stores
DSWDSWNANA4.20%NA11.60%11.60%
Payless ShoesourcePSSNANANANA1.60%1.60%
FinishLineFINLNA-0.80%NANANANA
Discount Retailers
Target TGT 4.80% 5.70% 10.40% 2.20% 3.60% 5.20%
Wal-Mart StoresWMT1.20%2.30%6.80%1.40%3.20%4.00%
Pier1 ImportsPIR-18.40%-6.60%-2.00%-2.00%-11.00%8.20%
Sharper ImageSHRP-26.00%-36.00%-23.00% -29.00%NA-13.00%
Miscellaneous
BigLotsBLINANANANA6.40% 6.40%
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