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Tim Hortons Inc.(THI)

 
123Jump Rating: - Short-Term Growth   Underwriters: RBC Capital Markets
      Goldman, Sachs & Co.
Status: Priced  
 
Address: 874 Sinclair Rd.
FiledDate: 11/30/2005
  Oakville,
   
  Ontario L6K 2Y1, Canada
Filed Price Range ($): $22.00-24.00
       
Telephone: 905-845-6511 Filed Offer Amount ($ Million): $600.00
       
Fax: 905-845-0265 Shares Offered (Millions): 29
       
Websites: www.timhortons.com Shares Outstanding (Millions): 188.55
       
Management: James Picket, Chair.
IPO Date: 03/24/2006
  Paul House, Pres./Dir./CEO
   
  Cynthia Devine, EVP/CFO
Final Offer Price ($): $23.00
       
Industry: Restaurant Final Offer Size (Millions of Shares): 29.00
       
Employees: 1,400 Final Offer Amount ($ Million): $667.00
       
Competitors: Cara Operations
S-1 Forms:
  Dunkin
   
  McDonald's
 
       
     
     
     
       
 
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Company Links
Executives Products Services
Business Environment

Over the past decade, rising household income and an increase in desire for convenience have led to growth in total expenditures for food-away-from-home and the proportion of total food expenditures allocated to spending on food-away-from-home. The growth in real disposable income combined with the increased time commitments of dual income families is expected to continue.

Foodservice sales in Canada grew by 5.0% in 2004 to $46.8 billion and are expected to surpass $50.0 billion in 2006, according to the Canadian Restaurant and Foodservices Association. The quick service restaurant segment represents 30.0% of the total Canadian foodservice industry and its sales are projected to grow 4.1% in 2006. From 2000 to 2004, the Canadian quick service restaurant segment grew at a 4.1% compound annual growth rate.

In the U.S., the quick service restaurant segment is the largest segment of the restaurant industry. According to the 2005 Technomic Information Service Top-500 Chain Restaurant Report, sales at quick service restaurants in the U.S. were approximately US$159.6 billion in 2004, up 7.5% over 2003, and are projected to increase at a 5.4% compound annual growth rate between 2004 and 2009.

Company Strategy
The Company is the largest quick service restaurant chain in Canada based on systemwide sales and number of restaurants open, with a menu spanning a broad range of categories that appeal to customers throughout the day, such as premium blend coffee, flavoured cappuccinos, specialty and steeped teas, home-style soups, fresh sandwiches and freshly baked goods.

Product/Services Portfolio
The Company’s restaurants operate under a variety of formats. A standard restaurant is a free-standing building ranging in size from 1,400 to 3,090 square feet with a convenient drive-thru window and featuring innovative merchandising techniques designed to capture customers’ senses and generate incremental sales. As of January 1, 2006, the Company had a system of 2,885 restaurants in Canada and the U.S. The Company’s 2,597 restaurants across Canada include 681 non-standard, smaller restaurants in locations such as education (approximately 14% of non-standard restaurants), healthcare (approximately 10% of non-standard restaurants), retail (approximately 11% of non-standard restaurants), offices (approximately 6% of non-standard restaurants), petroleum stations (approximately 5% of non-standard restaurants) and travel (approximately 6% of non-standard restaurants).

The Company’s menu spans a broad range of categories designed to appeal to customers throughout the day, such as premium blend coffee, flavoured cappuccinos, specialty and steeped teas, home-style soups, fresh sandwiches and freshly baked goods, including donuts, bagels, muffins, cookies, croissants and pastries.

The Company’s restaurants sell a wide variety of donuts, as well as Timbits (bite-sized donuts), danishes, cookies, muffins and more. Every month the Company markets a new donut variety as its “product of the month,” such as “melt-in-your-mouth” toffee glazed, caramel cappuccino, triple berry, its chocolate theme and pumpkin spiced glazed donuts.

The Company introduced bagels as a menu item in 1996. Today, according to NPD Canada CREST’s 12 months ended November 30, 2005 report, the Company sells four of every five bagels sold in the quick service restaurant segment in Canada.

The Company originally introduced soup and sandwiches as lunch products in the late 1980s and early 1990s, and launched its branded line called “Tim’s Own” soups and sandwiches in 1998. According to NPD Canada CREST’s 12 months ended November 30, 2005 report, 46.3% of all soup occasions in the Canadian quick service restaurant segment occur at the Company’s system restaurants.

In addition to coffee, other hot beverages the Company’s sell include flavoured cappuccinos, specialty and steeped teas, hot chocolate, “Café Mocha” (hot chocolate, coffee and whipped cream) and “Hot Smoothees” (flavoured caffeine-free hot drinks). The Company’s cold drink offerings range from juices to sodas and iced cappuccinos.

Investment Analysis
In fiscal 2005, sales were $960.3 million, an increase of $115.0 million, or 13.6%, over 2004.

Cost of sales was $834.2 million in fiscal 2005, an increase of $93.0 million, or 12.5% compared to 2004.

Total operating expenses representing primarily rent expense and property costs increased by $15.2 million in fiscal 2005 as compared to 2004, representing an increase of 10.2%.

Interest expense was $18.5 million in fiscal 2005 and $16.3 million in 2004.

Interest income was $4.0 million in fiscal 2005 and $2.8 million in 2004, primarily relating to changes in average cash balances.

In fiscal 2005, comprehensive income was $183.8 million compared to $178.9 million in 2004.

Income Data (Thousand $ Except EPS)
Year Revenues Costs Oper Income Taxes Net Income EPS
2002 1,059,571 826,258 233,313 80,161 132,812 190
2003 1,171,780 892,883 278,897 106,601 156,262 223
2004 1,338,266 1,018,961 319,305 100,735 205,051 293
2005 1,078,168 818,847 259,321 78,767 174,661 250
*As of period Ended December 28, 2003
*As of period Ended October 2, 2005

Balance Sheet Data (Thousand $)

Year

Cash Acct Recv. Inventory Total Cur Assets Total Cur Liability PPE Total Assets LT Debt SH Equity
2003 86,151 92,054 25,786 465,348 295,614 789,995 1,547,023 14,721 842,778
2004 129,301 80,889 35,150 504,508 438,986 909,624 1,756,869 18,062 1,021,689
2005 119,248 85,397 34,673 492,821 1,414,774 1,009,197 1,716,296 19,890 60,144
*As of period Ended October 2, 2005

Cash Flow Summary (Thousand $)

Year

Net Cash-Ops Net Cash-Inv Net Cash-Fin Net Change
2002 146,885 -597,280 460,308 9,549
2003 147,188 -108,041 -39,356 -3,187
2004 400,571 -356,955 507 43,150
2005 168,195 -151,689 -26,164 -10,053
*As of period Ended October 2, 2005
 

 


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