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U.S.Economy: 
GDP Decreases 5.7% in Q1
Author: 123jump.com Staff
123jump.com
Last Update: 10:35 AM ET May 29 2009


Real gross domestic product - the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States - decreased at an annual rate of 5.7% in the first quarter of 2009, according to preliminary estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

 
The following is the unedited transcript of the news release from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.


Real gross domestic product -- the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States -- decreased at an annual rate of 5.7 percent in the first quarter of 2009, (that is, from the fourth quarter to the first quarter), according to preliminary estimates released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter, real GDP decreased 6.3 percent.

The GDP estimates released today are based on more complete source data than were available for the advance estimates issued last month. In the advance estimates, the decrease in real GDP was 6.1 percent(see ""Revisions"").

The decrease in real GDP in the first quarter primarily reflected negative contributions from exports, equipment and software, private inventory investment, nonresidential structures, and residential fixed investment that were partly offset by a positive contribution from personal consumption expenditures (PCE). Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased.

The smaller decrease in real GDP in the first quarter than in the fourth reflected a larger decrease in imports, an upturn in PCE for durable goods, and a smaller decrease in PCE for nondurable goods that were partly offset by larger decreases in private inventory investment and in nonresidential structures and a downturn in federal government spending.

Motor vehicle output subtracted 1.36 percentage points from the first-quarter change in real GDP after subtracting 2.01 percentage points from the fourth-quarter change. Final sales of computers added 0.06 percentage point to the first-quarter change in real GDP after subtracting 0.02 percentage point from the fourth-quarter change.

FOOTNOTE -- Quarterly estimates are expressed at seasonally adjusted annual rates, unless otherwise specified. Quarter-to-quarter dollar changes are differences between these published estimates. Percent changes are calculated from unrounded data and are annualized. “Real” estimates are in chained (2000) dollars. Price indexes are chain-type measures.

This news release is available on BEA’s Web site along with the Technical Note and Highlights related to this release.

BOX

Comprehensive Revision of the National Income and Product Accounts

BEA plans to release the results of the 13th comprehensive (or benchmark) revision of the national income and product accounts (NIPAs), as part of the annual revision on July 31, 2009. More information on the revision is available on BEA’s Web site at www.bea.gov/national/an1.htm, including a link to an article in the March 2009 issue of the Survey of Current Business that discussed the changes in definitions and presentation that will be implemented in the revision and a link to an article in the May Survey that described the changes in statistical methods. The September Survey will contain an article that describes the results of the revision in detail. The Web site also contains links to redesigned PCE table stubs; other revised NIPA table stubs and press release stubs will be available in June.

The price index for gross domestic purchases, which measures prices paid by U.S. residents, decreased 1.0 percent in the first quarter, the same as in the advance estimate; this index decreased 3.9 percent in the fourth quarter. Excluding food and energy prices, the price index for gross domestic purchases increased 1.4 percent in the first quarter, compared with an increase of 1.2 percent in the fourth. The federal pay raise for civilian and military personnel added 0.3 percentage point to the change in the first quarter gross domestic purchases price index.

Real personal consumption expenditures increased 1.5 percent in the first quarter, in contrast to a decrease of 4.3 percent in the fourth. Real nonresidential fixed investment decreased 36.9 percent, compared with a decrease of 21.7 percent. Nonresidential structures decreased 42.3 percent, compared with a decrease of 9.4 percent. Equipment and software decreased 33.5 percent, compared with a decrease of 28.1 percent. Real residential fixed investment decreased 38.7 percent, compared with a decrease of 22.8 percent.

Real exports of goods and services decreased 28.7 percent in the first quarter, compared with a decrease of 23.6 percent in the fourth. Real imports of goods and services decreased 34.1 percent, compared with a decrease of 17.5 percent.

Real federal government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 4.3 percent in the first quarter, in contrast to an increase of 7.0 percent in the fourth. National defense decreased 6.8 percent, in contrast to an increase of 3.4 percent. Nondefense increased 1.0 percent, compared with an increase of 15.3 percent. Real state and local government consumption expenditures and gross investment decreased 2.9 percent, compared with a decrease of 2.0 percent.

The real change in private inventories subtracted 2.34 percentage points from the first-quarter change in real GDP, after subtracting 0.11 percentage point from the fourth-quarter change. Private businesses decreased inventories $91.4 billion in the first quarter, following decreases of $25.8 billion in the fourth quarter and $29.6 billion in the third.

Real final sales of domestic product -- GDP less change in private inventories -- decreased 3.4 percent in the first quarter, compared with a decrease of 6.2 percent in the fourth.

Gross domestic purchases

Real gross domestic purchases -- purchases by U.S. residents of goods and services wherever produced -- decreased 7.5 percent in the first quarter, compared with a decrease of 5.9 percent in the fourth.
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