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Earnings Analysis: 
Deere faces Headlights
Author: 123jump.com Staff
123jump.com
Last Update: 4:20 PM ET August 16 2005



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Investors were disappointed with the lower revenue and earnings guidance for the rest of the year. Deere stock declined 11% dragging other agro-equipment stocks such as Caterpillar and Agco. Company still believes that the farm equipment sales will rise in the near future but not for now.

 
Lower sales forecast and production forecast on dry weather and drought conditions turned Deere & Co stock lower by 11%. The weakness spread to other agro-equipment companies including Caterpillar, Agco and CnH Global.

Deere & Co. reported third quarter earning of $1.58 same as last year on 2 million lower shares. The quarter generated $387 million in earnings vs. $401 million a year ago on 11% higher revenue. Average earnings estimate from analysts for the quarter was $1.90 per share on revenue of $5.62 billion.

The company reported that the fourth quarter farm equipment sales will decline by 13% and for the year will be up 2% on 25% lower production. As a result the company lowered the earnings guidance for the year to $1.4 billion from the previous target of $1.55 to $1.6 billion.
This translates to earnings per share for the full-year to $5.65 to $5.70 significantly lower than the estimates of $6.42 per share.

Drought conditions in the mid-west and weather uncertainty turned the company to revise the outlook lower.
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