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UAL Corporation Third Quarter Earnings Call
Author: Rozalina Destanova
123jump.com
Last Update: 4:53 PM EST November 30 2007

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UAL’s sales rose 7% to $5.5 billion, topping expectations of $5.36 billion. Passenger revenue per available seat mile rose 9.7% as available seat miles dropped 1.5%, its paid miles fell 0.3%, but yields or average fares surged 8.2%. The company cut back available seat miles in North America and Latin America. Costs per available seat mile at United Airlines rose 1.3%, or 5.8% excluding fuel and special items. A drop of 4.5% to 5.5% is expected for available seat miles in North America in Q4.


Investors Question and Answers

 
This summary is based on the third quarter fiscal 2007 earnings call conducted by UAL Corporation (UAUA) on October 23, 2007.

Management:

Chairman, President and CEO: Glenn F. Tilton
VP - IR: Kathryn A. Mikells
EVP and CFO: Frederic F. Brace
EVP and Chief Revenue Officer: John P. Tague
EVP and Chief Customer Officer: Graham W. Atkinson

Key Investors Issues

- EPS were $2.21 a share compared to $1.30 a share last year.
- Net income was $334 million, up from last year''s $190 million.
- Sales rose nearly 7% to $5.5 billion, also topping Wall Street targets of $5.36 billion.

Third Quarter Highlights

The company reported a pre-tax net profit, excluding special items, of nearly $0.5 billion, well over twice the pre-tax profit reported a year ago.

- Net income, excluding special items, was $295 million, increasing by some $132 million, 81% higher than the quarter a year ago, in spite of fuel at around $75 a barrel and a tax rate that was 17 points higher year-over-year.
- Both operating revenues and expenses had special items associated with them this quarter, the effect of which was an increase in GAAP pre-ax net income

- Passenger revenue performance was among the best in the industry, with mainline passenger unit revenue, excluding special items, increasing by 9.7% compared to the third quarter of last year.
- Third quarter CASM was impacted by a non-cash charge for surplus and obsolete maintenance inventory and increased accrued expense for profit-sharing programs that would be paid out to all employees and have been driven by the improved revenue expectations.

Employees have earned over $100 million in profit sharing year-to-date.

Actual payouts will depend on fourth quarter performance.

Operating profit, excluding special items, was $589 million, almost double that of the previous year.

- With an operating margin of 10.7%, the company improved upon the strong margins achieved last quarter.
- In addition, the company generated operating cash flow of $342 million, $211 million higher than a year ago.
- Strong cash flow distinctive to United flow allows reinvesting in the business, reduce debt, and consider shareholder-friendly options.

The company had a one-time non-cash credit to passenger revenue of $45 million related to the final resolution of certain administrative claims from restructuring.

The company had $22 million in restructuring-related cost reduction.

Net profit is after applying a tax rate of 41%.

This tax rate was a couple of points higher than the rate used to develop the consensus, this means that outperformance of consensus was greater than it would appear at first flush.

- In the third quarter of 2006, the company had a tax rate of 24%. The third quarter of last year was the first time the company booked a tax expense since emergence. That expense was based on year-to-date pre-tax income and resulted in a lower effective tax rate. With that being said, despite the large increase in the tax rate, net income grew by $132 million or 81% year-over-year.
- Tax expense should be viewed primarily as a non-cash item. Due to large NOL balance, the company anticipates paying only minimal cash taxes for the foreseeable future.

The impact of Mileage Plus accounting was modest.

- The fresh-start accounting methodology cost $35 million in revenue versus the previous method, which was more than offset by a $50 million revenue benefit from the change to the expiration period for miles from 36 to 18 months.
- Net-net, the effect of Mileage Plus accounting changes resulted in passenger revenues increasing by $15 million.
- On a year-over-year basis, these accounting changes resulted in revenues increasing by $32 million. Passenger unit revenues came in above guidance.
- The company had the one-time special credit to passenger revenue of $45 million. September core revenue performance was stronger than expected, higher by approximately $50 million.

Cargo and other revenue of $438 million came in above the top end of guidance.
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