10-K 1 d10k.htm ANNUAL REPORT Annual Report
Table of Contents

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

Form 10-K

 

x ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2006

Or

 

¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Commission file number 1-10239

PLUM CREEK TIMBER COMPANY, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Organized in the State of Delaware   I.R.S. Employer Identification No.
  91-1912863

999 Third Avenue, Suite 4300

Seattle, Washington 98104-4096

Telephone: (206) 467-3600

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Title of Each Class

  

Name of Exchange on Which Registered

Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share    New York Stock Exchange

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:    None

Indicate by a check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.    Yes  x    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.    Yes  ¨    No  x

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports) and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  x    No  ¨

Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S–K (§229.405 of this chapter) is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10–K or any amendment to this Form 10–K.  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer.

Large accelerated filer  x        Accelerated filer  ¨        Non-accelerated filer  ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).    Yes  ¨    No  x

The aggregate market value of the voting common stock held by non-affiliates based on the closing sales price on June 30, 2006, was $6,334,950,883. For this calculation, all executive officers, directors and stockholders owning more than 5% of the outstanding common stock have been deemed affiliates. Such determination should not be deemed an admission that such executive officers, directors and stockholders are, in fact, affiliates of the registrant.

The number of outstanding shares of the registrant’s common stock as of February 20, 2007, was 177,306,080.

DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE

List hereunder the following documents if incorporated by reference and the Part of the Form 10–K (e.g., Part I, Part II, etc.) into which the document is incorporated:

Portions of the Proxy Statement for registrant’s 2007 Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held on May 2, 2007, are incorporated by reference into Part III of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

 



Table of Contents

PLUM CREEK TIMBER COMPANY, INC.

ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 10-K

For the Fiscal Year Ended December 31, 2006

TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

Part I     
Item 1.    Business      3
Item 1A.    Risk Factors      15
Item 1B.    Unresolved Staff Comments      19
Item 2.    Properties      19
Item 3.    Legal Proceedings      19
Item 4.    Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders      20
Part II     
Item 5.    Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities      22
Item 6.    Selected Financial Data      25
Item 7.    Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations      26
Item 7A.    Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk      46
Item 8.    Financial Statements and Supplementary Data     
  

Plum Creek Timber Company, Inc.

     47
  

Plum Creek Timberlands, L.P.

     84
Item 9.    Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure      119
Item 9A.    Controls and Procedures      119
Item 9B.    Other Information      119
Part III     
Item 10.    Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance      120
Item 11.    Executive Compensation      120
Item 12.    Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters      120
Item 13.    Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence      120
Item 14.    Principal Accounting Fees and Services      120
Part IV     
Item 15.    Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules      121
Index to Exhibits      122


Table of Contents

Part I

When we refer to “we,” “us,” “our,” “the company” or “Plum Creek,” we mean Plum Creek Timber Company, Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries. References in Items 1 through 7 to Notes to Financial Statements refer to the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements of Plum Creek Timber Company, Inc. included in Item 8 of this form.

ITEM 1. BUSINESS

Industry Overview

GENERAL

The timber industry provides raw material and conducts resource management activities for the paper and forest products industry, including the planting, fertilizing, thinning, and harvesting of trees and the marketing of logs. Logs are marketed and sold either as sawlogs to lumber and other wood products manufacturers or as pulplogs to pulp and paper manufacturers or producers of oriented strand board (OSB). The timber industry possesses several unique characteristics that distinguish it from the broader paper and forest products industry, which we believe makes timber an attractive asset class, including the following:

Renewable Resource. Timber is a growing and renewable resource that, when properly managed, increases in volume and value as it grows over time. Larger diameter trees command a higher price than smaller trees because they may be converted to higher value end-use products such as lumber and plywood.

Predictable and Improving Growth Rates. Predictable biological growth is an attractive feature of timberland assets because it contributes to predictable, long-term harvest planning. The development and application of intensive forest management practices continue to improve biological growth rates.

Harvest Flexibility. Timberland owners have some flexibility to increase their harvests when prices are high and decrease their harvests when prices are low, allowing timberland owners to maximize the long-term value of their growing resource base.

Historical Price Appreciation. Due to growing demand combined with limitations on supply caused by, among other factors, environmental restrictions and urban sprawl, prices for softwood timber have exhibited a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4% from 1982 through 2006.

SUPPLY AND DEMAND DYNAMICS

There are five primary end-markets for most of the timber harvested in the United States: products used in new housing construction; products used in the repair and remodeling of existing housing; products for industrial uses; raw material for the manufacture of pulp and paper; and logs for export.

Supply. Timber supply can fluctuate based upon a variety of factors. The supply of timber is limited, to some extent, by the availability of timberlands. The availability of timberlands, in turn, is limited by several factors, including government restrictions relating to environmental regulation and land use, alternate uses such as agriculture, and expansion of population centers. The large amounts of capital and length of time required to create new timberlands also limits timber supply.

Over the long-term, timber supply increases when modern forestry techniques increase productivity of timberlands and when some marginal agriculture lands revert to timberlands or are planted as forests for conservation purposes. In certain regional markets, log supply can expand when log imports increase relative to log exports.

Demand. The demand for timber is directly related to the underlying demand for pulp and paper products, lumber, panel and other wood related products. The demand for pulp and paper is largely driven by general macroeconomic conditions, including population growth, per-capita income levels, and industry capacity. The demand for lumber and manufactured wood products is affected primarily by the level of new residential construction activity and repair and remodeling activity, which, in turn, is impacted by changes in general economic and demographic factors, including population, interest rates for

 

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home mortgages and construction loans. The demand for United States timber is also impacted by the amounts of pulp and paper products, lumber, panel and other wood products that are imported into the United States. Significant factors determining the volume of products shipped into the United States by foreign producers are currency valuation shifts as well as tariffs and quotas.

Our Business

We are the largest private timberland owner in the United States, with 8.2 million acres of timberlands located in 18 states. Our timberlands are well diversified, not only geographically, but also by species mix and age distribution. Growth rates vary depending on species, location, age and forestry practices. We manage our timberlands in two business segments: the Northern Resources Segment, consisting of timberlands in Maine, Michigan, Montana, New Hampshire, Oregon, Washington, West Virginia and Wisconsin; and the Southern Resources Segment, consisting of timberlands in Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina and Texas. In addition, our Other Segment includes our natural resource businesses that focus on opportunities relating to mineral extraction, natural gas production and communication and transportation rights of way resulting from our extensive property ownership. The Real Estate Segment comprises our sales of higher and better use timberlands and sales of non-strategic timberlands, some of which are sold through our wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries. Our Real Estate Segment includes development of certain properties, internally and through joint ventures, which is conducted through our wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries.

Our Manufactured Products Segment, also conducted through our wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries, includes four lumber mills, two plywood plants, two medium density fiberboard (“MDF”) facilities, and two lumber remanufacturing facilities. These facilities, strategically located near our timberlands in Montana, convert logs to lumber, plywood and other wood products, and convert chips, sawdust and wood shavings to MDF. The Manufactured Products Segment also has established a network of nation-wide field inventory points where inventory is held for customers at either independent public warehouses or on consignment at customer distribution centers.

OUR VALUE GROWTH STRATEGY

We seek to maximize the value of our assets by harvesting trees or selling land only when they have achieved optimal economic value. Our value growth strategy is guided by specific operating objectives, including maximizing the value of our current timberlands through intensive forest management and optimizing our resource base through acquisitions and divestitures, and practicing environmentally responsible resource stewardship. Our value growth strategy includes the following key elements:

Focus on Maximizing the Value of Our Resource Base Through Intensive Management of Our Timberlands. We view our core timber resource base as a renewable asset with substantial inherent value. We seek to manage our timberlands in a manner that optimizes the balance among current cash flows, the biological growth of our timber and prudent environmental management. Our management approach employs advanced forest management practices, including the use of a computerized timber inventory system, thinning and fertilization, and the development and use of genetically improved seedlings. Tree growth rates vary by region because of differences in weather, climate and soil conditions. Newly-planted seedlings take 20 to 30 years to reach harvest maturity in the Southern United States, 45 to 60 years in the Northwestern United States, 45 to 70 years in the Northeastern United States and 70 to 90 years in inland regions of the Western United States, depending on the desired product.

Pursue Acquisitions of High-Quality Timberlands. The United States timber market is highly fragmented. We believe that there will continue to be timberland acquisition opportunities due to the desire among some paper and forest product companies to sell their timberland assets and the difficulties faced by some small timberland owners in efficiently managing their timberlands. We believe we are well positioned to compete for high-quality timberlands because:

 

 

We are an attractive strategic partner for integrated forest products companies seeking to sell their timberlands because we do not compete with their pulp or paper manufacturing operations and we are willing to enter into long-term supply agreements;

 

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We can structure acquisitions on a tax-efficient basis through the issuance of common stock, limited partnership interests in our operating partnership, or installment notes, giving sellers the ability to defer some or all of the taxes otherwise payable upon a sale;

 

 

The geographic reach of our operations enhances our awareness of new acquisition opportunities and our knowledge of environmental concerns, market dynamics, timber productivity and other factors important in valuing timberlands and operations in each region;

 

 

Our reputation for prudent environmental management makes us attractive to sellers concerned with continued environmentally responsible forest management; and

 

 

We maintain a conservative capital structure, which provides the flexibility to ensure ready access to capital.

Our disciplined acquisition strategy has allowed us to expand and diversify our timberland holdings, as well as increase our cash flow. Since 1989, we have increased our timber holdings from 1.4 million acres to approximately 8.2 million acres at December 31, 2006. These acquisitions have enhanced our operating flexibility and reduced our exposure to regional timber market fluctuations. Our strategy is to continue to make strategic acquisitions that are accretive to cash flow.

Realize the Value of Selected Properties Through Sale or Exchange. At the same time that we pursue timberland acquisitions, we continually review our timberland portfolio to identify properties that are no longer strategic to our long-term timberland operations or that may have higher and better uses other than as commercial timberlands. We estimate that included in the company’s approximately 8.2 million acres of timberlands are about 1.7 million acres of higher and better use timberlands, which are expected to be sold and/or developed over the next 15 years for residential, recreational or conservation purposes. In addition, the company has approximately 400,000 acres of non-strategic timberlands, which are expected to be sold over the next five years. In the meantime, these timberlands continue to be used productively in our business of growing and selling timber. Included within the 1.7 million acres of higher and better use timberlands are approximately 225,000 acres that will be developed by the company’s wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries. Properties developed internally by the company will generally be low-intensity development limited to obtaining entitlements and investing in infrastructure such as roads and utilities. Larger and more complicated projects, such as destination resorts and master planned communities, will be developed through joint venture arrangements in which we are the minority partner and our involvement is limited to selling and/or contributing timberlands and exercising certain protective rights. Our real estate development business is conducted through our wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries.

We may sell or exchange timberlands that have high environmental or other public values and reinvest in timberlands that are more suitable for commercial timber management. In addition, we may sell conservation easements that limit development rights, but ensure that the timberlands will be maintained as a working forest in perpetuity. We may also sell or exchange less strategic timberlands to other forest products companies or non-industrial investors.

Capture the Value of Non-timber Resources on Our Properties. As part of our resources business, we focus on realizing the maximum value potential of our extensive property ownership, including opportunities relating to mineral extraction. Our strategy involves forming strategic alliances with industry specific leaders to identify and pursue such opportunities.

Practice Responsible Environmental Forestry. We believe that environmentally sound management practices contribute to our growth in value by providing greater predictability in the management of our assets. We follow the principles of the Sustainable Forestry Initiative® program (“SFISM”) which are aimed at the sound management of all natural resources, including soils, air, watersheds, fisheries and wildlife habitats. These principles are reflected in our habitat planning efforts, which have led to the implementation of five major habitat conservation agreements under which we manage approximately 1.9 million acres of our timberlands. Our forestry practices on all of our timberlands have been independently audited and certified by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP under the SFISM program. Our manufacturing practices follow a set of internally developed environmental principles. See “Federal and State Regulations” below.

 

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ACQUISITIONS AND DISPOSITIONS

The table below summarizes significant acquisitions and dispositions by Plum Creek (dollars in millions):

 

     2006A      2005B      2004C
 

Acquisitions

            

Purchase Price

   $         111      $         501      $          66

Acres

   98,000      754,000      78,000

Dispositions

            

Acres

     112,000        232,000        377,000
 

 

A Acquired timberlands consist primarily of 88,000 acres located in Oregon. Dispositions included 57,000 acres located in the Northern Resources Segment and 55,000 acres in the Southern Resources Segment.

 

B Acquired timberlands primarily consist of 650,000 acres located in Northern Michigan, 52,000 acres located in Arkansas, and 50,000 acres located in Florida. Dispositions included 63,000 acres located in the Northern Resources Segment and 169,000 acres in the Southern Resources Segment.

 

C Acquired timberlands are located primarily in Arkansas and Maine. Dispositions included 310,000 acres located in the Northern Resources Segment and 67,000 acres in the Southern Resources Segment.

Segment Information

Certain financial information for each business segment is included in Note 14 of the Notes to Financial Statements and is incorporated herein by reference.

NORTHERN RESOURCES SEGMENT

As of December 31, 2006, the Northern Resources Segment encompassed 4.0 million acres of timberlands in Maine, Michigan, Montana, New Hampshire, Oregon, Washington, West Virginia and Wisconsin, and contained an estimated 126 million tons (43 million cunits) of standing timber. Consistent with industry practices in the North, Plum Creek’s estimated inventory of standing timber includes deductions for visible and hidden defect. Furthermore, Plum Creek’s estimated inventory includes volumes in environmentally sensitive areas, where we defer harvest until conditions permit the removal of trees without adversely affecting the environment.

Logs harvested in the Northern Resources Segment are sold predominately to domestic mills. Competitors in the domestic log market include the United States Forest Service, the Bureau of Land Management, the Bureau of Indian Affairs, the British Columbia Ministry of Forests, and numerous private individuals, domestic and foreign industrial timberland owners, and state agencies located in the regions in which we operate. In the Northern Resources Segment, domestic wood and fiber consuming facilities tend to purchase raw materials within a 200-mile radius due to transportation costs. Competitive factors within a market area generally will include price, species, grade, quality, proximity to wood consuming facilities and the ability to consistently meet customer requirements. We compete based on price and on our reputation as a stable and consistent supplier of well-merchandised, high-quality logs.

 

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The Northern Resources Segment has several log supply agreements. In general, the agreements require us to supply a specified volume of timber to certain manufacturing facilities in the U.S. and Canada. We had the following supply agreements in the Northern Resources Segment as of December 31, 2006:

 

Company    Product Type      Price      Expiration Date
 

Stimson Lumber Company

   Sawlogs      Market Prices      December 31, 2007

Roseburg Forest Products  

   Sawlogs      Market Prices      December 31, 2007

Swanson Group, Inc.A

   Sawlogs      Market Prices      November 15, 2021

Sappi, Ltd.B

   Pulpwood      Market Prices      November 30, 2023

D&G Forest Products, Ltd.C

   Sawlogs      Market Prices      May 31, 2008

Escanaba Paper CompanyC

   Pulpwood      Market Prices      December 31, 2016
 

 

A May be mutually extended for five years.

 

B May be extended for 15 years at the option of Sappi, Ltd.

 

C May be mutually extended for three years.

During 2006, approximately 26% of the timber harvested in our Northern Resources Segment was sold pursuant to a supply agreement. We expect this percentage to be approximately 23% during 2007. The volume commitments under these supply agreements may restrict our ability to sell timberlands in certain areas within our Northern Resources Segment.

SOUTHERN RESOURCES SEGMENT

As of December 31, 2006, the Southern Resources Segment consisted of 4.2 million acres of timberlands (including approximately 309,000 acres of leased land) located in the states of Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina and Texas, and contained an estimated 156 million tons (44 million cunits) of standing timber. Consistent with industry practices in the South, Plum Creek’s estimated inventory of standing timber includes deductions for visible defect. Furthermore, Plum Creek’s estimated inventory includes volume in environmentally sensitive areas, where we defer harvest until conditions permit the removal of trees without adversely affecting the environment.

Logs in the Southern Resources Segment are sold to third party mills producing a wide array of forest products, including manufacturers of lumber, plywood, oriented strand board, and pulp and paper products. We compete with numerous private and industrial timberland owners as well as federal and state agencies across the Southern United States. Due to transportation costs, domestic wood and fiber consuming facilities in the Southern Resources Segment tend to purchase raw material within a 100-mile radius. Competitive factors within our Southern Resources Segment include price, species, grade, quality, proximity to wood consuming facilities and the ability to consistently meet customer requirements. We compete based on our reputation as a stable and consistent supplier of well-merchandised, high-quality logs, and on price.

The Southern Resources Segment has several log supply agreements. In general, the agreements require us to supply a specific volume of timber to certain manufacturing facilities in the U.S. We had the following supply agreements in the Southern Resources Segment as of December 31, 2006:

 

Company    Product Type      Price      Expiration Date
 

Georgia-PacificA

  

Sawlogs and Pulpwood

    

Market Prices

    

December 31, 2010

West Fraser (South), Inc.B

  

Sawlogs

    

Market Prices

    

December 31, 2015

Graphic Packaging Corp.C

  

Pulpwood

    

Market Prices

    

October 18, 2016

 

 

A Subject to an automatic 10-year renewal period unless either party delivers a timely termination notice.

 

B May be renewed for five-year periods upon mutual consent of both parties.

 

C May be extended up to an additional 10 years by either party.

 

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During 2006, approximately 18% of the timber harvested in our Southern Resources Segment was sold pursuant to a supply agreement. We expect this percentage to be approximately the same during 2007. The volume commitments under these supply agreements may restrict our ability to sell timberlands in certain areas within our Southern Resources Segment.

REAL ESTATE SEGMENT

We estimate that included in our 8.2 million acres of timberlands are approximately 1.7 million acres of higher and better use timberlands and about 400,000 acres of non-strategic timberlands. The higher and better use timberlands are expected to be sold over the next 15 years for residential, recreational or conservation purposes. The non-strategic timberlands are expected to be sold over the next five years. Until the properties are sold, they will continue to be used productively in our business of growing and selling timber.

Included within the 1.7 million acres of higher and better use timberlands are approximately 225,000 acres that may be developed by the company. Projects developed internally by the company will generally be low-intensity development limited to activities associated with obtaining entitlements and investing in infrastructure, such as roads and utilities. Larger and more complicated projects, such as destination resorts and master planned communities, will be developed through joint venture arrangements with leading land developers. Our real estate development business is conducted through our wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries. We compete with numerous sellers of entitled and unentitled land in hundreds of local markets.

We have identified approximately 95,000 acres with an estimated 125 properties that we expect to develop internally over the next 15 years. At December 31, 2006, we had 13 internal development properties, or approximately 3,600 acres entitled and an additional 32 properties, or approximately 24,000 acres, in the planning process. Listed below is a summary of our entitled or developed properties as of December 31, 2006:

 

Project Status

Location

(County, State)

   Year Sales
Begin
     Total Acres      Acres
Sold
A
    

Average

Selling
Price Per Acre

 

ENTITLED OR DEVELOPED PROJECTS

                 

Piscataquis, ME

   2002      450      395      $  16,380

Lake, MT

   2006      436      124      22,612

Flathead, MT

   2006      531      447      8,523

Flathead, MT

   2006      932      89      6,855

Lincoln, MT

   2007      222          

Wayne, GA

   2006      17          

Newton, GA

   2007      396          

Oconee, GA

   2007      459          

Lamar, MS

   2006      402      37      11,211

Oneida, WI

   2005      47      20      11,325

Langlade, WI

   2006      611      9      4,597

Price, WI

   2006      121      22      3,300

Adams, WI

   2007      40          
                     
        4,664      1,143     
                     

PROJECTS ENTIRELY SOLD

                 

Butts, GA

   2006      305      305      $    4,328

Newton, GA

   2006      413      413      12,349

Greene, GA

   2006      354      354      15,759

Lake, MT

   2006      140      140      6,200

King, WA

   2006      1,905      1,905      22,372

Wood, WI

   2006      469      469      4,125
                     
        3,586      3,586     
                     
 

 

A Acres Sold represents sales since inception of the project.

The company estimates that approximately 130,000 acres will be developed through joint venture arrangements over the next 15 to 20 years. At December 31, 2006, we have entered into six joint venture arrangements with land developers for three

 

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projects in northeast Florida, two in southeast Georgia, and one in South Carolina. The six joint venture arrangements cover approximately 26,000 acres. The actual developable acres will be less and will depend upon numerous factors including, but not limited to, zoning restrictions, wetlands, and governmental approvals. We expect these joint venture arrangements will each take from five to fifteen years to complete all entitlement, development and sales activities. We do not expect significant revenues from these joint ventures during 2007.

Listed below is a summary of our joint venture arrangements as of December 31, 2006 (dollars in millions):

 

Location (County, State)   

Expected
Year of
Initial

ClosingA

    

Total

AcresB

     Phase(s)     

Non-
Contingent
Purchase

PriceC

     Expected
Participation
Timeline
 

Volusia, Florida

   2007      7,080      5      $    16       until 2017

Alachua, Florida

   2008      1,785      4      $     8       until 2015

St. John, Florida

   2009      3,590      5      $    15      until 2020

Glynn, Georgia

   2007      1,360      3      $     8       until 2015

Camden, Georgia

   2009      10,105      4      $    16       until 2019

Berkeley, South Carolina

   2007      2,035      1      $     8       until 2011
 

 

A Year land is expected to be sold to the joint venture. This represents the year of initial transfer for projects with multiple phases.

 

B Actual development acreage will depend upon final approval(s).

 

C Total proceeds for all phases in connection with sale of land to joint ventures. Does not include contingent consideration associated with future lot sales.

MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS SEGMENT

Lumber. We produce a diverse line of softwood lumber products, including common, select and edge-glued boards, studs and finger-jointed studs. Lumber products manufactured in our two Montana random-length board mills and remanufacturing facility in Idaho are targeted to domestic lumber retailers, such as retail home centers for use in repair and remodeling projects. Lumber from our two Montana studmills and finger-joint stud remanufacturing plant are targeted to contractor distribution yards for use in home construction. These lumber products are also sold to stocking distributors who serve a wide variety of end uses.

Competition in our lumber markets is based on price and quality and, to a lesser extent, the ability to meet delivery requirements on a consistent long-term basis and to provide specialized customer service. We compete in domestic lumber markets with many United States, Canadian and European producers. In the past few years, Canadian lumber producers have increased their penetration into the United States market due to their lower wood fiber costs. Competition from European lumber producers varies from year to year and is significantly impacted by changes in currency exchange rates and ocean freight rates. The lumber market is also subject to competition from substitute products, such as products made from engineered wood composites, fiber/cement composites, plastics and steel.

Our lumber and plywood mills produce residual wood chips, sawdust and planer shavings as by-products of the conversion of logs into finished products. The wood chips are sold to regional paper and pulp mills or used in our MDF facilities, which also consume the sawdust and shavings.

Plywood. Our two plywood plants in western Montana produce high-grade softwood plywood that we sell primarily into domestic specialized industrial markets, including boat, recreational vehicle, transportation and concrete forming applications. Our plywood products are generally of higher quality than commodity construction grade products and generally command higher prices in these specialty markets. While some plywood products are sold directly to large industrial customers, the majority is sold via stocking wholesale distributors. During 2006, we sold approximately 6% of our plywood in Canada. See “Lumber” above for a discussion of residual wood chips.

 

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Competition within the plywood market is based primarily on price and quality and, to a lesser extent, the ability to offer a full line of products and meet delivery requirements on a consistent, long-term basis. The domestic plywood market is characterized by numerous large and small producers and is also subject to competition from oriented strand board (OSB), a less expensive structural wood panel used primarily in commodity construction markets. Due to its low cost, OSB has now captured over 62% of the structural panel market, and this percentage is expected to increase over the next several years as additional oriented strand board plants are built or existing facilities are expanded. This trend has forced closure of marginal plywood capacity over the past several years. To improve operating performance, some commodity plywood manufacturers have refocused their products toward the specialty plywood market, resulting in increased competition in the markets we serve. Recently, competition from imported South American plywood has also impacted the high-grade sanded plywood market. We expect to remain competitive due to our strong customer base, extensive experience in industrial markets, supply of superior quality timber, and reputation for high-quality products.

Medium Density Fiberboard. Our MDF facilities in western Montana supplies high-quality MDF to a wide range of customers throughout North America. Some of the more common uses for our MDF include furniture and cabinet components, architectural moldings, doors, store fixtures, core material for hardwood plywood, commercial wall paneling and substrate for laminate flooring. Our MDF facilities have a combined capacity of approximately 275 million feet  3/4 basis. In 2006, both lines operated near full production capability yielding a combined output of approximately 265 million feet  3/4 basis. During 2006, we sold approximately 9% and 4% of our MDF in Canada and Mexico, respectively.

Outside North America, the MDF industry has undergone dramatic growth in terms of productive capacity and demand for its products. Manufacturers compete on a global scale on the basis of price, quality, service and the availability of specialty products. Additionally, MDF is a ready substitute for solid wood, hardboard and hardwood plywood in specific applications. Competition in the North American MDF industry has continued to intensify due to imports from New Zealand, Asia and South America. In addition, the continuing shift of end product production to offshore manufacturing, as has been seen with certain types of furniture from China and moldings from South America, continues to negatively impact the North American MDF industry.

OTHER SEGMENT—NATURAL RESOURCES

We focus on realizing the maximum value potential of our extensive property ownership, including opportunities relating to mineral extraction, natural gas production and communication and transportation rights of way. This segment represents a diverse array of natural resource products and markets subject to widely varying forms and levels of competition. Our strategy involves forming strategic alliances with industry specific leaders to identify and pursue such opportunities. We currently receive royalty revenue from the extraction of oil, gas, and minerals from some of our timberlands.

We continue to evaluate a wide variety of non-timber natural resource opportunities, and we expect to continue to negotiate royalty arrangements, leases and joint ventures to capture the maximum value for all of our non-timber natural resource assets.

Timber Resource Management and Environmental Stewardship

RESOURCE MANAGEMENT

We view our timberlands as assets with substantial inherent value. We strive to manage them in an economically prudent and environmentally responsible manner to enhance their value. We seek to enhance value by improving the productivity of our forests, controlling harvesting costs, and sorting and merchandising logs to obtain their highest value.

We use different management techniques in each of our regions, employing a variety of the most cost effective silvicultural methods available. We expect timber growth rates on our timberlands to continue to improve over time as a result of genetic advances in seedlings, intensive forest management practices such as thinning and fertilization, and the increasing proportion of our timberlands that are converted from natural forests to actively managed plantations. Technology and forest management advances have increased growth rates and shortened harvest cycles. We believe our focus on intensive management practices will enhance forest productivity and increase the value of our timberlands over time.

Value can be enhanced on younger timber stands through thinning operations. Value increases as trees grow and add wood volume. Thinning a timber stand enables the healthier and potentially more valuable trees to grow more rapidly. As trees grow larger, they can be used in higher value applications such as high-grade lumber, plywood, and furniture. We also

 

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consider the impact of forest management activities on properties with potentially higher and better uses other than long-term timber production, and modify silviculture and harvest plans accordingly.

Intensive silvicultural applications, including the use of genetically improved seedlings, early and mid-rotation applications of fertilizers and chemicals to control plant competition, and pre-commercial thinning, will continue to enhance the growth and value of our timberlands. These projects improve not only the growth of the forests, but enhance the quality of the wood grown, reduce future harvesting costs, and shorten the length of harvest rotations.

It is our policy to ensure that every acre harvested is promptly reforested. Based on the geographic and climatic conditions of the harvest site, harvested areas may be regenerated naturally by leaving mature trees to reseed the area. Natural regeneration methods are used on a substantial portion of our timberlands in the Northern Resources Segment. In the Southern Resources Segment, substantially all reforestation is done by planting.

Forests are subject to a number of natural hazards, including damage by fire, hurricanes, insects and disease. Severe weather conditions and other natural disasters can also reduce the productivity of timberlands and disrupt the harvesting and delivery of forest products. While damage from natural causes is typically localized and would normally affect only a small portion of our timberlands at any one time, these hazards are unpredictable and losses might not be so limited. The size and diversity of our timberlands, together with our intensive forest management, should help to minimize these risks. Consistent with the practices of other large timber companies, we do not maintain insurance against loss to standing timber on our timberlands due to natural disasters, but we do maintain insurance for loss of already harvested logs due to fire and other occurrences. During 2005, a loss of $2 million was recorded as a result of hurricane damage.

ENVIRONMENTAL STEWARDSHIP

We practice environmentally responsible resource management. We adhere to the philosophy that environmentally sound management practices contribute to the company’s growth in value by providing greater predictability in the management of its natural resource assets. We follow the principles and objectives of the Sustainable Forestry Initiative® program (“SFISM”), which sets forth a comprehensive approach to responsible forest stewardship. Our forestry practices on all of our timberlands have been independently audited and certified by PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP under the SFISM program. The SFISM program principles, which can be found on the company’s website at www.plumcreek.com, are designed to ensure that forest management is integrated with the conservation of soil, air and water resources, wildlife and fish habitat, and aesthetics.

Consistent with these principles, we have actively engaged in habitat conservation planning. The habitats of hundreds of species are protected by several agreements, including numerous species listed as threatened or endangered under the Endangered Species Act. These agreements, which include Habitat Conservation Plans (“HCPs”) and other types of conservations agreements, are as follows:

 

Conservation Agreement    Protects      State(s)     

Acres

(Millions)

 

Central Cascades HCP

   315 species      Washington      0.1

Native Fish HCP

   9 species of trout and salmon      Montana      1.3

Red-Cockaded Woodpecker HCP

   Red-Cockaded Woodpecker      Arkansas and Louisiana      0.3

Karner Blue Butterfly HCP

   Karner Blue Butterfly      Wisconsin      0.1

Swan Valley Grizzly Bear Agreement

   Grizzly Bear      Montana      0.1

Red-Cockaded Woodpecker AgreementA

   Red-Cockaded Woodpecker      Arkansas and Louisiana      0.6
 

 

A We completed negotiating an agreement in 2006 with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service pursuant to which we will conserve additional habitat for the red-cockaded woodpecker on other portions of our Southern ownership not covered by our Red-Cockaded Woodpecker Habitat Conservation Plan.

 

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Raw Materials

Our lumber and plywood facilities obtain approximately two-thirds of their logs from our Montana timberlands. Our timberlands currently supply high-quality logs and preferred timber species to our lumber and plywood facilities, although future harvest levels on our Montana timberlands are expected to decline. Furthermore, over time the average log size and log quality is expected to decline due to evolving harvest and growth patterns.

Our lumber and plywood facilities have purchased and will continue to source stumpage and logs from external suppliers, including the United States Forest Service, Bureau of Indian Affairs, and state and private timberland owners. We expect to increase purchases of stumpage and logs from external sources as harvest levels on our Montana timberlands decline. However, harvest levels in and around Montana are also declining, and we may experience a shortage of logs in the future. The geographic area from which our lumber and plywood facilities obtain logs may expand or contract from year to year as the cost of logs and value of manufactured products fluctuates. (For further discussion of other timber supply issues, see “Federal and State Regulations” below.) Our MDF facilities have a consistent supply of chips, sawdust and wood shavings from internal and external sources. However, as a result of declining harvest levels in and around our MDF facilities, we have had to expand the area in which we purchase chips. This has resulted in longer hauling distances and higher raw material costs. Both MDF and plywood use large quantities of resins, which are procured from a reliable supplier. Our two lumber remanufacturing facilities (the Montana finger-joint stud plant and the Idaho pine board plant) obtain about 40-50% and 10-20%, respectively, of their lumber raw materials from Plum Creek sawmills, with the remainder being procured from third-party suppliers.

Competition

Markets for manufactured forest products are highly competitive in terms of price and quality. Some of our manufactured forest products competitors have substantially greater financial and operating resources. In addition, wood products are subject to increasing competition from a variety of substitutes, including non-wood and engineered wood products as well as import competition from other worldwide suppliers. We believe we can compete effectively because of our extensive private timber inventory, our reputation for environmentally responsible forestry, which has positioned us to meet regulatory challenges on a cost-effective basis, our reputation as a dependable, long-term supplier of quality products, our innovative approach to providing high-quality, value-added products to various retail and industrial niche markets and the integration of our timberlands with efficient manufacturing processes.

Seasonal Effects

Log sales volumes from our Northern Resources Segment are typically at their lowest point in the second quarter of each year when warming weather thaws and softens roadbeds, thus restricting access to logging sites. Log sales volumes from our Southern Resources Segment are generally at their lowest point during the first quarter of each year, as winter rains limit operations.

Demand for manufactured products is generally lower in the winter quarter when activity in construction markets is slower, and higher in the spring, summer and fall quarters when construction increases. Working capital varies with seasonal fluctuations.

Federal and State Regulations

GENERAL ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION

Our operations are subject to federal, state and local environmental laws and regulations, including laws relating to water, air, solid waste and hazardous substances and the requirements of the Federal Occupational Safety and Health Act and comparable state statutes relating to the health and safety of our employees. Although we believe that we are in material compliance with these requirements, there can be no assurance that we will not incur significant costs, civil and criminal penalties, and liabilities, including those relating to claims for damages to property or natural resources, resulting from our operations. We maintain environmental and safety compliance programs and conduct regular internal and independent third-party audits of our facilities and timberlands to monitor compliance with these laws and regulations.

 

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ENDANGERED SPECIES

The Endangered Species Act protects species threatened with possible extinction. A number of species indigenous to our timberlands have been listed as threatened or endangered or have been proposed for one or the other status under the Endangered Species Act. As a result, our activities in or adjacent to the habitat of these species may be subject to restrictions on the harvesting of timber, reforestation activities and the construction and use of roads.

We have received incidental take permits and similar authorizations pursuant to our Habitat Conservation Plans and other conservation agreements (detailed in “Environmental Stewardship” above) from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (and from National Marine Fisheries Service, in the case of anadromous species) that in total cover our forest management on 1.6 million acres in the Northern Resources Segment and 0.9 million acres in the Southern Resources Segment. As required by the Endangered Species Act, we prepared Habitat Conservation Plans that will govern our management activities on the timberlands covered by the plans in these regions during their respective terms. The Habitat Conservation Plans require us to maintain certain levels of wildlife and fish habitat, and to take numerous other mitigation measures, including the protection of riparian areas. With the implementation of these mitigation measures, we are authorized to conduct forestry practices that are consistent with the conservation plans, even though they may have an adverse impact on the listed species covered by the plans.

During 2006, we completed negotiating an agreement with the Fish and Wildlife Service to address the presence of red-cockaded woodpeckers located on or near some of our Southern properties, which are listed as endangered under the Endangered Species Act. Under the agreement, which covers approximately 0.6 million acres outside of our Red-Cockaded Woodpecker Habitat Conservation Plan, we have agreed to relocate red-cockaded woodpeckers and to actively manage habitat in a designated conservation area, significantly increasing long-term population survival. In exchange, we have gained increased flexibility to manage our surrounding timberlands for commercial timber production.

Although the Habitat Conservation Plans and other conservation agreements have been implemented and are functioning as expected, there can be no assurance that they will remain in force or be sufficient to protect us against subsequent changes to the Endangered Species Act. Nor can there be any assurance that the Habitat Conservation Plans and the conservation agreements, individually or collectively, will be sufficient to protect us against the listing of additional species, or against changes to other applicable laws and regulations. Any of these changes could materially and adversely affect our operations.

CLEAN WATER

The Clean Water Act and comparable state laws, regulations and best management practices programs protect water quality. As a result, our resource management activities adjacent to rivers and streams as well as the point source discharges from our manufacturing facilities are subject to strict regulation. Most silvicultural activities are defined by regulation to be “non-point sources” and thus do not require federal permits from the Environmental Protection Agency, but rather are subject to state regulation and best management practices programs. Recent litigation in numerous courts, however, has challenged this silvicultural exemption under the Clean Water Act. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that our forest management activities will not be subject to increased regulation under the Clean Water Act in the future.

At this time, we believe that federal and state laws and regulations related to the protection of endangered species and clean water will not have a material adverse effect on our financial position, results of operations or liquidity. We anticipate, however, that increasingly strict laws and regulations relating to the environment, natural resources and forestry operations, as well as increased social concern over environmental issues, may result in additional restrictions on us leading to increased costs, additional capital expenditures and reduced operating flexibility. We believe that our experience provides us a relative competitive advantage in managing environmental risks.

In connection with the October 6, 2001 merger with The Timber Company, Plum Creek agreed to indemnify Georgia-Pacific for substantially all of the liabilities attributed to The Timber Company. During 2003, Georgia-Pacific provided Plum Creek with information about the existence of mine tailings and approximately 4.5 billion gallons of acidic surface water on approximately 90 acres in Hot Spring County, Arkansas, on former Georgia-Pacific properties. Barite mining and related activities were conducted on the site between 1939 and 1981 in part by lessees of an entity that was acquired by Georgia-Pacific. The site is currently being investigated and no remediation plan has yet been approved. No amounts have been accrued for this potential liability. Furthermore, to the extent Plum Creek is required to indemnify Georgia-Pacific for its

 

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share of the remediation costs, Plum Creek may be able to recover a portion of its cost from Georgia-Pacific’s insurance policy, or indemnity obligations of the various lessees that conducted mining operations on the property, or both.

TIMBERLANDS

Our forest practices are and will in the future be subject to specialized statutes and regulations in the states where we operate. Many of these states have enacted laws that regulate forestry operations, such as growing, harvesting and processing activities on timberlands. Among other requirements, these laws impose some reforestation obligations on the owners of timberlands. Several states require prior notification before beginning harvesting activities. A number of states require a regulatory review taking from 15 to 30 days or more prior to harvesting, depending upon the environmental and other sensitivities of the proposed activity. Other state laws and regulations control the following activities: slash burning and harvesting during fire hazard periods; activities that affect water courses or are in proximity to inland shorelines; and activities that affect water quality, and some grading and road construction activities.

Encumbrances

Under the terms of our debt agreements, we have agreed not to pledge, assign or transfer timberlands, except under limited circumstances. The holders of our $13 million face value 11.125% First Mortgage Notes due 2007 have a first mortgage lien on a significant portion of our lumber, plywood and MDF facilities.

The title to our timberlands does not always include the related hard rock mineral interests or oil and gas rights. Title to the timberlands is subject to presently existing easements, rights of way, flowage and flooding rights, servitudes, hunting and other leases, licenses and permits, none of which materially adversely affect the value of the timberlands or materially restrict the harvesting of timber or other operations.

Employees

We currently have approximately 800 salaried and 1,200 non-union hourly employees. We believe that our employee relations are good. Our wage scale and benefits are generally competitive with other forest products companies. The planting of seedlings and the harvesting and delivery of logs are conducted by independent contractors who are not our employees.

Certain Corporate Governance and Other Available Information

The company maintains a code of ethics entitled the Plum Creek Code of Conduct, which applies to each director and to all of the company’s employees including the principal executive officer, the principal financial officer and the principal accounting officer. In addition, each committee of the company’s board of directors is governed by a charter. The Plum Creek Code of Conduct and the governing charters of the Audit, Compensation, and Corporate Governance and Nominating committees, along with the company’s Corporate Governance Guidelines, can be found in the “Corporate Governance” section of the company’s website accessible to the public at www.plumcreek.com. To find this section, click on the “Investors” link and then the “Corporate Governance” link. The company will post any amendments to, or waivers from, its Code of Conduct (to the extent applicable to any director or any of the company’s executive officers, including the principal executive officer, principal financial officer or principal accounting officer) at this location on its website. In addition to these documents, the company’s annual report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and reports concerning transactions in the company’s stock by directors and certain officers of the company, and any amendments to those reports, can also be found on our website by first clicking the “Investors” link, then the “Earnings/Financial Publications” link and finally the “SEC Filings” link. Copies of any of these documents may be obtained free of charge through our website or by contacting the company’s Investor Relations Department at 999 Third Avenue, Suite 4300, Seattle, Washington 98104, or by calling (206) 467-3600.

Stock Exchange Listing Compliance and SEC Certifications

On May 12, 2006, Rick R. Holley, as President and Chief Executive Officer of the company, submitted an unqualified certification to the New York Stock Exchange stating that, as of that date, he was not aware of any violation by the company of the New York Stock Exchange Corporate Governance Listing Standards. Additionally, the company has filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer certifications required by Sections 302 and 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, as amended.

 

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ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS

Business and Operating Risks

THE CYCLICAL NATURE OF OUR BUSINESS COULD ADVERSELY AFFECT OUR RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Our results of operations are affected by the cyclical nature of the forest products industry. Historical prices for logs and manufactured wood products have been volatile, and we, like other participants in the forest products industry, have limited direct influence over the time and extent of price changes for logs and wood products. The demand for logs and wood products is affected primarily by the level of new residential construction activity and, to a lesser extent, repair and remodeling activity and other industrial uses. The demand for logs is also affected by the demand for wood chips in the pulp and paper markets. These activities are, in turn, subject to fluctuations due to, among other factors:

 

 

changes in domestic and international economic conditions;

 

 

interest rates;

 

 

population growth and changing demographics; and

 

 

seasonal weather cycles (e.g., dry summers, wet winters).

Decreases in the level of residential construction activity generally reduce demand for logs and wood products. This results in lower revenues, profits and cash flows. In addition, industry-wide increases in the supply of logs and wood products during favorable price environments can also lead to downward pressure on prices. Timber owners generally increase production volumes for logs and wood products during favorable price environments. Such increased production, however, when coupled with even modest declines in demand for these products in general, could lead to oversupply and lower prices.

Our results of operations may also be subject to global economic changes as global supplies of wood fiber shift in response to changing economic conditions. Changes in global economic conditions that could affect our results of operations include, but are not limited to, new timber supply sources and changes in currency exchange rates, foreign and domestic interest rates and foreign and domestic trade policies.

In addition, changes in our ability to sell or exchange non-strategic timberlands and timberland properties that have higher and better uses at attractive prices, or changes that adversely affect our ability to execute on certain real estate development activities conducted through our wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries, could have a significant effect on our results of operations.

The following factors, among others, may adversely affect the timing and amount of our income generated by our land sales or our real estate development activities:

 

 

general economic conditions;

 

 

availability of funding for governmental agencies, developers, conservation organizations, individuals and others to purchase our timberlands for conservation, recreation, residential or other purposes;

 

 

local real estate market conditions, such as oversupply of, or reduced demand for, properties sharing the same or similar characteristics as those in our portfolio;

 

 

competition from other sellers of land and real estate developers;

 

 

weather conditions or natural disasters having an adverse effect on our properties;

 

 

relative illiquidity of real estate investments;

 

 

changes in interest rates;

 

 

impact of federal, state and local land use and environmental protection laws;

 

 

changes in laws, regulations or the regulatory environment affecting tax, real estate and zoning; or

 

 

our ability to obtain all land use entitlements and other permits necessary for our development activities.

 

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THE FOREST PRODUCTS INDUSTRY IS HIGHLY COMPETITIVE

The forest products industry is highly competitive in terms of price and quality. Wood products are subject to increasing competition from a variety of substitute products, including non-wood and engineered wood products. For example, plywood markets are subject to competition from oriented strand board, and U.S. lumber and log markets are subject to competition from other worldwide suppliers.

Historically, Canada has been a significant source of lumber for the U.S. market, particularly in the new home construction market. A trade agreement concerning lumber imports between the U.S. and Canada expired in March 2001. Soon thereafter, a U.S. industry coalition, of which Plum Creek is a member, submitted anti-dumping and countervailing duty petitions to the International Trade Commission and the U.S. Department of Commerce alleging that Canadian lumber exports to the U.S. were unfairly subsidized and that lumber from Canada was being dumped into the U.S. market. In response to these petitions, the U.S. Department of Commerce imposed both countervailing and anti-dumping duties. Canada appealed the imposition of these duties to both NAFTA and the WTO.

On October 13, 2006, a definitive agreement was signed establishing a system of tiered taxes and/or volume restrictions which will be in effect for a period of seven years. Notwithstanding the signing of a definitive agreement between the U.S. and Canadian governments, there can be no assurance that the agreement will effectively create a fair trade environment. Therefore, downward pressure on domestic timber and lumber prices caused by Canadian imports could continue or increase.

OUR CASH DIVIDENDS ARE NOT GUARANTEED AND MAY FLUCTUATE

We have elected to be taxed as a REIT under sections 856-860 of the United States Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended. Generally, REITs are required to distribute 90% of their taxable income. However, REITs are required to distribute only their ordinary taxable income and not their net capital gains income. Accordingly, we do not believe that we are required to distribute material amounts of cash given that substantially all our taxable income is treated as capital gains income. To the extent capital gains income is not distributed to shareholders, a REIT would be subject to a 35% federal corporate income tax and applicable state income taxes on the undistributed capital gain income. In addition, the shareholders would be required to report their share of the retained capital gains income on their respective income tax returns, but would receive a refundable tax credit for their share of the tax paid at the corporate level.

Our Board of Directors, in its sole discretion, determines the amount of the quarterly dividends (including the determination of whether to retain net capital gains income) to be provided to our stockholders based on consideration of a number of factors including, but not limited to, our results of operations, cash flow and capital requirements, economic conditions, tax considerations, borrowing capacity and other factors, including debt covenant restrictions that may impose limitations on cash payments, future acquisitions and divestitures, harvest levels, changes in the price and demand for our products and general market demand for timberlands including those timberland properties that have higher and better uses. Consequently, our dividend levels may fluctuate.

WE MAY BE UNSUCCESSFUL IN CARRYING OUT OUR ACQUISITION STRATEGY

We intend to pursue acquisitions of strategic timberland properties. As with any investment, our future acquisitions, if any, may not perform in accordance with our expectations. In addition, we anticipate financing such acquisitions through cash from operations, borrowings under our unsecured credit facilities, proceeds from equity or debt offerings (including offerings of limited partnership units by our operating partnership) or proceeds from asset dispositions, or any combination thereof. Our inability to finance future acquisitions on favorable terms or the failure of any acquisitions to conform to our expectations, could adversely affect our results of operations.

WE DEPEND ON EXTERNAL SOURCES OF CAPITAL FOR FUTURE GROWTH

Our ability to finance growth is dependent to a significant degree on external sources of capital. Our ability to access such capital on favorable terms could be hampered by a number of factors, many of which are outside of our control, including, without limitation, a decline in general market conditions, increases in interest rates, an unfavorable market perception of our growth potential, a decrease in our current or estimated future earnings or a decrease in the market price of our common

 

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stock. In addition, our ability to access additional capital may also be limited by the terms of our existing indebtedness, which, among other things, restricts our incurrence of debt and the payment of dividends. Any of these factors, individually or in combination, could prevent us from being able to obtain the capital we require on terms that are acceptable to us, and the failure to obtain necessary capital could materially adversely affect our future growth.

OUR ABILITY TO HARVEST TIMBER MAY BE SUBJECT TO LIMITATIONS WHICH COULD ADVERSELY AFFECT OUR OPERATIONS

Weather conditions, timber growth cycles, access limitations, availability of contract loggers, and regulatory requirements associated with the protection of wildlife and water resources may restrict harvesting of timberlands as may other factors, including damage by fire, insect infestation, disease, prolonged drought and other natural disasters. Although damage from such natural causes usually is localized and affects only a limited percentage of the timber, there can be no assurance that any damage affecting our timberlands will in fact be so limited. As is common in the forest products industry, we do not maintain insurance coverage with respect to damage to our timberlands.

Our revenues, net income and cash flow from our operations are dependent to a significant extent on the pricing of our products and our continued ability to harvest timber at adequate levels. In addition, the terms of our long-term debt agreements limit our ability to fund dividends to stockholders by accelerating the harvest of significant amounts of timber.

OUR TIMBERLANDS AND MANUFACTURING FACILITIES ARE SUBJECT TO FEDERAL AND STATE ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS

We are subject to regulation under, among other laws, the Clean Air Act, the Clean Water Act, the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act, the Comprehensive Environmental Response Compensation and Liability Act of 1980, the National Environmental Policy Act, and the Endangered Species Act, as well as comparable state laws and regulations. Violations of various statutory and regulatory programs that apply to our operations could result in civil penalties, remediation expenses, potential injunctions, cease and desist orders and criminal penalties.

We engage in the following activities that are subject to regulation:

 

 

forestry activities, including harvesting, planting and road building, use and maintenance;

 

 

the generation of air emissions;

 

 

the discharge of industrial wastewater and storm water; and

 

 

the generation and disposal of both hazardous and non-hazardous wastes.

Laws and regulations protecting the environment have generally become more stringent in recent years and could become more stringent in the future. Some environmental statutes impose strict liability, rendering a person liable for environmental damage without regard to the person’s negligence or fault. These laws or future legislation or administrative or judicial action with respect to protection of the environment may adversely affect our business.

The Endangered Species Act and comparable state laws protect species threatened with possible extinction. A number of species on our timberlands have been and in the future may be protected under these laws. Protection of threatened and endangered species may include restrictions on timber harvesting, road building and other forest practices on private, federal and state land containing the affected species.

Stock Ownership

PROVISIONS IN OUR CERTIFICATE OF INCORPORATION AND DELAWARE LAW MAY PREVENT A CHANGE IN CONTROL

Some provisions of our certificate of incorporation may discourage a third party from seeking to gain control of us. For example, the ownership limitations described in our certificate of incorporation could have the effect of delaying, deferring, or limiting a change of control in which holders of our common stock might receive a premium for their shares over the then prevailing market price. The following is a summary of provisions of our certificate of incorporation that may have this effect.

 

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Ownership Limit. In order for us to maintain our qualification as a REIT, not more than 50% of the value of our outstanding shares of capital stock may be owned, directly or indirectly, by five or fewer individuals, as defined in the Internal Revenue Code. For the purpose of preserving our REIT qualification, our certificate of incorporation prohibits ownership, either directly or under the applicable attribution rules of the Internal Revenue Code, of more than 5% of the lesser of the total number of shares of our common stock outstanding or the value of the outstanding shares of our common stock by any stockholder other than by some designated persons agreed to by us or as set forth in our certificate of incorporation (the “Ownership Limit”). The Ownership Limit may have the effect of discouraging an acquisition of control of us without the approval of our Board of Directors.

The Ownership Limit in our certificate of incorporation also restricts the transfer of our common stock. For example, any transfer of our equity is null and void if the transfer would:

 

 

result in any person owning, directly or indirectly, equity in excess of the Ownership Limit;

 

 

result in our equity being owned, directly or indirectly, by fewer than 100 persons;

 

 

result in us being “closely held” (as defined in the Internal Revenue Code);

 

 

result in us failing to qualify as a “domestically controlled REIT” (as defined in the Internal Revenue Code); or

 

 

otherwise cause us to fail to qualify as a REIT.

Preferred Stock. Our certificate of incorporation authorizes our Board of Directors to issue up to 75 million shares of preferred stock. Upon issuance, our Board of Directors will establish the preferences and rights for this preferred stock. These preferences and rights may include the right to elect additional directors. The issuance of preferred stock could have the effect of delaying or preventing a change in control of us even if a change in control were in our stockholders’ best interests.

Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law. Section 203 of the Delaware General Corporation Law generally prohibits us from engaging in business transactions with a person or entity that owns 15% or more of our voting stock for a period of three years following the time such person or entity became an “interested stockholder” unless, prior to such time, our Board of Directors approved either the business combination or the transaction which resulted in such person or entity becoming an interested stockholder. A business transaction may include mergers, asset sales and other transactions resulting in financial benefit to the person or entity that owns 15% or more of our voting stock.

Tax Risks

IF WE FAIL TO QUALIFY AS A REIT, WE WOULD BE SUBJECT TO TAX AT CORPORATE RATES AND WOULD NOT BE ABLE TO DEDUCT DIVIDENDS TO STOCKHOLDERS WHEN COMPUTING OUR TAXABLE INCOME

If in any taxable year we fail to qualify as a REIT:

 

 

we would be subject to federal and state income tax on our taxable income at regular corporate rates;

 

 

we would not be allowed to deduct dividends to stockholders in computing our taxable income; and

 

 

unless we were entitled to relief under the Internal Revenue Code, we would also be disqualified from treatment as a REIT for the four taxable years following the year during which we lost qualification.

If we fail to qualify as a REIT, we might need to borrow funds or liquidate some investments in order to pay the additional tax liability. Accordingly, funds available for investment or dividends to our stockholders would be reduced for each of the years involved.

Qualification as a REIT involves the application of highly technical and complex provisions of the Internal Revenue Code to our operations and the determination of various factual matters and circumstances not entirely within our control. There are only limited judicial or administrative interpretations of these provisions. Although we operate in a manner consistent with the REIT qualification rules, we cannot assure you that we are or will remain so qualified.

In addition, federal and state tax laws are constantly under review by persons involved in the legislative process, the Internal Revenue Service, the United States Department of the Treasury, and state taxing authorities. Changes to the tax law could

 

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adversely affect our stockholders. We cannot predict with certainty whether, when, in what forms, or with what effective dates, the tax laws applicable to us or our stockholders may be changed.

IF WE FAILED TO DISTRIBUTE THE EARNINGS AND PROFITS OF THE TIMBER COMPANY, WE WOULD BE SUBJECT TO ADVERSE TAX CONSEQUENCES

In connection with The Timber Company’s October 6, 2001, merger with Plum Creek, we were required by January 31, 2002, to distribute the earnings and profits acquired from the six entities that comprised The Timber Company. We believe that the accelerated payment of our fourth quarter dividend for 2001, which we paid on December 28, 2001, was sufficient to distribute these earnings and profits. If we failed to distribute an amount equal to these earnings and profits, we might be subject to adverse tax consequences. We expect that, even if the earnings and profits were subsequently adjusted upward by the Internal Revenue Service, the amount we distributed exceeded such earnings and profits. Nevertheless, such an adjustment may give rise to the imposition of the 4% excise tax on the excess income required to be distributed over the amounts treated as distributed after application of the earnings and profits rule.

CERTAIN OF OUR BUSINESS ACTIVITIES ARE POTENTIALLY SUBJECT TO PROHIBITED TRANSACTIONS TAX OR CORPORATE-LEVEL INCOME TAX

Under the Internal Revenue Code, REITs must generally engage in the ownership and management of income producing real estate. For Plum Creek, this generally includes owning and managing a timberland portfolio for the production and sale of standing timber. Accordingly, the manufacture and sale by us of wood products, the harvesting and sale of logs, and the development and/or sale of certain timberlands are conducted through one or more of our wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries (“TRSs”) because such activities could generate non-qualifying REIT income and could constitute “prohibited transactions.” Prohibited transactions are defined by the Internal Revenue Code to be sales or other dispositions of property to customers in the ordinary course of a trade or business. By conducting our business in this manner we believe that we satisfy the REIT requirements of the Internal Revenue Code and are not subject to the 100% tax that could be imposed if a REIT were to conduct a prohibited transaction. We may not always be successful, however, in limiting such activities to our TRSs. Therefore, we could be subject to the 100% prohibited transactions tax if such instances were to occur. The net income of our TRSs is subject to corporate-level income tax.

ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS

None.

ITEM 2. PROPERTIES

We believe that our timberlands and manufacturing facilities are suitable and adequate for current operations. The manufacturing facilities are owned and are maintained through on-going capital investments, regular maintenance and equipment upgrades. The majority of the manufacturing facilities are modern facilities. During 2006, our lumber, plywood and MDF manufacturing facilities produced at planned capacity levels and there were no significant idle times at the facilities at any time during the year. See Item 1. “Business” for discussion of the location and description of properties and encumbrances related to properties.

ITEM 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS

There is no individual pending or threatened litigation involving the company that we believe would have a material adverse effect on the company’s financial position, results of operations or liquidity. However, see Note 13 of the Notes to Financial Statements.

 

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ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS

None.

Executive Officers of the Registrant

Executive officers are elected annually at the first quarterly meeting of the Board of Directors following the annual meeting of stockholders.

 

Name    Age      OfficeP      Officer Since
 

Rick R. HolleyA

   55     

President and Chief Executive Officer

     1989

Leonard A. KosarB

   44     

Executive Vice President

     2006

Thomas M. LindquistC

   46     

Executive Vice President

     2001

James A. KilbergD

   51     

Senior Vice President, Real Estate & Land Management

     2003

James A. KraftE

   51     

Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

     1989

David W. LambertF

   46     

Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

     2002

Larry D. NeilsonG

   47     

Senior Vice President, Planning and Business Development

     2002

David A. BrownH

   52     

Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer

     2002

Barbara L. CroweI

   55     

Vice President, Human Resources

     1997

Joan K. FitzmauriceJ

   49     

Vice President, Audit and Financial Services

     2002

Russell S. HagenK

   41     

Vice President, Real Estate

     2006

Robert J. OlszewskiL

   51     

Vice President, Environmental Affairs

     2001

Thomas M. ReedM

   58     

Vice President, Southern Resources

     2003

Henry K. RicklefsN

   57     

Vice President, Manufactured Products

     2003

Laura B. SmithO

   39     

Vice President and Treasurer

     2006
 

 

A Served since January 1994 as President and Chief Executive Officer. Mr. Holley was Vice President and Chief Financial Officer from April 1989 to December 1993.

 

B Served since April 2006 as Executive Vice President. Prior to joining Plum Creek, Mr. Kosar served in many positions with General Electric over a 22 year period beginning in 1984. His positions included serving as president and chief executive officer of Storage USA and general manager of GE’s appliance cooking products business. Most recently, he served as president of GE Plastics Pacific in Shanghai.

 

C Served since December 2001 as Executive Vice President.

 

D Served since April 2006 as Senior Vice President, Real Estate & Land Management. Mr. Kilberg previously served as Vice President, Land Management from January 2003 to March 2006. Prior to joining Plum Creek, Mr. Kilberg served as a principal at Trammell Crow Company where he was a senior executive in the company’s national retail practice from 1997 to 2000 and served as Managing Director of Global Services Business from 2001 to December 2002.

 

E Served since January 2002 as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary. Mr. Kraft was Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary from April 1996 to January 2002, Vice President, Law from January 1994 to April 1996 and Vice President, Law and Corporate Affairs from April 1989 to December 1993.

 

F Served since August 2006 as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. From January 2006 to August 2006, Mr. Lambert served as Vice President, Business Development. Mr. Lambert was Vice President, Treasurer from January 2002 to January 2006, Director of Planning, Treasurer from June 1998 to January 2002 and Director of Finance and Treasurer from November 1994 to June 1998.

 

G Served since October 2005 as Senior Vice President, Planning and Business Development. Mr. Neilson was Vice President, Real Estate from August 2002 to October 2005. Prior to joining Plum Creek, Mr. Neilson served as General Manager, Corporate Services and Worldwide Real Estate & Facilities from April 2000 to July 2001 at Microsoft.

 

H Served since February 2006 as Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer. Mr. Brown was Vice President, Controller (Chief Accounting Officer) from March 2004 to February 2006, Vice President, Controller from January 2002 to March 2004, Controller from November 1994 to January 2002 and Director of Planning from July 1994 to November 1994.

 

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I Served since April 1997 as Vice President, Human Resources.

 

J Served since June 2002 as Vice President, Audit and Financial Services. Previously, Ms. Fitzmaurice was a partner with PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP from 1997 through 2001.

 

K Served since October 2006 as Vice President, Real Estate. From January 2002 to October 2006, Mr. Hagen served as General Manager, Energy and Natural Resources. Mr. Hagen was Director, Financial Operations and Technology from 1999 to January 2002 and Director, Financial Operations and Risk Management from 1995 to 1999.

 

L Served since August 2005 as Vice President, Environmental Affairs. Previously, Mr. Olszewski served as Vice President, Corporate and Environmental Affairs from July 2001 to August 2005.

 

M Served since August 2006 as Vice President, Southern Resources. From September 2002 to August 2006 Mr. Reed served as Vice President and General Manager, Southeast Region. Mr. Reed was Regional Manager, Coastal Operations from September 2001 to September 2002.

 

N Served since July 2003 as Vice President, Manufactured Products. From July 1999 to July 2003, Mr. Ricklefs served as General Manager, Lumber. From 1994 to July 1999, Mr. Ricklefs served as General Manager, Plywood and from 1987 to 1994 as Director, National Sales and Marketing for Manufactured Products.

 

O Served since February 2007 as Vice President and Treasurer. Previously, Ms. Smith served as Treasurer from January 2006 to February 2007. Ms. Smith was Director of Planning from October 2003 to January 2006. Previously, Ms. Smith was Vice President and Business Unit Manager for Goldman, Sachs & Co. from January 2001 to September 2003.

 

P There are no family relationships among the executive officers of the company.

 

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Part II

ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT’S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES

Plum Creek Timber Company, Inc.’s common stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange. As of February 20, 2007, there were 19,294 stockholders of record and 177,306,080 outstanding shares.

Trading price data, as reported on the New York Stock Exchange Composite Tape, and declared cash dividend information for the years ended December 31, 2006 and 2005, are as follows:

 

     1st Quarter      2nd Quarter      3rd Quarter      4th Quarter
 
2006                  

High

   $  39.26      $   37.57      $  36.16      $  40.00

Low

   35.51      33.60      31.21      33.81

Cash Dividend per Share

   $   0.40      $   0.40      $   0.40      $    0.40
2005                  

High

   $   39.35      $  37.40      $  39.14      $   39.63

Low

   34.56      33.40      34.52      34.03

Cash Dividend per Share

   $    0.38      $    0.38      $   0.38      $    0.38
 

Future dividends will be determined by our Board of Directors, in its sole discretion, based on consideration of a number of factors including, but not limited to, our results of operations, cash flow and capital requirements, economic conditions, tax considerations, debt covenant restrictions that may impose limitations on our ability to make cash payments, borrowing capacity, changes in the prices of and demand for our products, and changes in our ability to sell or exchange timberlands at attractive prices. Other factors that our Board of Directors considers include the appropriate timing of timber harvests, acquisition and divestiture opportunities, stock repurchases, debt repayment and other means by which the company delivers value to our stockholders. See Notes 6 and 7 of the Notes to Financial Statements for the restrictions under our debt agreements to pay dividends.

Equity Compensation Plan Information

The following table summarizes options and other rights outstanding under Plum Creek’s equity based compensation plans as of December 31, 2006:

 

Plan Category   

Securities To Be

Issued Upon

ExerciseA

     Weighted-Average
Exercise PriceB
    

Securities

Available For

Future IssuanceC

 

Equity compensation plans approved by security holders

   2,188,469      $  30.95      9,133,630

Equity compensation plans not approved by security holdersD

            
 

 

A Number of securities to be issued upon exercise of outstanding stock options and upon vesting of 92,715 outstanding restricted stock units at December 31, 2006.

 

B Weighted-average exercise price of outstanding options, does not include unvested restricted stock units at December 31, 2006, which have a weighted-average grant date fair value of $35.62.

 

C

Number of securities remaining available for future issuance under equity compensation plans, excluding securities reflected in column (A). Represents shares available for future issuance under the Stock Incentive Plan. See Note 11 of the Notes to Financial Statements for a description of the various stock-based grants that may be issued under the Stock Incentive Plan. At December 31, 2006, 3.3 million shares of the 12.4 million shares available for issuance under Plum Creek’s Stock Incentive Plan have been used for the grant of non-qualified stock options, the grant of restricted stock and restricted stock units, the payment of earned value management awards and earned dividend equivalent rights. The number of shares to be

 

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issued in connection with value management awards and dividend equivalents is not determinable until the end of their respective performance periods.

 

D As of December 31, 2006, there are 177,267 outstanding options to acquire Plum Creek common stock that were issued originally under the Georgia-Pacific long-term incentive plans as options to acquire Georgia-Pacific’s Timber Company stock. These stock options have a weighted-average exercise price of $16.12 per common share and were assumed by the company in connection with The Timber Company Merger. Although the company’s stockholders did not separately approve the assumption of these stock options, the stockholders did approve each of The Timber Company Merger and the related merger agreement (and all of the transactions contemplated by the merger agreement, including the company’s assumption of the stock options). No additional Plum Creek stock options may be granted under the Georgia-Pacific long-term incentive plans.

COMPANY STOCK PRICE PERFORMANCE

The following graph shows a five-year comparison of cumulative total stockholder returns for the company, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Composite Index and the Standard & Poor’s Paper and Forest Product Stock Index for the five years ending December 31, 2006. The total stockholder return assumes $100 invested at the beginning of the period in the company’s common stock, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Composite Index and the Standard & Poor’s Paper and Forest Product Stock Index. It also assumes reinvestment of all dividends.

LOGO

 

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The following table shows total stockholder return for the previous one year ended December 31:

 

     2002      2003      2004      2005      2006
 

Plum Creek

   -12.07 %    36.39 %    31.76 %    -2.31 %    15.51%

S&P Paper and Forest Product Stock Index

   -14.44 %    37.83 %    9.93 %    -2.01 %    5.75%

S&P 500 Index

   -22.09 %    28.67 %    10.86 %    4.92 %    15.77%
 

The following table shows total indexed return of stock price plus reinvestment of dividends, assuming an initial investment of $100.00 at December 31, 2001 for the years ended December 31:

 

     12/31/2001      2002      2003      2004      2005      2006
 

Plum Creek

   $  100.00      $  87.93      $   119.93      $  158.02      $   154.37      $  178.31

S&P Paper and Forest Product Stock Index

   $  100.00      $  85.56      $   117.92      $  129.63      $  127.02      $  134.32

S&P 500 Index

   $  100.00      $  77.91      $  100.24      $   111.14      $  116.60      $  134.99
 

Notwithstanding anything to the contrary set forth in any of the Company’s previous filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act that might incorporate future filings, including this Form 10-K, in whole or in part, the preceding company stock price performance graph shall not be incorporated by reference into any such filings; nor shall such graph be incorporated by reference into any future filings.

PURCHASE OF EQUITY SECURITIES

The following table contains information about the company’s purchases of equity securities during the fourth quarter of 2006:

 

Period   Total Number of
Shares Purchased
 

Average Price Paid

Per Share

  Total Number of
Shares Purchased as
Part of Publicly
Announced Plans or
Programs
  Maximum Number
(or Approximate
Dollar Value) of
Shares That May Yet
Be Purchased Under
the Plans or
ProgramsA
 

October 1, 2006

through October 31,

2006

  30,500
shares of
common stock
  $  33.99   30,500
shares of
common stock
  $  93 million

November 1, 2006

through November 30,

2006

    $        –     $  93 million

December 1, 2006

through December 31,

2006

    $        –     $  93 million

Total

  30,500
shares of
common stock
  $  33.99   30,500
shares of
common stock
 
 

 

A In October 2002, the Board of Directors authorized a $200 million share repurchase program. In June 2006, the Board of Directors authorized an additional $200 million to be used for the share repurchase program. Prior to October 1, 2006, the corporation had repurchased approximately 9.5 million shares of its common stock for a total cost of $306 million. For all of 2006, the company had repurchased approximately 7.5 million shares of its common stock for a total cost of $263 million, or an average cost per share of $35.16.

 

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ITEM 6. SELECTED FINANCIAL DATA

Financial Highlights

The following table summarizes selected financial highlights for the five most recent fiscal years (dollars in millions, except per share amounts):

 

     2006A      2005A      2004A      2003A      2002A
 

Revenues

   $   1,627      $   1,576      $   1,528      $   1,196      $   1,137

Operating IncomeB

     461        448        477        303        338

Interest Expense, net

     133        109        111        117        103

Income before Income Taxes

     328        339        366        186        235

Provision (Benefit) for Income Taxes

     13        8        27        (6 )      2

Income from Continuing Operations

     315        331        339        192        233

Gain on Sale of Properties, net of tax

            23        23              

Cumulative Effect of Accounting Change, net of taxC

     2                            

Net Income

     317        354        362        192        233

Non-Cash Items

                    

Depreciation, Depletion and AmortizationD

     128        113        114        108        106

Basis of Real Estate SoldE

     85        124        134        66        28

Balance Sheet Items

                    

Total Assets

     4,661        4,812        4,378        4,411        4,299

Total Debt, including Timber Obligations

     2,333        2,241        1,897        2,076        1,884

Earnings per Share

                    

Income from Continuing Operations

                    

Basic

   $   1.75      $   1.80      $   1.85      $   1.05      $   1.26

Diluted

   $   1.74      $   1.79      $   1.84      $   1.04      $   1.26

Net Income

                    

Basic

   $   1.76      $   1.92      $   1.97      $   1.05      $   1.26

Diluted

   $   1.75      $   1.92      $   1.97      $   1.04      $   1.26

Dividends Declared per Share

   $   1.60      $   1.52      $   1.42      $   1.40      $   1.49

Harvest Volume (in million tons)

     21.0        19.2        18.6        19.0        19.3
 

 

A During 2006, Plum Creek acquired approximately 98,000 acres of timberlands for $111 million. Timberlands disposed during 2006 were approximately 112,000 acres. During 2005, Plum Creek acquired approximately 754,000 acres of timberlands for $501 million. Timberland dispositions during 2005 were approximately 232,000 acres. During 2004, Plum Creek acquired approximately 78,000 acres of timberlands for $66 million and disposed of approximately 377,000 acres. During 2003, the company acquired 139,000 acres of timberlands for $162 million and disposed of 125,000 acres. During 2002, the company acquired 307,000 acres of timberlands for $141 million and sold 37,000 acres.

 

B Includes $14 million gain in 2006 from the settlement of the Canadian Lumber dispute. See Note 1 of the Notes to Financial Statements.

 

C Includes impact of adopting Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 123 (revised 2004), Share-Based Payment, effective January 1, 2006. See Note 1 of the Notes to Financial Statements.

 

D Includes a $2 million loss in 2005 from hurricane damage, a $9 million lumber mill impairment loss in 2004 and $4 million loss related to forest fires in 2003.

 

E Includes impairment losses on sales of timberlands expected to close within a twelve-month period of $2 million in 2006, $1 million during 2005, $21 million during 2004 and $14 million in 2003.

 

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ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Forward-Looking Statement

This Report contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Some of the forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as “believes,” “expects,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “approximately,” “intends,” “plans,” “estimates,” “projects,” “strategy,” or “anticipates,” or the negative of those words or other comparable terminology. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. A number of important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements, including those factors described in “Risk Factors” under Item 1A in this Form 10-K. Some factors include changes in governmental, legislative and environmental restrictions, catastrophic losses from fires, floods, windstorms, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, insect infestations or diseases, as well as changes in economic conditions and competition in our domestic and export markets and other factors described from time to time in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, factors that could cause our actual results to differ from those contemplated by our projected, forecasted, estimated or budgeted results as reflected in forward-looking statements relating to our operations and business include, but are not limited to:

 

 

the failure to meet our expectations with respect to our likely future performance;

 

 

an unanticipated reduction in the demand for timber products and/or an unanticipated increase in supply of timber products;

 

 

an unanticipated reduction in demand for higher and better use timberlands or non-strategic timberlands;

 

 

our failure to make strategic acquisitions or to integrate any such acquisitions effectively or, conversely, our failure to make strategic divestitures; and

 

 

our failure to qualify as a real estate investment trust, or REIT.

It is likely that if one or more of the risks materializes, or if one or more assumptions prove to be incorrect, the current expectations of Plum Creek and its management will not be realized. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date made, and neither Plum Creek nor its management undertakes any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.

Overview

2006 OPERATING PERFORMANCE COMPARED TO 2005

Operating income increased by $13 million to $461 million in 2006. This increase was due primarily to the one-time gain of $14 million in connection with the settlement of the Canadian Lumber dispute. (See Note 1 of the Notes to Financial Statements, “Other Operating Income”)

Operating income in our Northern Resources Segment increased by $6 million to $105 million in 2006. This increase was due primarily to $13 million of operating income associated with our November 2005 acquisition of 650,000 acres of timberlands in Michigan, offset in part by lower sawlog prices and higher per ton log and haul rates. Operating income in our Southern Resources Segment decreased by $39 million, or 18%, to $178 million. This decrease was due primarily to a weaker product mix, lower sawlog prices and higher per ton log and haul rates. During 2005, we substantially completed the conversion of numerous natural stands to plantations; and therefore, the percentage of large-diameter sawlogs harvested in 2006 decreased and the percentage of small-diameter sawlogs and pulpwood increased. Operating income decreased by $14 million as a result of this conversion.

Operating income from our Real Estate Segment increased by $42 million, or 31%, to $178 million. This increase was due primarily to our expanding real estate development business and selling a higher percentage of high-value properties and a lower percentage of low-value properties. During 2006, operating income associated with our real estate development business was $22 million compared to an operating loss of $7 million during 2005.

 

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Operating income for our Manufactured Products Segment decreased by $7 million to $22 million. This decrease was due primarily to lower lumber prices, higher plywood manufacturing costs and higher MDF raw material costs, offset in part by higher MDF prices.

Our operating income in 2005 and 2006 has been significantly impacted by higher per ton log and haul rates. In our Northern Resources Segment, operating income was negatively impacted by $9 million in 2005 compared to 2004 and by an additional $8 million in 2006 compared to 2005. Additionally, in our Southern Resources Segment, operating income was negatively impacted by $10 million in 2005 compared to 2004 and by an additional $11 million in 2006 compared to 2005. The per ton increase in log and haul rates is due primarily to higher fuel costs and longer hauling distances.

Our 2006 earnings were also impacted by higher interest expense. Interest expense increased by $24 million, or 22%, to $133 million. This increase was due primarily to the issuance of $300 million senior notes due 2015 in connection with our acquisition of timberlands in Michigan for $345 million in November 2005 and our repurchase of approximately 7.5 million shares of our common stock for $263 million during 2006.

KEY ECONOMIC FACTORS IMPACTING OUR BUSINESS

Our operating performance is impacted primarily by the supply and demand for logs and wood products in the United States. The short-term supply of logs is impacted primarily by weather and the level of harvesting activities. The demand for logs in the United States is impacted by housing starts, repair and remodeling activities and the amount of imported lumber, primarily from Canada. During 2004 and 2005, housing starts were 1.96 million and 2.07 million, respectively. We believe housing starts in 2004 and 2005 were at unsustainable levels due to low interest rates and speculative buying. Housing starts during 2006 decreased by 12% to 1.82 million starts and are expected to decline further in 2007. The further decline is due in part to higher interest rates, increased inventory of unsold homes and higher vacancy rates. Thirty-year fixed-rate interest rates increased from 5.9% during 2005 to 6.4% during 2006. At the end of 2006, there was over a six month supply of new homes for sale compared to a four and one-half month supply at the end of 2005.

During 2006, the demand for sawlogs weakened due to mill shutdowns and curtailments as a result of the slowdown in home construction and repair and remodeling activity. Repair and remodeling activities decreased during 2006 and are expected to decline further during 2007 due to the decline in home sales and lower home price appreciation. The demand for sawlogs in 2007 is expected to remain weak until housing starts improve.

Currency exchange rates, tariffs and quotas, availability and cost of transportation, and the relative cost of manufacturing wood products impact imports of lumber and other wood products into the United States. Canadian imports into the U.S. capture a significant share (approximately 33%) of the U.S. lumber market. A U.S. industry coalition believes the Canadian government, which owns most of the timberlands in Canada, provides unfair subsidies by selling timber at below market prices. Prior to 2002, a trade agreement with Canada limited imports of lumber into the United States. Since May 2002, the U.S. has imposed duties on Canadian imports. Near the end of 2006, the U.S. and Canadian governments reached a negotiated settlement. Under the terms of the settlement, approximately $4 billion of the previously collected $5 billion in duties were refunded to Canadian lumber producers. Furthermore, the previously imposed duties were replaced with a system of tiered taxes and/or volume restrictions. It is too early to tell if the new system of excise taxes and volume restrictions will significantly impact lumber imports from Canada and therefore favorably impact the demand for sawlogs.

REAL ESTATE SALES AND DEVELOPMENT PROPERTIES

We estimate that included in our 8.2 million acres of timberlands are approximately 1.7 million acres of higher and better use timberlands and about 400,000 acres of non-strategic timberlands. The higher and better use timberlands are expected to be sold over the next 15 years for residential, recreational or conservation purposes. The non-strategic timberlands are expected to be sold over the next five years. Included within the 1.7 million acres of higher and better use timberlands are approximately 225,000 acres that will be developed either internally or through joint ventures.

During 2006, we sold approximately 60,000 acres of non-strategic timberlands and approximately 23,000 acres of higher and better use / recreational properties. We expect to significantly increase the number of acres we sell in 2007 in both of these categories. Sales are expected to remain at this higher level in future years; however, the mix between non-strategic timberland

 

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sales and higher and better use / recreational property sales could change. Furthermore, in 2007 our average price per acre for non-strategic timberlands is likely to be lower than the price per acre we realized during 2006. Also, due to mix considerations, our average price per acre for higher and better use / recreational property sales are expected to be lower than the price per acre we realized during 2006.

We continued to grow our land development business during 2006. We have identified 95,000 acres with an estimated 125 properties that we expect to develop internally over the next 15 years. At December 31, 2006, we had 13 internal development properties entitled and an additional 32 in the planning process. Revenue from sales of development properties was $65 million during 2006, which included revenue of $43 million from one sale we had been working on for several years. We are continuing to build a portfolio of internal development projects we can bring to the market and expect to reach our level of sustained sales either in the second-half of 2007 or 2008. Our development business is conducted through our wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries.

Additionally, we have identified 130,000 acres that we expect to develop through joint ventures. We have entered into six joint venture arrangements covering approximately 26,000 acres. We do not expect significant revenues from these joint venture arrangements during 2007. We are the minority partner in each of these joint ventures, and our involvement is limited to selling and/or contributing land and exercising certain protective rights. We expect to enter into additional joint venture arrangements during 2007.

HARVEST LEVELS

The volume of trees we harvest each year and the percentage of sawlogs and pulpwood included in our annual harvest also impact our operating performance. During 2006, we harvested a total of 21.0 million tons compared to a total of 19.2 million tons during 2005. The 9% increase in harvest levels is due primarily to our November 2005 acquisition of 650,000 acres of timberlands in Michigan and a temporary increase in harvest levels to capture favorable log prices, especially during the first-half of 2006. We expect harvest levels during 2007 to range between 19.5 and 20.5 million tons. However, future harvest levels may vary from historic levels due to weak markets, to take advantage of favorable prices or due to factors outside of our control, such as weather and fires. Future harvest levels may also be impacted by our sale of timberlands and the extent to which proceeds are reinvested in core timberlands.

Critical Accounting Policies

Our discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations are based upon our consolidated financial statements which have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America. The preparation of these financial statements requires us to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and related disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities. Under different assumptions or conditions, actual results may differ from these estimates.

We believe the following critical accounting policies affect our most significant judgments and estimates used in preparation of our consolidated financial statements:

REVENUE RECOGNITION

Timber sales revenues are recognized when legal ownership and the risk of loss transfer to the purchaser and the quantity sold is determinable. We sell timber under delivered log agreements and through sales of standing timber (or “stumpage”) using pay-as-cut contracts and lump-sum sale agreements.

(1) Delivered Log Sales. Under a delivered log sale agreement, we harvest the timber and deliver it to the buyer. Revenue is recognized when the log is delivered as risk of loss and title transfer to the buyer. With delivered log sales, we incur the cost of logging and hauling.

(2) Pay-as-Cut Contracts. Pay-as-cut contracts are agreements in which the buyer agrees to harvest all of the timber on a tract of land for an agreed upon price for each type of tree over the term of the contract (usually 12 to 18 months). In some cases, an advance is received in connection with pay-as-cut contracts. In other cases, the buyer agrees to harvest only certain trees on a tract of land. Under pay-as-cut contracts, the buyer is responsible for all logging and hauling costs. Revenue is recognized when the timber is harvested, as title and risk of loss has transferred to the buyer. Total revenue recognized under a pay-as-cut contract is the total volume of wood removed multiplied by the unit price for each type of tree.

 

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(3) Lump-sum Sale Agreements. Under a lump-sum sale agreement, the buyer and seller agree to a total (“lump-sum”) price for all the timber available for harvest on a tract of land. Generally, the lump-sum price is paid when the contract is signed. Title to the timber and risk of loss transfers to the buyer as the timber is harvested. Lump-sum sales are generally marketed and sold to the highest bidder. Bids are typically based on a timber cruise, which is an estimate of the total volume of timber on a tract of land broken down by the various types of trees (such as softwood sawlogs, hardwood pulpwood, etc.). Under a lump-sum sale, the buyer is responsible for all logging and hauling costs. Total revenue recognized under a lump-sum sale contract (usually 12 to 18 months) is the amount of the highest bid, and is not dependent upon the volume or type of trees actually harvested.

Since revenue is recognized under a lump-sum sale agreement as the timber is cut, we estimate the amount of revenue to recognize each month based on actual harvested volume compared to the total volume available for harvest according to the timber cruise. We generally receive weekly information from the buyer reporting how much volume has been harvested. Additionally, we gather information by observing the tract to estimate the timber volume harvested. In most cases, the total volume harvested from a tract of land is different than the volume estimated in the timber cruise. If the total volume harvested is greater than the cruise-estimated volume, we will stop recognizing revenue once the total revenue recognized is equal to the total lump-sum contract price. No revenue will be recognized for volumes harvested in excess of the cruise-estimated volume. If the total volume removed is less than the cruise-estimated volume, an adjustment will be recorded in the month in which we learn of the difference. The adjustment is an increase in revenue equal to the difference between the total revenue recognized to date and the total lump-sum contract price. Finally, for our larger lump-sum contracts, which cover multiple tracts, we adjust revenues at the end of each accounting period for any known trends in the tracts that have been completely harvested. For lump-sum contracts completed during the past twelve quarters, our largest quarterly adjustment to record the difference between estimated lump-sum revenues and actual revenues has been $0.6 million.

The following table summarizes amounts recognized under each method from sales to external customers in the company’s consolidated financial statements for the years ended December 31 (in millions):

 

     2006      2005
 

Revenues from:

       

Delivered log sales

   $   666      $   626

Pay-as-cut sales

   $   57      $   61

Lump-sum sales

   $   55      $   47
 

Substantially all of our timber sales in the Northern Resources Segment are under delivered log sale agreements. In our Southern Resources Segment, approximately one-third of our timber sales consists of either pay-as-cut contracts or lump-sum sales. Since under both pay-as-cut contracts and lump-sum sales the buyer is responsible for the logging and hauling costs, the operating profit as a percentage of revenue is significantly higher in our Southern Resources Segment.

(4) Real Estate Sales. We estimate that included in the company’s approximately 8.2 million acres of timberlands are about 1.7 million acres of higher and better use timberlands, which are expected to be sold and/or developed over the next 15 years for residential, recreational or conservation purposes. In addition, the company has approximately 400,000 acres of non-strategic timberlands, which are expected to be sold over the next five years. In the meantime, these timberlands continue to be used productively in our business of growing and selling timber. The timing of real estate sales is a function of many factors, including the availability of government and not-for-profit funding, the general state of the economy, the ability to obtain entitlements, the plans of adjacent landowners, our expectation of future price appreciation and the timing of harvesting activities. As a result, the timing of our real estate sales may materially impact our reported operating income and net income.

During 2006, the Real Estate Segment reported an operating profit percentage of approximately 58%. We estimate our Real Estate Segment’s annual operating profit percentage could range from 35% to 70% of revenues. The operating profit percentage depends on the nature of the interest sold and how much the market value of the property has risen over its book value. For example, the sale of conservation easements will have an operating profit percentage of close to 100% because no book basis is allocated to this type of revenue. Sales of recently acquired properties will generally have relatively lower operating profit percentages while sales of properties held for a long time will tend to have relatively higher operating profit percentages. Sales of timberlands owned by Plum Creek prior to The Timber Company merger, which, for accounting purposes, were deemed acquired as of the merger date, will thus have lower operating profit percentages since these properties were recorded at appraised value as of October 2001.

 

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In connection with major timberland acquisitions we are generally not able to identify our future real estate sales. However, while our purchase price allocation and related appraisals reflected greater values for real estate which may be sold in the future for uses which have a higher value than timber production, we are generally not able to identify specific properties. Therefore, in connection with our purchase price allocation for timberland acquisitions, the greater values for real estate are allocated proportionately among all the acres acquired, except when we can specifically identify properties. In general, however, timberlands are acquired primarily for long-term use in our timber operations and specific properties cannot be identified in advance because their value is dependent upon numerous factors, most of which are not known at the acquisition date, including current and future zoning restrictions, current and future environmental restrictions, future changes in demographics, future changes in the economy, current and future plans of adjacent landowners, and current and future funding of government and not-for-profit conservation and recreation programs. We believe that current and future results of operations could be materially different under different purchase price allocation assumptions, and generally, when we acquire properties, we do not have the ability, with any level of precision, to estimate which of the acquired properties will someday sell for more than their underlying timber production value.

IMPAIRMENT OF LONG-LIVED ASSETS

We evaluate our ability to recover the net investment in long-lived assets in accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (“SFAS”) No. 144, Accounting for the Impairment or Disposal of Long-Lived Assets. SFAS No. 144 requires recognition of an impairment loss in connection with long-lived assets used in a business when the carrying value (net book value) of the assets exceeds the estimated future undiscounted cash flows attributable to those assets over their expected useful life. Impairment losses are measured by the extent to which the carrying value of a group of assets exceeds the fair value of such assets at a given point in time. When the fair values of the assets are not available, we estimate the fair values by using the discounted expected future cash flows attributable to the assets. The cash flows are discounted at the risk-free rates of interest. Future cash flow estimates are based on probability-weighted projections for a range of possible outcomes. Furthermore, SFAS No. 144 requires recognition of an impairment loss in connection with long-lived assets held for sale when the carrying value of the assets exceeds an amount equal to their fair value less selling costs.

We have grown substantially through acquisitions in recent years. The purchase price of these acquisitions has been allocated to our Timber and Timberlands (including Assets Held for Sale and Real Estate Development Properties) and Property, Plant and Equipment. The allocation of the purchase price in a business combination is highly subjective. Management is required to estimate the fair values of acquired assets and liabilities as of the acquisition date. Subsequent to the original allocation, these assets are tested for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying value of the assets may not be recoverable through future operations. SFAS No. 144 requires that long-lived assets be grouped and evaluated for impairment at the lowest level for which there are independent cash flows. We track cash flows for our 8.2 million acres of timberlands by grouping them into eight geographic areas in the Northern Resources Segment and eight geographic areas in the Southern Resources Segment. Additionally, we track cash flows for each of our ten manufacturing facilities.

(1) Timber and Timberlands Used in Our Business. SFAS No. 144 provides that for assets used in a business, an impairment loss is recorded only when the carrying value of those assets is not recoverable through future operations. The recoverability test is based on undiscounted future cash flows over the expected life of the assets. We use one harvest cycle (which ranges between 20 and 90 years) for evaluating the recoverability of our timber and timberlands. Because of the inherently long life of timber and timberlands, we do not expect to incur an impairment loss in the future for the timber and timberlands used in our business.

(2) Timber and Timberlands Held for Sale. SFAS No. 144 provides that an impairment loss is recognized for long-lived assets held for sale when the carrying value of those assets exceeds an amount equal to its fair value less selling costs. An asset is generally considered to be held for sale when we have committed to a plan to sell the asset, the asset is available for immediate sale in its present condition, we have initiated an active program to locate a buyer, and the sale is expected to close within one year. During 2006, the above criteria were met by a number of our timberland properties, and we recognized impairment losses of $2 million. Similarly, we recognized impairment losses of $1 million in 2005 and $21 million during 2004 in connection with timberlands held for sale (see Note 3 of the Notes to Financial Statements.) We expect to continue to sell or exchange non-strategic timberlands to other forest products companies or non-industrial investors, and it is probable that we will recognize, in accordance with SFAS No. 144, additional impairment losses in the future in connection with sales of non-strategic timberlands.

 

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In accordance with SFAS No. 144, an impairment loss is generally not recorded until management has concluded that it is probable (i.e., likely) that timberlands will be sold within the next 12 months. For many properties that are currently being actively marketed, it is difficult to conclude whether they will be sold within one year and estimate the price. Nevertheless, management performs a probability assessment for all properties that are being actively marketed and records an impairment loss (to the extent the property’s book basis exceeds its estimated fair value net of selling cost) in the quarter in which management has concluded it is likely the property will be sold within 12 months based on its best estimate of fair value.

(3) Property, Plant and Equipment. The carrying value of Property, Plant and Equipment represents primarily the net book value of our ten manufacturing facilities. Each manufacturing facility is tested for impairment whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that the carrying amount may not be recoverable through future operations. The estimated future cash flows over the remaining useful life of a manufacturing facility is highly subjective and is dependent upon estimates for future product pricing, raw material costs, volumes of product sold, and residual value of the facility. During the fourth quarter of 2004, we recognized an impairment loss of $9 million in connection with one of our lumber mills due to a declining supply of logs. The availability of logs in close proximity to our mills has been declining and is expected to decline further in the future. We currently estimate that the carrying value for our ten manufacturing facilities is recoverable through future operations and that our estimate of future cash flows is reasonable. However, if wood product prices were to remain weak at current levels for an extended period of time, or if log or raw material availability declines more than expected, the company may be required to record an impairment loss for one or more of its manufacturing facilities in a future period.

DEPLETION

Depletion, or costs attributed to timber harvested, is recorded as trees are harvested. Depletion rates for each region are adjusted at least annually. Depletion rates are computed by dividing (A) the sum of (1) the original cost of the timber less previously recorded depletion plus (2) estimated future silviculture costs, including the impact of inflation, that are expected to be incurred over the next harvest cycle, by (B) the total timber volume that is estimated to be harvested over the harvest cycle. The harvest cycle can be as short as 20 years in the South to as long as 90 years in the North. The estimate of future silviculture costs is limited to the expenditures that are expected to impact growth rates over the harvest cycle. The depletion rate calculations do not include an estimate for either future reforestation costs associated with a stand’s final harvest or future volume in connection with the replanting of a stand subsequent to its final harvest.

 

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The following table summarizes depletion expense recognized in the company’s financial statements, key assumptions and sensitivities to changes in assumptions for the years ended December 31 (dollars in millions, except per ton amounts):

 

     2006      2005
 

Depletion Expense

       

Northern Resources Segment

     $  26      $   20

Southern Resources SegmentA

     56        51
               

Total depletion expense

     $  82      $   71
               

Average Depletion Rates (per ton)

       

Northern Resources Segment

   $   3.82      $   3.65

Southern Resources Segment

   $   3.95      $   3.75

Assumptions Used to Determine the Average Depletion Rates

       

Estimated future silviculture costs, including the impact of inflation

       

Northern Resources Segment

   $   55      $   57

Southern Resources SegmentB

   $   434      $   407

Estimated future volume (in million tons)

       

Northern Resources Segment

     329        329

Southern Resources SegmentC

     435        452

Sensitivity of Results to Changes in Key Assumptions

       

Increase in depletion expense for a 10%:

       

Increase in estimated future silviculture costsD

       

Northern Resources Segment

   $   0.1      $   0.1

Southern Resources Segment

   $   1.3      $   1.2

Decrease in estimated future volumeE

       

Northern Resources Segment

   $   2.9      $   2.2

Southern Resources Segment

   $   6.2      $   5.7
 

 

A

Depletion expense for 2005 includes a $2 million loss, representing the book basis of timber volume destroyed as a result of severe winds from Hurricane Katrina.

 

B Reflects an increase in our estimates of future costs associated with fertilization treatments due to higher chemical and application costs and more acres treated.

 

C Decrease in estimated future volumes from 2005 is due primarily to the timing of replanting timber stands following final harvest.

 

D Assumes future timber volumes do not change.

 

E

Assumes future silviculture costs do not change.

Significant estimates and judgments are required to determine both future silviculture costs and the volume of timber available for harvest over the harvest cycle. Some of the factors impacting the estimates are changes in weather patterns, inflation rates, the cost of fertilizers and chemicals, the cost of capital, the actual and estimated increase in growth rates from fertilizer applications, the relative price of sawlogs and pulpwood, the actual and expected real price appreciation of timber, the scientific advancement in seedling and growing technology, and changes in harvest cycles.

We have invested in technology that enables us to predict our current standing inventory of trees, future growth rates, and the benefits of scientific advancements in connection with seedlings, planting techniques and fertilizer applications. Therefore, while estimates with respect to depletion computations will be revised at least annually, we do not expect the depletion rates will change materially from year to year.

DEFERRED INCOME TAXES

Plum Creek has elected to be taxed as a REIT under sections 856-860 of the United States Internal Revenue Code. A REIT is generally not subject to corporate-level income tax if it distributes 100% of its taxable income to shareholders and satisfies other organizational and operational requirements as set forth in the Internal Revenue Code. If a company fails to qualify as a REIT in any taxable year, it will be subject to federal income taxes at regular corporate rates (including any applicable alternative minimum tax) and may not be able to qualify as a REIT for four subsequent taxable years.

 

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As a consequence of the October 6, 2001 merger with The Timber Company, which involved merging a taxable entity into a nontaxable entity, Plum Creek will generally be subject to corporate-level tax (built-in gains tax) if the company makes a taxable disposition of certain property acquired in the merger with The Timber Company within the ten-year period following the merger date. The built-in gains tax applies to gains from such asset sales to the extent that the fair value of the property exceeds its tax basis at the merger date. Built-in gains tax is generally not payable on dispositions of property to the extent the proceeds from such dispositions are reinvested in qualifying like-kind replacement property. The built-in gains tax does not apply to income generated from the harvesting and sale of timber.

In connection with our merger with The Timber Company, we wrote-off all of The Timber Company’s deferred income tax liability related to timber and timberlands except for $11 million. The $11 million deferred income tax liability relates to the book-tax basis difference of timber and timberlands that were expected to be sold, and subject to, the built-in gains tax during the ten-year period ending October 6, 2011. During the period October 6, 2001 to December 31, 2006, the $11 million deferred income tax liability was reduced by $1 million due to the payment of tax in connection with sales of timberlands subject to the built-in gains tax.

In accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes, we remeasure the amount of deferred income taxes needed in connection with expected sales of timberlands subject to the built-in gains tax each quarterly reporting period. In 2005, we reduced the deferred tax liability to $5 million and correspondingly recorded a deferred tax benefit of $5 million. Based on projected timberland sales subject to the built-in gains tax for the period December 31, 2006 to October 6, 2011, and our ability to successfully reinvest proceeds in like-kind properties, we estimate we need a deferred tax liability of $5 million. As a result, no adjustment to the deferred tax liability associated with expected sales of timberlands subject to the built-in gains tax was made in 2006.

It is likely that actual timberland sales subject to the built-in gains tax over the ten-year period will be greater than, or less than, our current projection. An adjustment to earnings will be required in the period in which it is determined that timberland sales subject to the built-in gains tax will be greater than, or less than, our current projection.

ACCOUNTING FOR SHARE-BASED COMPENSATION

Plum Creek has a stockholder approved Stock Incentive Plan that provides for the award of non-qualified stock options, restricted stock and restricted stock units, value management awards and dividend equivalents. See Note 11 of the Notes to Financial Statements.

The company adopted Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 123 (revised 2004), Share-Based Payment (“SFAS No. 123(R)”) effective January 1, 2006. See Note 1 of the Notes to Financial Statements. Grants of both value management awards and dividend equivalents represent awards that are classified and accounted for as liabilities under SFAS No. 123(R). As a result, the expense recognized over the performance period for both value management awards and dividend equivalents will equal the fair value (i.e., cash value) of an award as of the last day of the performance period multiplied by the number of awards that are earned. Furthermore, SFAS No. 123(R) requires the quarterly expense recognized during the performance period to be based on the fair value of value management awards and dividend equivalents as of the end of the most recent quarter. Prior to the end of the performance period, compensation costs for value management awards and dividend equivalents are based on the awards’ most recent quarterly fair values and the number of months of service rendered during the performance period.

Fair values for value management awards and dividend equivalents are computed based on our historical relative total shareholder return compared to the performance of peer groups consisting of forest products companies, the S&P 500 Index and the Morgan Stanley REIT Index over the same period (“Peer Group”). The simulated total shareholder return of the company and the Peer Groups is computed using a Monte Carlo simulation. The key assumptions used in the simulation of the company’s and the Peer Group’s total shareholder return are volatility, beta (the measure of how Plum Creek’s stock moves relative to the market as a whole), risk-free interest rate, and expected dividend yield. Additionally, the fair value of dividend equivalents assumes that our current quarterly dividend of the company’s common stock of $0.42 per share will remain constant through the end of the performance period.

 

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The fair value liability for outstanding value management awards and dividend equivalents at December 31, 2006 was $10 million, which is based on the current fair value of outstanding awards multiplied by the percentage of months worked during the performance period. The liability at December 31, 2006 could range between $7 million and $17 million based on the possible fair value of all outstanding liability based awards. In accordance with SFAS No. 123(R), we could have a material adjustment to our share-based compensation liability to the extent there is a material change in the fair value of our value management awards and dividend equivalents during the quarter.

PENSIONS

Plum Creek provides pension benefits under defined benefit pension plans that cover substantially all of our employees. See Note 10 of the Notes to Financial Statements. We maintain a qualified defined benefit pension plan and two supplemental (non-qualified) defined benefit pension plans. Participants’ benefits generally vest after five years of service. The cash balance benefits for salaried employees is determined based primarily on certain percentages of compensation, age, years of service and interest accrued based on the 30-year treasury bond rate. Furthermore, employees of the company on September 1, 2000, earn benefits based on the greater of the cash balance formula or a monthly pension benefit that is principally based on the highest monthly average earnings during any consecutive sixty-month out of the last 120-month period and the number of years of service credit. The benefits to hourly employees are generally based on a fixed amount per year of service.

Plum Creek’s contributions to its qualified pension plan vary from year to year, but the company has made at least the minimum contributions required by law in each year. Generally, we intend to fund our qualified pension plan annually by either the value of the benefits earned during the year or, if more, the amount such that the fair value of plan assets equals or exceeds the actuarially computed accumulated benefit obligation (“ABO,” the approximate actuarially computed current pension obligation if the plan was discontinued). The company has the same funding policy for the non-qualified plan. However, assets related to the non-qualified plans are held in a grantor trust and are subject to the claims of creditors.

The computation of the company’s benefit obligation, pension cost and accrued pension liability under accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America requires us to make certain assumptions involving primarily the following (weighted-average rates):

 

     2006      2005   
 

Assumptions Used to Determine the Benefit Obligation at December 31

     

Discount rateA

   5.90 %    5.75%

Rate of compensation increaseC

   3.70 %    3.70%

Assumptions Used to Determine Net Periodic Benefit Cost

     

Discount rate

   5.75 %    5.75%

Expected long-term return on plan assetsB

   7.75 %    7.75%

Rate of compensation increaseC

   3.70 %    3.70%
 

 

A The December 31, 2006, discount rate was determined by the resulting yield of a hypothetical bond portfolio at December 31, 2006, matched to the expected benefit payments under the plans. Bonds selected for this portfolio had a Moody’s or Standard & Poor’s credit rating of “AA” or better as of December 31, 2006.

 

B The expected long-term rate of return on plan assets assumption is based on the current level of expected returns on risk free investments (primarily government bonds), the historical level of the risk premium associated with the other asset classes in which the portfolio is invested and the expectations for future returns on each asset class. The expected return for each asset class is weighted based on the target asset allocation to develop the expected long-term rate of return on plan assets assumption for the portfolio.

 

C The assumed rate of increase of future compensation levels represents our long-term estimate of such increases on the basis of the composition of plan participants, past results and market expectations.

Other key assumptions used in the estimate include primarily those underlying the mortality table, and expected long-term rates for inflation, retirement and withdrawals, all of which are based on plan experience and standard actuarial methods but which are nevertheless subject to uncertainty.

 

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It is likely that the actual return on plan assets and the outcome of other uncertain variables will differ from those used in estimating our pension costs and pension obligation reflected in our consolidated financial statements and notes thereto. Furthermore, the company may, from time to time, adjust the asset allocation, which may have an impact on the long-term rate of return on plan assets.

The following table summarizes key financial measures and sensitivities to changes in assumptions for the years ended December 31 (in millions):

 

     2006      2005
 

Key Financial Measures

       

Pension expense

   $   8      $   9

Cash pension plan contributions—qualified plan

     5        9

Cash grantor trust funding—supplemental plans

     1        2

Current accrued pension liabilityA

     3       

Non-current accrued pension liabilityA

     31        17

Sensitivity to Changes in Key Assumptions

       

Increase in pension expense for every 0.25 percentage point:

       

decrease in long-term rate of return on plan assets

   $   0.2      $   0.2

decrease in weighted-average discount rate

     0.7        0.7

increase in rate of increase in compensation levels

     0.2        0.2

Increase in qualified pension funding for every 0.25 percentage
point decrease in weighted-average discount rate

   $   3.7      $   3.7
 

 

A We adopted the recognition and disclosure provisions of SFAS No. 158, Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans (“SFAS No. 158”) on December 31, 2006. Under SFAS No. 158, we are required to recognize the funded status for our defined benefit plans in our December 31, 2006, Consolidated Balance Sheet.

Assuming an average long-term rate of return on plan assets of 7.75%, a weighted-average discount rate of 5.90% for 2007 and 6.20% for 2008 and beyond, and a 3.70% rate of increase in compensation levels, we project that our annual pension expense for 2007 and 2008 will be approximately $8 million each and for 2009 and 2010 will be $9 million each. Over the same time period, the annual cash funding required under our present funding policy and current funding rules for the qualified pension plan is expected to be approximately $5 million annually through 2009 and $6 million in 2010. Given the well-funded nature of the plan, we believe the Pension Protection Act of 2006 will not have a material affect on our funding requirements.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements, Contractual Obligations, Contingent Liabilities and Commitments

The company has no off-balance sheet debt. Our consolidated financial statements reflect all of the operations and assets and liabilities of the company. As of December 31, 2006, the company has entered into six joint venture agreements with land developers covering approximately 26,000 acres. We are the minority partner in each of these joint ventures, and our involvement is limited to selling and/or contributing land and exercising certain protective rights. The company also has an insignificant equity investment in an unconsolidated entity. Otherwise, the company has no other relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnership, such as entities referred to as structured finance or special purpose entities.

During the second quarter of 2006, we entered into two treasury-lock arrangements to secure current long-term interest rates in connection with our issuance of $225 million of senior notes due 2015. See Note 6 of the Notes to Financial Statements. These transactions were settled for a net gain of $0.9 million. In November 2006, the company entered into a purchase commitment to supply natural gas to our manufacturing facilities, which expires in March 2007. The contract, which is a derivative, was designated as a normal purchase under the terms of SFAS No. 133, Accounting for Derivatives Instruments and Hedging Activities. As of December 31, 2006, the company’s remaining purchase obligation under this contract was $0.8 million. The company is not a party to any other derivative transactions.

 

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The following table summarizes our contractual obligations at December 31, 2006 (in millions):

 

            Payment Due By Period
Contractual Obligations    Total     

Less Than

1 Year

     1-3 Years      3-5 Years     

More Than

5 Years

 

Long-term debtA

   $  2,938      $  239      $  548      $  1,214      $  937

Operating lease obligations

   27      5      8      5      9

Timber obligations

   10      1      2      2      5

Long-term incentive plans

   10      4      6          

Purchase obligationsB

   39      31      8          

Other long-term liabilitiesC

                      
                                

Total Contractual Obligations

   $  3,024      $  280      $  572      $  1,221      $  951
                                
 

 

A

In addition to principal, long-term debt includes related interest obligations based on the coupon or stated interest rate for our fixed rate debt of $114 million (Less than one year), $201 million (1-3 years), $154 million (3-5 years), and $144 million (More than 5 years). As we expect borrowings outstanding under our line of credit to vary, only repayment of principal is included. Interest expense related to our line of credit was $10 million in 2006.

 

B

Purchase obligations are comprised primarily of $13 million for third-party logs for our plywood and sawmill facilities, $5 million for contract services for freight and logging, $5 million for raw materials for our MDF facilities, $4 million for real estate commitments, and $3 million for reforestation and silviculture.

 

C

We have not included any amounts for our other long-term liabilities, as we cannot estimate when we will be obligated to satisfy these liabilities. At December 31, 2006, other long-term liabilities include workers’ compensation of $9 million, deferred compensation obligations of $8 million, non-qualified pension obligations of $23 million (including $3 million classified as a current liability), and qualified pension obligations of $11 million. We expect to fund approximately $3 million for workers’ compensation payments in 2007. We have made contributions to our qualified pension plan such that the fair value of the pension plan assets at December 31, 2006, exceeds the actuarially computed accumulated benefit obligation. As a result of this funding level, there are no qualified pension funding obligations at December 31, 2006. We have two grantor trusts, which hold assets associated with our deferred compensation obligations and non-qualified pension obligations. At December 31, 2006, the fair value of assets in one of our grantor trusts is approximately equal to our deferred compensation obligation of $8 million. Additionally, at December 31, 2006, the fair value of assets in the other grantor trust and the actuarially computed accumulated benefit obligation for our non-qualified pension plans was $19 million each. Assets in our grantor trusts have been reserved for the above obligations. However, grantor trust assets are subject to the claims of creditors in the event of bankruptcy. See Notes 8 and 10 of the Notes to Financial Statements.

Events and Trends Affecting Operating Results

HARVEST PLANS

We determine our annual roundwood (sawlogs and pulpwood, including stumpage sales) harvesting plans based on a number of factors. At the stand level, ranging in size from 10 to 200 acres, we consider the age, size, density, health and economic maturity of the timber. A stand is a contiguous block of trees of a similar age, species mix and silvicultural regime. At the forest level, ranging in size from 100,000 to almost 1,000,000 acres, we consider the long-term sustainability and environmental impact of certain levels of harvesting, certain external conditions such as supply agreements, and the level of demand for wood within the region. A forest is a broad administrative unit, made up of a large number of stands. Harvest scheduling is the technical approach using computer modeling that considers all of the above factors along with forest growth rates and financial assumptions to project future harvest plans for a number of years forward.

Our actual harvest levels may vary from planned levels due to log demand, sales prices, the availability of timber from other sources, the level of timberland sales and acquisitions, the availability of legal access, abnormal weather conditions, fires and other factors outside of our control. We believe that our harvest plans are sufficiently flexible to permit modification in response to short-term fluctuations in the markets for logs. Furthermore, future harvest levels will be impacted by both our planned sales of non-strategic and higher and better use timberlands. The impact will depend on the level and extent we are able to reinvest proceeds in productive timberlands and the stocking levels and age class distribution of any newly acquired timberlands.

 

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Harvest levels in the Northern Resources Segment were 6.8 million tons (60% sawlogs and 40% pulpwood) during 2006 and 5.4 million tons (66% sawlogs and 34% pulpwood) during 2005. Our harvest levels and change in mix were due primarily to our acquisition of 650,000 acres of timberland in Michigan during the fourth quarter of 2005. Excluding the Michigan timberlands, our harvest levels were 5.9 million tons (65% sawlogs and 35% pulpwood) during 2006. We expect harvest levels in the Northern Resources Segment in 2007 to decrease between 7% and 13% from 2006; however, the log mix is expected to remain consistent with 2006.

Harvest levels in the Southern Resources Segment were 14.1 million tons (47% sawlogs and 53% pulpwood) during 2006 and 13.8 million tons (51% sawlogs and 49% pulpwood) during 2005. In 2007, we expect harvest levels will be flat to 4% lower from 2006 and the log mix in the Southern Resources Segment is expected to remain consistent with 2006.

U.S.—CANADA SOFTWOOD LUMBER AGREEMENT

Historically, Canada has been a significant source of lumber for the U.S. market, particularly in the new home construction market. A trade agreement concerning lumber imports between the U.S. and Canada expired in March 2001. Soon thereafter, a U.S. industry coalition, of which Plum Creek is a member, submitted anti-dumping and countervailing duty petitions to the International Trade Commission and the U.S. Department of Commerce alleging that Canadian lumber exports to the U.S. were unfairly subsidized and that lumber from Canada was being dumped into the U.S. market. In response to these petitions, the U.S. Department of Commerce imposed both countervailing and anti-dumping duties. Canada appealed the imposition of these duties to both NAFTA and the WTO.

On October 13, 2006, a definitive agreement was signed establishing a system of tiered taxes and/or volume restrictions that will be in effect for a period of seven years. Generally, the agreement provides that no import restrictions would be imposed on Canadian lumber shipments to the U.S. when the published composite price for lumber is higher than $355 (per thousand board feet). Below that level, a tiered export tax would be triggered. The impact of the taxes could be mitigated by fluctuations in the rate of exchange between U.S. and Canadian dollars.

Notwithstanding the signing of a definitive agreement between the U.S. and Canadian governments, there can be no assurance that the agreement will effectively create a fair trade environment. Therefore, downward pressure on domestic timber and lumber prices caused by Canadian imports could continue or increase.

COMPARABILITY OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT PERIODS

Acquisitions and Divestitures. We have pursued and expect to continue to pursue both the acquisition and divestiture of timberlands to increase the value of our assets. During 2006, we acquired 98,000 acres of timberlands, located primarily in Oregon. During 2005, we acquired 754,000 acres of timberlands, located in Northern Michigan, Arkansas and Florida. During 2004, we acquired 78,000 acres of timberlands located in Arkansas and Maine. We sold approximately 112,000 acres of timberlands in 2006, 232,000 acres in 2005, and 377,000 acres in 2004. As a result of these timberland acquisitions and dispositions, our ownership was 8.2 million acres at December 31, 2006, 8.2 million acres at December 31, 2005, and 7.8 million acres at December 31, 2004. Accordingly, the comparability of periods covered by the company’s financial statements is, and in the future may be, affected by the impact of timberland acquisitions and divestitures.

 

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Results of Operations

The following table compares Operating Income (Loss) by Segment for the years ended December 31 (in millions):

 

     2006      2005      2004
 

Northern Resources

   $  105       $   99       $    97 

Southern Resources

   178       217       203 

Real Estate

   178       136       149 

Manufactured Products

   22       29       56 

Other

   16       13      
                  

Total Segment Operating Income

   499       494       514 

Other Costs & Eliminations

   (53)      (48)      (42)

Gain from Canadian Lumber Settlement

   14       –       – 

Other Operating Income (Expense), net

            
                  

Operating Income

   $  461       $  448       $  477 
                  
 

2006 COMPARED TO 2005

Northern Resources Segment. Revenues increased by $66 million, or 19%, to $413 million in 2006. Excluding revenues associated with our November 2005 acquisition of 650,000 acres of timberlands in Michigan (“Michigan acquisition”), revenues increased by $21 million, or 6%, to $364 million. This increase of $21 million was due primarily to higher harvest levels ($37 million), offset in part by lower softwood sawlog prices ($6 million) and a weaker product mix from log sales ($5 million).

Harvest levels increased by approximately 11% over the prior year’s harvest levels of 5.4 million tons due primarily to a temporary increase in harvest levels to take advantage of favorable log prices, especially during the first half of 2006. Softwood sawlog prices during 2006 were 2% lower than during 2005; however, softwood sawlog prices during the fourth quarter of 2006 were 9% lower than during the same period in the prior year. The lower prices are primarily due to mill curtailments as a result of weak lumber and plywood prices and the significant decline in housing starts. The weaker product mix (higher percentage of pulpwood sales and lower percentage of sawlog sales) is primarily due to the temporary increase in the harvesting of hardwood pulpwood stands to take advantage of favorable log prices.

Excluding the impact of our Michigan acquisition, operating income was 25% of its revenues for 2006, and 29% for 2005. This decrease was due primarily to higher per ton log and haul rates and lower softwood sawlog prices. Segment costs and expenses increased by $60 million, or 24%, to $308 million. Excluding costs and expenses associated with our Michigan acquisition, costs and expenses increased by $27 million, or 11%, to $272 million. This increase of $27 million was due primarily to higher log and haul and depletion cost ($19 million) as a result of higher harvest levels and higher per ton log and haul rates ($8 million). Log and haul rates increased by approximately 4% due to higher fuel costs and longer hauling distances.

Southern Resources Segment. Revenues decreased by $22 million, or 4%, to $479 million in 2006. This decrease was due primarily to a weaker product mix from log sales ($14 million) and lower sawlog prices ($11 million).

During 2005, we substantially completed the conversion of numerous natural stands to plantations in order to improve growth rates. As a result of this conversion, our product mix has changed whereby the percentage of large-diameter sawlogs harvested during 2006 has decreased and the percentage of small-diameter sawlogs and pulpwood harvested has increased. Sawlog prices during 2006 were 3% lower than during 2005; however, sawlog prices during the fourth quarter of 2006 were 10% lower than during the same period in the prior year. The lower prices are primarily due to mill curtailments as a result of weak lumber and plywood prices and the significant decline in housing starts.

Southern Resources Segment operating income was 37% of its revenues for 2006, and 43% for 2005. This decrease was due primarily to a lower percentage of high-value sawlogs in the sales mix, lower sawlog prices, and higher per ton log and haul rates. Segment costs and expenses increased by $17 million, or 6%, to $301 million in 2006. This increase was due primarily to higher log and haul cost per ton ($11 million). Log and haul rates increased by approximately 7% due to higher fuel costs and longer hauling distances.

 

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Real Estate Segment.

 

     Year Ended December 31, 2006      Year Ended December 31, 2005
Property    Acres
Sold
     Revenues
(Millions)
     Revenue
Per
Acre
     Acres
Sold
     Revenues
(Millions)
    

Revenue

Per Acre

 

Small Non-Strategic

   60,095      $  96      $  1,585      148,200      $  160      $    1,075

Large Non-Strategic

                  40,000      31      780

Conservation

   24,385      41      1,695      22,600      26      1,151

Higher and Better Use / Recreational

   22,770      93      4,070      21,000      59      2,814

Development Properties

   4,325      65      15,125      200      3      14,500

Conservation Easements

   N/A      13      885      N/A      13      450
                                   

Total

   111,575      $  308           232,000      $  292     
                                   
 

Revenues increased by $16 million to $308 million in 2006. This increase is due primarily to the sale of development properties ($62 million), the timing and location of sales of higher and better use properties ($34 million) and conservation properties ($15 million), offset in part by a decrease in the sales of small non-strategic properties ($64 million) and no large, non-strategic timberland sales during 2006 ($31 million). The timing of real estate sales is a function of many factors, including the general state of the economy, demand in local real estate markets, the ability to obtain entitlements, the plans of adjacent landowners, our expectation of future price appreciation, the timing of harvesting activities, and the availability of government and not-for-profit funding. Development properties revenue increased in 2006 due primarily to the sale of a large development project for proceeds of $43 million and the continued expansion of our real estate development business. This large development, which the company has been working on for several years, consisted of approximately 1,900 acres of land in King County, Washington. (See Part I, Item 1. Business, “Real Estate Segment” for a summary of internal development properties and joint venture arrangements.)

Average price per acre for small non-strategic land sales was $1,585 during 2006 compared to $1,075 per acre during 2005. Compared to prices realized during 2006, the majority of our remaining small non-strategic acres will likely have a lower price per acre. Average price per acre for higher and better use / recreational land sales was $4,070 during 2006 compared to $2,814 per acre during 2005. Due to increased competition in several of our markets with the highest per acre prices for our higher and better use / recreational properties, we may shift our sales mix to regions that tend to have lower per acre prices for our higher and better use / recreational properties. As a result, during 2007, we expect that our higher and better use / recreational properties will have a lower average price per acre. Each year we adjust our sales mix to capture value in the strongest markets.

The company employs an ongoing process designed to identify the long-term best use for each of its properties to guide the investment and management decisions on each property. Currently, our 8.2 million acres includes 6.1 million acres of core timberlands, approximately 400,000 acres of timberlands considered to be non-strategic, and 1.7 million acres of timberlands with higher value for uses other than growing timber. The non-strategic timberlands generally consist of small tracts and are expected to be sold over the next five years. The 1.7 million acres with higher value are further segmented into three categories: conservation (500,000 acres); recreation and higher and better use properties (1,000,000 acres); and those properties we expect to develop (225,000 acres) through a wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiary. The higher value properties, located throughout our ownership, may be sold over approximately the next 15 years. The company’s evaluation of the best economic use and future plans for its timberlands will change as markets for timber and alternative land uses evolve. As these changes occur, additional core timberlands may be categorized as conservation, higher and better use, or development properties. Until these properties are sold, they will continue to be used productively in our business of growing and selling timber. We expect revenues from real estate sales during 2007 to range between $330 million and $350 million from the sale of 150,000 to 190,000 acres. We estimate these sales will consist of 80,000 to 100,000 acres of non-strategic acres, 4,000 to 8,000 acres of development and joint venture acres and the remainder from the sales of higher and better use and conservation acres.

The Real Estate Segment operating income as a percent of revenue was 58% for the period ended December 31, 2006, compared to 47% for the same period in 2005. This increase was due primarily to selling a greater percentage of lower value timberlands during 2005, including 40,000 acres of large, non-strategic timberlands that were sold for a nominal gain. Real Estate Segment costs and expenses decreased by $26 million to $130 million in 2006. This decrease was due primarily to

 

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selling fewer acres during 2006 ($58 million), offset in part by higher costs associated with our development business ($34 million). Costs associated with our development business were $44 million for 2006 compared to $10 million in 2005, with approximately half of the development business costs in 2006 associated with the large project sold in King County, Washington. The remainder of the increase in development costs was due to higher staffing levels, basis and selling costs for lot sales, and investigatory and feasibility costs in connection with the expansion of this business.

Manufactured Products Segment. Revenues decreased by $11 million, or 2%, to $493 million in 2006. This decrease was due primarily to lower lumber prices ($4 million), lower lumber sales volume ($16 million), and lower plywood sales volume ($10 million), offset in part by higher MDF prices ($13 million) and higher MDF sales volume ($3 million). Lumber sales volume decreased by 7% due primarily to production curtailments as a result of a declining log supply and weak lumber prices. Lumber prices for 2006 were 5% lower than during 2005; however, lumber prices during the fourth quarter of 2006 were 11% lower than during the same period in the prior year due to the sharp decline in housing starts. Housing starts in the U.S. during 2006 were 12% lower compared to 2005.

Plywood sales volume decreased by 7% due primarily to a declining supply of high-grade plywood logs in the region and increased competition from commodity plywood mills. Plywood prices for 2006 were slightly higher than 2005; however, plywood prices during the fourth quarter of 2006 were 8% lower than during the fourth quarter of 2005. This price decline was due primarily to increased competition from commodity plywood producers which have targeted sales to industrial customers as a result of the slow down in home construction. MDF prices increased an average of 9% for all of 2006 due primarily to a mix shift to higher value products and supply constraints due to recent North America mill closures.

Manufactured Products Segment operating income was 5% of its revenues for 2006 and 6% for 2005. Manufactured Products Segment costs and expenses decreased by $4 million, or 1%, to $471 million in 2006. This decrease of $4 million was due primarily to lower lumber sales volume ($12 million) and lower plywood sales volume ($9 million), offset in part by higher plywood manufacturing costs ($8 million) and higher MDF raw material costs ($9 million). Plywood manufacturing costs increased due primarily to the increased costs associated with manufacturing higher value products. MDF raw material costs increased due primarily to higher resin (due to higher energy costs) and wood fiber (due to regional fiber shortage) costs.

Other Costs and Eliminations. Other Costs and Eliminations (which consists of corporate overhead and intercompany profit elimination) decreased operating income by $53 million in 2006, compared to a decrease of $48 million in 2005. This increase of $5 million was due primarily to increased costs associated with information technology, strategic business development, and financial and tax reporting. Other Costs and Eliminations increased by 10% during 2006 and are expected to increase by another 10% in 2007 for similar reasons.

Gain from Canadian Lumber Settlement. In 2006, a definitive agreement was signed between the U.S. and Canadian governments to settle the long-standing dispute over Canadian lumber imports. Under the terms of the agreement, approximately $500 million of deposits collected by the U.S. was paid to members of the U.S. industry coalition. As a member of the coalition, we received a pro rata share of these funds totaling $14 million ($13 million, net of tax).

Interest Expense, net. Interest expense (net of interest income) increased $24 million, or 22%, to $133 million in 2006. This increase was due primarily to the issuance of $300 million of senior notes in connection with our November 2005 Michigan timberland acquisition and our repurchase of approximately 7.5 million shares of common stock for $263 million in 2006. The share repurchase was funded by using a combination of cash and debt financing.

Provision for Income Taxes. The provision for income taxes was $13 million for 2006 compared to $8 million for 2005. This change of $5 million is due primarily to a remeasurement of our Deferred Tax Liability in 2005, which reduced tax expense for 2005 by $5 million. This remeasurement was related to projected sales of timberlands that are subject to built-in gains tax during the ten-year period ending October 6, 2011, that were acquired in connection with our merger with The Timber Company.

In addition to corporate-level income tax on certain non-REIT activities conducted through various wholly-owned taxable REIT subsidiaries, the company is subject to built-in gains tax on certain property dispositions as a consequence of our October 6, 2001 merger with The Timber Company. Our merger with The Timber Company involved merging a taxable entity into a nontaxable entity, and as a result, Plum Creek will generally be subject to corporate-level income tax (built-in gains tax) if the company makes a taxable disposition of certain property acquired in the merger within the ten-year period following the merger date. However, the tax is generally not payable to the extent proceeds from such dispositions are reinvested in qualifying like-kind replacement property.

 

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In connection with our merger with The Timber Company, we wrote-off all of The Timber Company’s deferred income tax liability related to timber and timberlands except for $11 million. The $11 million deferred income tax liability relates to the book-tax basis difference of timber and timberlands that were expected to be sold, and subject to, the built-in gains tax during the ten-year period ending October 6, 2011. During the period October 6, 2001 to December 31, 2006, the $11 million deferred income tax liability was reduced by $1 million due to the payment of tax in connection with sales of timberlands subject to the built-in gains tax.

In accordance with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes, we remeasure the amount of deferred income taxes needed in connection with expected sales of timberlands subject to the built-in gains tax each quarterly reporting period. In 2005, we reduced our deferred tax liability associated with timber and timberlands by $5 million and correspondingly recorded a deferred tax benefit of $5 million. Based on projected timberland sales subject to the built-in gains tax for the period December 31, 2006 to October 6, 2011, and our ability to successfully reinvest proceeds in like-kind properties, we estimate we need a deferred tax liability of approximately $5 million. As a result, no adjustment to the deferred tax liability associated with built-in gains tax was made in 2006.

2005 COMPARED TO 2004

Northern Resources Segment. Revenues increased by $22 million, or 7%, to $347 million in 2005. This increase was due primarily to higher harvest volume ($12 million) and higher product prices ($11 million). The increase in volume is due primarily to harvesting on timberlands acquired during the past several years, stronger log demand due to new mills, and an increase of harvest levels in certain markets to take advantage of favorable log prices. Revenues in 2005 included $4 million from the harvesting of 85,000 tons associated with our acquisition of 650,000 acres of timberlands in Michigan during November of 2005.

Sawlog prices increased by 3% ($8 million) due primarily to higher demand for logs as a result of increased lumber production and a limited supply of logs. Pulpwood prices increased by 8% ($5 million) due primarily to low log inventories.

Northern Resources Segment operating income was 29% of its revenues for 2005 and 30% for 2004. Segment costs and expenses increased by $20 million, or 9%, to $248 million in 2005. This increase was primarily due to higher per ton log and haul rates ($12 million) and higher harvest volume. Log and haul cost on a per ton basis increased by 7% due primarily to higher fuel costs. Segment expenses in 2005 included $3 million as a result of our harvesting on recently acquired timberlands in Michigan.

Southern Resources Segment. Revenues increased by $42 million, or 9%, to $501 million in 2005. This increase was due primarily to a higher percentage of delivered log sales compared to sales of standing timber ($19 million), higher harvest volume ($11 million) and higher softwood sawlog prices ($7 million).

Revenues increased $19 million due to the company’s increased percentage of delivered log sales. A portion of the increase in delivered log sales is by way of decreasing the percentage of standing timber sales. Under its delivered log sale agreements, the company is responsible for log and haul costs. When standing timber is sold, the buyer incurs the log and haul costs. The company sells logs on a delivered basis when, in management’s judgment, log merchandising efforts will yield a premium over selling stumpage. While revenues are higher when the company is responsible for the logging and hauling of timber, a large portion of that increase in revenue is to cover the related increase in cost of sales. As a result, on delivered log sales the company realizes lower operating income as a percentage of revenue, even though operating income is generally improved.

Harvest volume increased due to favorable harvesting conditions during most of 2005 and a planned increase in harvest levels. The planned increase in harvest levels is the result of an increased percentage of maturing timber on our southern timberlands.

Softwood sawlog prices increased temporarily during the first half of 2005 due primarily to a weather-related shortage of logs. Several of our customers had low log inventories at the end of 2004 due to wet weather during the second half of 2004, and as a result, offered higher prices in order to rebuild log decks.

Southern Resources Segment operating income was 43% of its revenues for 2005 and 44% for 2004. Southern Resources Segment costs and expenses increased by $28 million, or 11%, to $284 million in 2005. This increase was due primarily to an increase in log and haul costs as a result of a higher percentage of delivered log sales compared to sales of standing timber, increased harvesting volume, and higher fuel costs. The per ton rate increase for log and haul costs, which increased costs and expenses by $11 million, was due primarily to higher fuel costs.

 

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In 2005, approximately 350,000 acres of our timberlands in Mississippi were impacted by severe winds from Hurricane Katrina. As a result, we recorded a $2 million loss in 2005, which represents the book basis for approximately 600,000 tons of timber that was destroyed. Following Hurricane Katrina, we began salvaging timber that was blown down but not destroyed. For 2005, operating income was reduced by $1 million due to higher logging costs from our salvage operations.

Real Estate Segment.

 

     2005      2004
Property    Acres
Sold
     Revenues
(Millions)
     Revenue
Per Acre
     Acres
Sold
     Revenues
(Millions)
     Revenue
Per Acre
 

Small Non-Strategic

   148,200      $  160      $  1,075      34,000      $    42      $   1,230

Large Non-Strategic

   40,000      31      780      255,000      133      520

Conservation

   22,600      26      1,151      65,000      73      1,125

Higher and Better Use / Recreational

   21,000      59      2,814      21,100      52      2,450

Development Properties

   200      3      14,500      50      3      61,000

Conservation Easements

   N/A      13      450      N/A          
                                   

Total

   232,000      $  292           375,150      $  303     
                                   
 

Revenues decreased by $11 million to $292 million in 2005. Excluding revenues from the large, non-strategic timberland sales, revenues increased $91 million to $261 million for 2005, compared to $170 million for 2004. This increase is due primarily to an increase in land sales activity as the company executes its strategy of selling non-strategic timberlands. Large, non-strategic timberland sales excluded, the sales of our conservation and small non-strategic timberlands accounted for approximately 90% of the acres sold during 2005 compared to 82% of the acres sold during 2004. Higher and better use timberland sales represented approximately 10% of the acres sold during 2005 compared to 18% of the acres sold during 2004.

Real Estate Segment operating income was 47% of its revenues for 2005, compared to 49% for 2004. Real Estate Segment costs and expenses increased by $2 million to $156 million in 2005. This increase was due primarily to an increase in land sales activity associated with small parcels of non-strategic timberlands ($28 million, primarily land basis) and an increase in costs associated with development activities ($7 million), offset in part by a decrease in large, non-strategic timberland sales ($34 million, primarily land basis). Costs associated with our real estate development activities increased to $10 million in 2005 compared to $3 million in 2004 due primarily to new costs (e.g. investigatory, appraisals, feasibility studies, environmental and engineering studies, market analysis) associated with our expanding real estate development business.

Manufactured Products Segment. Revenues decreased by $14 million, or 3%, to $504 million in 2005. This decrease was due primarily to lower lumber prices ($11 million), lower plywood prices ($9 million), offset in part by higher MDF prices ($10 million). Despite the highest level of U.S. housing starts since 1972 (U.S. housing starts during 2005 were 5.6% higher than housing starts during 2004), lumber prices decreased by 7% due primarily to increased lumber production and imports. U.S. lumber production during the first eleven months of 2005 was 4% higher than the same period in 2004 due to start-up of new mills and capacity expansions at existing mills. Furthermore, lumber imports from Canada during the first eleven months of 2005 increased by 2% over the same period in 2004, and offshore imports (Europe and Latin America) increased by 28%, due primarily to the strength of the U.S. economy and weak foreign markets.

Plywood prices decreased by 7% due primarily to the increase in North America structural panels (plywood and oriented strand board) production capacity and offshore imports. During 2005, North America structural panel production capacity has increased by approximately one billion square feet, or approximately 3% of the annual U.S. structural panel consumption. During 2005, offshore imports (primarily Latin America) increased 32% over 2004 amounts.

MDF prices increased 6% due primarily to improved demand and a richer production mix. MDF demand has increased due to strong housing starts and improved repair and remodeling markets. During the first half of 2004, we resolved all of our start-up issues associated with our new MDF thin-board line and, as a result, have increased the percentage of higher-margin products we produce.

Manufactured Products Segment operating income was 6% of its revenues for 2005 and 11% for 2004. This decrease was due primarily to lower lumber and plywood prices and higher energy and raw material costs. Manufactured Products Segment

 

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costs and expenses increased by $13 million, or 3%, to $475 million in 2005. This increase was due primarily to higher log costs and higher energy prices. Log costs have increased due primarily to a declining supply of logs in Montana and favorable lumber and plywood prices. Energy costs, including the impact on resin prices, have increased by $5 million over the prior year.

Other Costs and Eliminations. Other Costs and Eliminations (which consists of corporate overhead and intercompany profit elimination) decreased operating income by $48 million in 2005, compared to a decrease of $42 million in 2004. This increase of $6 million was due primarily to higher corporate overhead associated with accounting and timber and timberland systems, and corporate compliance.

Other Operating Income (Expense), net. During 2004, we sold our working interest in our coalbed methane gas joint operating agreement to Geomet, Inc. for $27 million and recorded a gain of $5 million.

Interest Expense, net. Net interest expense decreased by $2 million to $109 million for 2005. This decrease was due primarily to the replacement of high interest rate debt with lower interest rate debt.

Provision for Income Taxes. The provision for income taxes was $8 million for 2005 compared to $27 million for 2004. This decrease of $19 million is due primarily to a $27 million decline in the operating income of the Manufacturing Products Segment (resulting in a lower tax expense of $11 million), a $5 million remeasurement of our Deferred Tax Liability, and the $5 million gain we recognized during the second quarter of 2004 from the sale of our coalbed methane gas working interest (resulting in a higher tax expense in the prior year of $2 million). See Note 4 of the Notes to Financial Statements for further discussion regarding the remeasurement of our Deferred Tax Liability.

Gain on Sale of Properties, net of tax. In December 2004, the company sold certain subsurface property rights (primarily coal reserves, excluding coalbed methane, oil and gas reserves) in Buchanan County, Virginia. The net gain, after reducing the proceeds for applicable book basis and income taxes, was $23 million. During the first quarter of 2005, the company sold its remaining coal reserves for a total gain of $20 million, net of selling costs and applicable income taxes. The company also sold other industrial mineral assets during the fourth quarter of 2005 for a total gain of $3 million, net of tax.

Financial Condition and Liquidity

 

          2006           2005           2004
 
SOURCES OF CASH:             

Operations

   $    527       $     552       $    594 

Changes in Working Capital

   29       (36)      (12)

Cash from Stock Option Exercises

             12 

Cash from Other Asset Sales

        29       46 

Increase Debt Obligations, net

   93       341       – 

Other Cash Changes, net

        (3)      (1)
                  

Total Sources of Cash

   $   660       $    892       $    639 
USES OF CASH:             

Returned to Stockholders:

            

Dividends

   $  (290)      $   (279)      $  (260)

Common Stock Repurchases

   (263)      (1)      – 

Reinvest in the Business:

            

Capital Expenditures

   (92)      (89)      (70)

Acquire Timberlands

   (111)      (501)      (66)

Reduce Debt Obligations, net

   –       –       (181)
                  

Total Uses of Cash

   (756)      (870)      (577)
                  

Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents

   $    (96)      $      22       $     62 
                  
 

Cash Flows from Operating Activities. Net cash provided by operating activities for the year ended December 31, 2006 totaled $556 million, compared to $516 million in 2005. The increase of $40 million was due primarily to a $65 million decrease in working capital, primarily as a result of a $51 million positive change related to the timing of when proceeds from a like-kind exchange trust are either reinvested in replacement property (primarily timberlands) or distributed to the company. Proceeds associated with a forward like-kind exchange are either reinvested in like-kind property within 180-days, or if the

 

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exchange is not successful, are distributed to the company at the end of either the 45-day identification period or the 180-day reinvestment period. During 2006, we received proceeds from an unsuccessful like-kind exchange while during 2005 we had numerous real estate sales in which the proceeds were held in a like-kind exchange trust as of December 31, 2005.

Net cash provided by operating activities for the year ended December 31, 2005 totaled $516 million, compared to $582 million in 2004. The decrease of $66 million was due primarily to a $27 million decrease in operating income from our manufacturing facilities and a $24 million increase in working capital. The increase in working capital was due primarily to an increase in like-kind exchange proceeds held in escrow.

Debt Financing. In April 2006, the company filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission a shelf registration statement under which Plum Creek Timber Company, Inc., from time to time, may offer and sell any combination of preferred stock, common stock, depositary shares, warrants and guarantees, and under which Plum Creek Timberlands, L.P., the company’s wholly-owned operating partnership, may from time to time, offer and sell debt securities. The shelf registration statement expires on April 25, 2009.

On May 2, 2006, Plum Creek Timberlands, L.P. issued off the shelf registration statement $225 million aggregate principal amount of its senior notes with a coupon rate of 5.875%, at a market price of 96.686% of the principal amount. The notes mature in 2015 and are fully and unconditionally guaranteed by Plum Creek Timber Company, Inc. The net proceeds of $216 million were used primarily to repay outstanding debt maturing during 2006.

On June 29, 2006, the company terminated its previous $650 million revolving line of credit maturing in January 2009 and entered into a new $750 million revolving line of credit agreement that matures in June 2011. The revolving line of credit may be increased to $1 billion subject to certain terms and conditions. As of December 31, 2006, the weighted-average interest rate for the borrowings on the line of credit was 5.79%. The interest rate on the line of credit is based on LIBOR plus 0.425%. This rate can range from LIBOR plus 0.27% to LIBOR plus 1% depending on our debt ratings. Subject to customary covenants, the line of credit allows for borrowings from time to time up to $750 million, including up to $100 million of standby letters of credit. Borrowings on the line of credit fluctuate daily based on cash needs. As of December 31, 2006, we had $581 million of borrowings and $5 million of standby letters of credit outstanding; $164 million remained available for borrowing under our line of credit. As of January 5, 2007, $243 million of the borrowings under our line of credit was repaid.

In November of 2005, Plum Creek Timberlands, L.P. issued $300 million aggregate principal notes with a coupon rate of 5.875% at a market price of 99.731% of the principal amount. The notes, issued under a previous shelf registration statement, mature in 2015. The net proceeds of $297 million were used primarily to acquire 650,000 acres of timberlands in Michigan, valued at $345 million. The transaction was also by funded by $87 million of like-kind exchange funds.

The company’s borrowing agreements contain various restrictive covenants, including limitations on harvest levels, sales of assets, the incurrence of indebtedness and making restricted payments (such as payments of cash dividends or stock repurchases). The borrowing agreements limit our ability to make restricted payments based on available cash, which is generally our net income (excluding gains on the sale of capital assets) after adjusting for non-cash charges (such as depreciation and depletion), changes in various reserves, less capital expenditures and principal payments on indebtedness that are not financed. Additionally, the amount of available cash may be increased by the amount of proceeds from the sale of higher and better use properties and, under certain circumstances, by 50% of the amount of net proceeds from the sale of other assets. Furthermore, our line of credit requires that we maintain certain interest coverage and maximum leverage ratios. The company was in compliance with all of our borrowing agreement covenants as of December 31, 2006.

The company’s financial policy is to maintain a balance sheet that provides the financial flexibility to pursue our strategic objectives. In order to maintain this financial flexibility, the company’s objective is to maintain its investment grade credit rating. This is reflected in our moderate use of debt, good access to credit markets and no material covenant restrictions in our debt agreements that would prevent us from prudently using debt capital.

Capital Expenditures. Capital expenditures, excluding the acquisition of timberlands, for 2006 were $92 million (including $6 million in real estate development expenditures) compared to $89 million in 2005 and $70 million for 2004. During 2006, Plum Creek acquired approximately 98,000 acres of timberlands located primarily in Oregon for $111 million with funds from tax-deferred exchange transactions and from use of our line of credit. During 2005, Plum Creek acquired approximately 754,000 acres of timberlands located in Northern Michigan, Arkansas and Florida for $501 million with funds from

 

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tax-deferred exchange transactions, debt and funds from operations. During 2004, Plum Creek acquired approximately 78,000 acres of timberlands located primarily in Arkansas and Maine for $66 million with funds from operations and funds from tax-deferred exchange transactions.

Planned capital expenditures for 2007, excluding the acquisition of timberlands, are expected to range between $95 million and $105 million and include approximately $65 million for our timberlands, $15 million for real estate development investments, $12 million for our manufacturing facilities, and $10 million for investments in information technology to support growth in our Real Estate Segment. The timberland expenditures are primarily for reforestation and other expenditures associated with the planting and growing of trees. Approximately 50% of planned capital expenditures are discretionary in 2007. Discretionary expenditures consist primarily of silviculture, land development, and information technology investments. Other capital expenditures consist primarily of reforestation and projects at our manufacturing facilities to sustain operating activities and improve safety. Included within the planned capital expenditures for our manufacturing facilities for 2007 is approximately an $8 million investment to expand our bio-filter emissions control equipment at our MDF facilities to comply with stricter environmental standards that become effective October 1, 2008.

Equity. On February 6, 2007, our Board of Directors declared a dividend of $0.42 per share, or approximately $74 million, which will be paid on March 2, 2007, to stockholders of record on February 16, 2007. Future dividends will be determined by our Board of Directors, in its sole discretion, based on consideration of a number of factors including, but not limited to, our results of operations, cash flow and capital requirements, economic conditions, tax considerations, debt covenant restrictions that may impose limitations on the company’s ability to make cash payments, borrowing capacity, changes in the prices of and demand for Plum Creek’s products, and changes in our ability to sell timberlands at attractive prices. Other factors that our Board of Directors considers include the appropriate timing of timber harvests, acquisition and divestiture opportunities, stock repurchases, debt repayment and other means by which the company could deliver value to its stockholders.

In October 2002, the Board of Directors authorized a $200 million share repurchase program. In June 2006, the Board of Directors authorized an additional $200 million to be used for the share repurchase program. As of December 31, 2006, the company had repurchased approximately 9.5 million shares of common stock for a total cost of $307 million at an average price of $32.26 per share. Of these totals, 7.5 million shares at a total cost of $263 million, or an average cost per share of $35.16, were repurchased in 2006. The company is authorized to repurchase an additional $93 million of its common stock.

Future Cash Requirements. Cash required to meet our financial needs will be significant. We believe, however, that cash on hand and cash flows from continuing operations will be sufficient to fund planned capital expenditures and interest payments on our indebtedness through the end of 2007. In 2007, the company has $123 million of scheduled long-term debt principal payment requirements. The company intends to refinance the 2007 principal payments at the time of maturity with the use of a combination of short-term and long-term borrowings, depending on interest rate and market conditions. Management believes that the company’s credit ratings, asset base and historical financial performance will allow these refinancings to be completed at attractive interest rates.

Other Information

SFAS No. 158. In September 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 158, Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Post Retirement Plans—an amendment of FASB Statements No. 87, 88, 106, and 132(R) (“SFAS No. 158”). SFAS No. 158 requires entities to recognize the funded status of their defined benefit pension plans in the balance sheet, measured as the difference between the fair value of the plan assets less the projected benefit obligation. Any resulting asset or liability will be fully recognized in the balance sheet. SFAS No. 158 also requires the actuarial measurement date to be at the end of the entity’s fiscal year and expanded disclosure in the footnotes to the financial statements. SFAS No. 158 is effective for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2006 for entities with publicly traded equity securities, and requires prospective application, with the initial recognition of the funded status being recognized as a component of other comprehensive income. The company adopted SFAS No. 158 on December 31, 2006. As a result of adopting SFAS No. 158, the company recorded a $14 million decrease in accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax of $5 million. See Note 10 of the Notes to Financial Statements.

SAB 108. In September 2006, the Securities and Exchange Commission issued Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 108, Considering the effects of Prior Year Misstatements when Quantifying Misstatements in Current Year Financial Statements (“SAB 108”), which provides interpretive guidance on the consideration of the effects of prior year misstatements in quantifying

 

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current year misstatements for the purpose of a materiality assessment. SAB 108 is effective for fiscal years ending after November 15, 2006. The adoption of this standard at December 31, 2006 did not have an impact on the company’s financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.

SFAS No. 157. In September 2006, the FASB issued SFAS No. 157, Fair Value Measurement (“SFAS No. 157”). SFAS No. 157 defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in generally accepted accounting principles, and expands disclosures about fair value measurements, but does not require any new fair value measurements. SFAS No. 157 is effective for fiscal years beginning after November 15, 2007 and interim periods within those fiscal years. The company will adopt SFAS No. 157 in the first quarter of 2008. The Company is in the process of determining the effect, if any, the adoption of SFAS No. 157 will have on the consolidated financial statements.

FIN 48. In July 2006, the Financial Accounting Standards Board issued FASB Interpretation No. 48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes (“FIN 48”). In summary, FIN 48 requires that all tax positions subject to Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 109, Accounting for Income Taxes, be analyzed using a two-step approach. The first step requires an entity to determine if a tax position is more-likely-than-not to be sustained upon examination. In the second step, the tax benefit is measured as the largest amount of benefit, determined on a cumulative probability basis that is more-likely-than-not to be realized upon ultimate settlement. FIN 48 is effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2006, with any adjustment in a company’s tax provision being accounted for as a cumulative effect of accounting change in beginning equity. The company adopted FIN 48 on January 1, 2007. The adoption of this standard did not have an impact on the company’s financial condition, results of operations or cash flows.

ITEM 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

Interest Rate Risk

Approximately $1.7 billion of the long-term debt of the company bears interest at fixed rates, and therefore the fair value of these instruments is affected by changes in market interest rates. The following table presents contractual principal cash flows based upon maturity dates of the company’s debt obligations and the related weighted-average contractual interest rates by expected maturity dates for the fixed rate debt (in millions):

 

     2007      2008      2009      2010      2011      THERE-
AFTER
     TOTAL      FAIR
VALUEA
 
DECEMBER 31, 2006                          

Fixed rate debt

                         

Principal dueB

   $   123      $   147      $   200      $   59      $   424      $   796      $   1,749      $   1,795

Average interest rateC

     6.9 %      6.9 %      6.8 %      6.7 %      6.6 %      6.0 %        

Variable rate debtD

               $   581         $   581      $   581
 
     2006      2007      2008      2009      2010     

THERE-

AFTER

     TOTAL      FAIR
VALUEB
 
DECEMBER 31, 2005                          

Fixed rate debt