10-K 1 d10k.htm FORM 10-K Form 10-K

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

FORM 10-K

(Mark One)

x ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2005

 

¨ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the transition period from                  to                 

Commission file number 1-10777

Ambac Financial Group, Inc.

(Exact name of Registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Delaware

(State of incorporation)

 

13-3621676

(I.R.S. employer identification no.)

One State Street Plaza

New York, New York

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

10004

(Zip code)

(212) 668-0340

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:

 

Title of each class   Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, $0.01 per share   New York Stock Exchange, Inc.
5.875% Debentures, Due March 24, 2103   New York Stock Exchange, Inc.
5.95% Debentures, Due February 28, 2103   New York Stock Exchange, Inc.
7% Debentures Due October 17, 2051   New York Stock Exchange, Inc.

Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. Yes x    No ¨

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Act. Yes ¨    No x

Indicate by check mark whether the Registrant: (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the Registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. Yes x    No ¨

Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of Registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):

Large Accelerated Filer x    Accelerated filer ¨    Non-accelerated filer ¨

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act). Yes ¨    No x

The aggregate market value of voting stock held by non-affiliates of the Registrant as of the close of business on June 30, 2005 was $7,449,006,913 (based upon the closing price of the Registrant’s shares of the New York Stock Exchange on that date, which was $69.76). For purposes of this information, the outstanding shares of Common Stock which were owned by all directors and executive officers of the Registrant were deemed to be shares of Common Stock held by affiliates.

As of March 6, 2006, 105,524,792 shares of Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share, (net of 3,668,304 treasury shares) were outstanding.

Documents Incorporated By Reference

Portions of Ambac Financial Corp., Inc.’s Proxy Statement for its 2006 Annual Meeting of Stockholders scheduled to be held on May 2, 2006 are incorporated by reference into the Annual Report on Form 10-K in response to Part III, Items 10, 11, 12 and 14.


TABLE OF CONTENTS

 

          Page

PART I

     

Item 1.

   Business   
  

Introduction

   1
  

Cautionary Statement Pursuant to the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995

   2
  

Business Segments

   3
  

Employees

   27
  

Corporate Governance

   27

Item 1A.

   Risk Factors    28

Item 1B.

   Unresolved Staff Comments    32

Item 2.

   Properties    33

Item 3.

   Legal Proceedings    33

Item 4.

   Submission of Matters to a
Vote of Security Holders
   33

PART II

     

Item 5.

   Market for Registrant’s Common
Equity and Related Stockholder Matters
   33

Item 6.

   Selected Financial Data    35

Item 7.

   Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations
   35

Item 7A.

   Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures
About Market Risk
   68

Item 8.

   Financial Statements and Supplementary Data    72

Item 9.

   Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on
Accounting and Financial Disclosure
   126

Item 9A.

   Controls and Procedures    126

Item 9B.

   Other Information    126

PART III

     

Item 10.

   Directors and Executive Officers
of the Registrant
   126

Item 11.

   Executive Compensation    127

Item 12.

   Security Ownership of Certain
Beneficial Owners and Management
   127

Item 13.

   Certain Relationships and
Related Transactions
   127

Item 14.

   Principal Accountant Fees and Services    127

PART IV

     

Item 15.

   Exhibits, Financial Statement
Schedules, and Reports on Form 8-K
   127

SIGNATURES

      134

FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES

   S-1


Part I

 

Item 1. Business.

INTRODUCTION

Ambac Financial Group, Inc., headquartered in New York City, is a holding company whose subsidiaries provide financial guarantee products and other financial services to clients in both the public and private sectors around the world. Ambac Financial Group was incorporated on April 29, 1991. Ambac Financial Group provides financial guarantees for public finance and structured finance obligations through its principal operating subsidiary, Ambac Assurance Corporation. Through its financial services subsidiaries, Ambac Financial Group provides financial and investment products including investment agreements, funding conduits, interest rate, currency and total return swaps, principally to its clients of the financial guarantee business. Information about Ambac Financial Group is available through our website at www.ambac.com. In addition, our press releases and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) are available free of charge on the investor relations portion of our website.

Ambac Assurance and its subsidiary Ambac Assurance UK Limited, which serve the global capital markets, are primarily engaged in guaranteeing public finance and structured finance obligations. Ambac Assurance is the successor to the founding financial guarantee insurance company, which wrote the first bond insurance policy in 1971. Financial guarantee insurance policies written by Ambac Assurance generally guarantee payment when due of the principal and interest on the guaranteed obligation. Ambac Assurance seeks to minimize the risk inherent in its financial guarantee portfolio by maintaining a diverse portfolio which spreads its risk across a number of criteria, including issue size, type of obligation, geographic area and obligor.

Ambac Assurance has earned triple-A ratings, the highest ratings available from Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. (“Moody’s”), Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services (“S&P”), Fitch, Inc. (“Fitch”) and Rating and Investment Information, Inc. (“R&I”). These ratings are an essential part of Ambac Assurance’s ability to provide credit enhancement and any reduction in these ratings could have a material adverse affect on Ambac Assurance’s ability to compete in the financial guarantee business. See “Rating Agencies” section below for further information.

Ambac Credit Products LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Ambac Assurance, provides credit protection in the global markets in the form of structured credit derivatives. These structured credit derivatives, which are privately negotiated contracts, provide the counterparty with credit protection against the occurrence of a specific event such as a payment default or bankruptcy relating to an underlying obligation. Upon a credit event, Ambac Credit Products is required to either (i) purchase the underlying obligation at its par value and a loss is realized for the difference between the par and market value of the underlying obligation, (ii) make a payment equivalent to the difference between the par value and market value of the underlying obligation or (iii) make payments for the difference between the scheduled debt service payment due and the actual payment made by the issuer. Substantially all of Ambac’s structured credit derivative contracts relate to senior tranches of structured finance transactions and are partially hedged with various financial institutions or structured with first loss protection. Structured credit derivatives issued by Ambac Credit Products are insured by Ambac

 

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Assurance. See “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” located in Part II, Item 7A for further information about structured credit derivatives.

In addition to the guarantees on fixed income obligations described above, Ambac, from time to time, enters into transactions that expose the company to risks which may not be correlated to credit risk, for example weather-related or other disasters, mortality or other property and casualty type risk characteristics. Ambac underwrites such risks so that first loss must occur before Ambac would become liable in respect of such risks. Additionally, Ambac underwrites such business primarily in relation to broad indices and reference pools which embody diverse risk characteristics.

Ambac Financial Group’s investment agreement business, conducted through its subsidiary, Ambac Capital Funding, Inc., provides investment agreements primarily to municipalities and other public entities, issuers of structured finance obligations and international issuers. Investment agreements issued by Ambac Capital Funding are insured by Ambac Assurance. Investment agreements are primarily used by issuers to invest bond proceeds until the proceeds can be used for their intended purpose. See “Investment Agreement” section below for further information.

Ambac Financial Group provides interest rate and currency swaps through its subsidiary Ambac Financial Services, LLC, primarily to states, municipalities and their authorities, issuers of asset-backed securities and other entities in connection with their financings. Ambac Financial Group also enters into total return swaps with professional counterparties through its subsidiary Ambac Capital Services LLC. Total return swaps are generally used for fixed income obligations, which meet Ambac Assurance’s credit underwriting criteria. See “Derivative Products” section below for further information.

As a holding company, Ambac Financial Group is largely dependent on dividends from Ambac Assurance to pay dividends on its capital stock, to pay principal and interest on its indebtedness, to pay its operating expenses, to purchase its common stock in the open market and to make capital investments in its subsidiaries. Dividends from Ambac Assurance are subject to certain insurance regulatory restrictions. See “Insurance Regulatory Matters—Wisconsin Dividend Restrictions” section and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis—Liquidity and Capital Resources” located in Part II, Item 7 for further information.

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT PURSUANT TO THE PRIVATE SECURITIES LITIGATION REFORM ACT OF 1995

Materials in this Annual Report on Form 10-K may contain information that includes or is based upon forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are not historical facts but instead represent management’s belief regarding future events, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and outside our control. You can identify these statements by the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and relate to future plan or objectives and results.

Any or all of management’s forward-looking statements here or in other publications may turn out to be wrong and are based on current expectations and the current economic environment. Ambac Financial Group’s actual results may vary materially, and there are no guarantees about the performance of Ambac Financial Group’s securities. Among factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are: (1) changes in the economic, credit, or interest rate environment in the United

 

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States and abroad; (2) the level of activity within the national and worldwide debt markets; (3) competitive conditions and pricing levels; (4) legislative and regulatory developments; (5) changes in tax laws; (6) the policies and actions of the United States and other governments; (7) changes in capital requirements or other criteria of rating agencies; (8) changes in accounting principles or practices that may impact Ambac Financial Group’s reported financial results; (9) the amount of reserves established for losses and loss expenses; (10) default of one or more of Ambac Assurance’s reinsurers; (11) market spreads and pricing on insured pooled debt obligations and other derivative products insured or issued by Ambac Financial Group; (12) prepayment speeds on insured asset-backed securities and other factors that may influence the amount of installment premiums paid to Ambac Assurance; and (13) other risks and uncertainties that have not been identified at this time. Ambac Financial Group is not obligated to publicly correct or update any forward-looking statement if we later become aware that it is not likely to be achieved, except as required by law. You are advised, however, to consult any further disclosures we make on related subjects in Ambac Financial Group’s reports to the SEC.

BUSINESS SEGMENTS

The following paragraphs describe the business operations of Ambac Financial Group and its subsidiaries for its two reportable segments: Financial Guarantee and Financial Services.

Financial Guarantee

The financial guarantee segment includes financial guarantee insurance and other credit enhancement products, such as credit derivatives. Financial guarantee insurance provides an unconditioned guarantee that protects the holder of a financial obligation against non-payment of principal and interest when due. Financial guarantee insurance is a form of credit enhancement that benefits both the issuer and the investor. Issuers benefit because their insured securities are sold with the highest available credit rating, resulting in interest cost savings and greater marketability. In addition, for complex financings and obligations of issuers that are not well known by investors, credit enhanced obligations receive greater market acceptance than obligations without credit enhancement. Investors benefit from greater marketability, secondary market price stability, active credit surveillance and protection from loss associated with issuer default. Financial guarantee products are sold in three principal markets: the U.S. public finance market, the U.S. structured finance and asset-backed market and the international finance market.

In certain floating rate insured transactions, the issuer of insured securities is party to an interest rate swap that hedges their risk to interest rates effectively creating a synthetic fixed rate obligation. In such transactions, Ambac Assurance has, from time-to-time, insured the issuer’s obligations under both the insured securities and the derivative contract.

As an alternative to financial guarantee insurance, credit protection relating to a particular security or issuer can be provided through a credit derivative, such as a credit default swap. Under the terms of a credit default swap, the seller of credit protection makes a specified payment(s) to the buyer of credit protection upon the occurrence of one or more specified credit events with respect to a referenced obligation or entity.

Ambac Assurance guarantees obligations already carrying insurance from other monoline guarantors, with Ambac Assurance generally obligated to pay claims only upon a default by both the underlying obligor and the original financial guarantor.

 

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Ambac Financial Group derives financial guarantee revenues from: (i) premiums earned from insurance contracts; (ii) net investment income; (iii) revenue from credit derivative transactions; (iv) net realized gains and losses from sales of investment securities; and (v) certain structuring and other fees. Financial guarantee revenues were $1,324.5 million, $1,168.7 million, and $1,033.6 million in 2005, 2004, and 2003, respectively. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” located in Part II, Item 7 and Note 18 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements located in Part II, Item 8 for further information.

Pricing:

Ambac Assurance determines premium rates on the basis of the type of transaction and its assessment of the risk it is guaranteeing. Factors considered in pricing include term to maturity, structure of the issue and credit and market factors including security features and other credit enhancement features. Additionally, the interest rate spread between insured and uninsured obligations with characteristics similar to those of the proposed bond issue is considered in the pricing process as well as the cost and the projected return to Ambac Assurance. The premium rate for a new issue also takes into account the benefits to be obtained by the issuer.

Overall, the business environment has become more competitive. Competition arises from both other insurers as well as other transaction execution (e.g. senior/subordinate structure). This increased competition has had a moderately adverse impact on pricing. See “Competition” section below for further information.

U. S. Public Finance Market

The U.S. public finance market includes taxable and tax-exempt bonds, notes and other evidences of indebtedness issued primarily by states, political subdivisions (e.g., cities, counties and towns), water, sewer, electric and other utility districts, airports, higher educational institutions, hospitals, transportation and housing authorities. Public finance obligations are generally supported by either the taxing authority of the issuer or the issuer’s or underlying obligor’s ability to collect fees or assessments for certain projects or public services. Although Ambac Assurance guarantees the full range of Public Finance obligations, Ambac Assurance concentrates on those projects that require more structuring skills. Certain projects, which had been financed by the local or U.S. government alone, are now being financed through public-private partnerships. In these transactions, debt service on the bonds, rather than being paid solely by tax revenues or other governmental funds, is being paid from a variety of revenue sources, including revenues derived from the project itself. Examples of these transactions include stadium financings, student housing and military housing. Included in transportation obligations is exposure to U.S. airports. Airport obligations are generally supported by (i) terminal lease revenues, parking and other concession revenues; (ii) passenger facility charges; or (iii) payments in respect of specific airport facilities. The following table sets forth the volume of new issues of long-term (longer than 12 months) public finance bonds and the volume of new issues of insured long-term public finance bonds over the past ten years in the United States.

 

4


U.S. Public Finance Long-Term Market

 

($ in Billions)   

New

Money

   Refundings   

Total

Volume

  

Refundings

as Percentage

of Total Volume

  

Insured

Volume

  

Insured Bonds

as Percentage

of Total Volume

      

1996

   139.1    45.9    185.0    24.8    85.7    46.3

1997

   160.3    60.2    220.5    27.3    107.5    48.8

1998

   204.7    82.0    286.7    28.6    145.5    50.7

1999

   189.3    38.3    227.6    16.8    105.6    46.4

2000

   181.3    19.5    200.8    9.7    79.3    39.5

2001

   223.5    64.7    288.2    22.4    134.4    46.6

2002

   266.7    92.1    358.8    25.7    178.9    49.9

2003

   288.7    95.0    383.7    24.8    190.7    49.7

2004

   271.7    88.4    360.1    24.5    192.7    53.5

2005

   275.9    130.2    406.1    32.1    228.4    56.2

 

Source: Amounts, except for 2005, are reported by The Bond Buyer’s 2005 Yearbook. The 2005 amounts are Ambac Assurance estimates, compiled from Securities Data Company, Inc. and the Bond Buyer. Amounts represent gross par amounts issued or insured, respectively, during such year.

The foregoing table illustrates the changes in the total volume and insured volume of new issues of public finance bonds over the past ten years. Changes in volume of public finance bond issuance during this period are primarily attributable to changes in refunding activity related to the then-current interest rate environment, along with the issuers’ new money requirements. Volume since 2002 has exceeded historical levels as a result of the low interest rate environment and considerable infrastructure finance needs. Insured volume as a percentage of total volume (“insured penetration”), which had grown consistently from 1996 through 1998, declined during 1999 and 2000. The decline during 2000 is generally considered to have resulted from the combination of the relatively high credit quality of issues that came to market during the period and the firmness in premium pricing in the industry. During 2001 through 2005, the insured penetration has increased, largely the result of budget deficits experienced by municipalities and the corresponding flight to quality by investors.

In the U.S. public finance market, an issuer typically pays an up-front premium to Ambac Assurance at the time the policy is issued. Premiums are usually quoted as a percentage of the total amount of principal and interest that is scheduled to become due during the life of the insured bonds.

Proposed new public finance bond issues are submitted to Ambac Assurance by issuers (or their investment bankers or financial advisors) to determine their suitability for financial insurance. Public finance bond issues are sold on either a competitive or a negotiated basis. With respect to competitive issues, an issuer will publish a notice of sale soliciting bids for the purchase of a proposed issue of bonds. Potential bidders on the bonds then form syndicates. These syndicates then solicit a determination from some or all of the financial guarantors whether an issue is suitable for financial guarantee and at what premium rate and on what terms. The syndicate then determines whether to bid on the issue with a financial guarantee (and if so, with which financial guarantor) or without a financial guarantee. The issuer then generally selects the syndicate with the lowest bid. In a negotiated offering, the issuer has already selected an investment bank and that investment bank solicits premium quotes and terms from the financial guarantors.

 

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Ambac Assurance also provides financial guarantees on public finance bonds outstanding in the secondary market that are typically purchased by an institution to hedge or facilitate the sale of bonds in its portfolio or inventory. The financial guarantee generally increases the sale price of bonds (typically by an amount greater than the cost of the policy) and affords a wider secondary market and therefore greater marketability to a given issue of previously issued bonds. As is the case with new issues, the premium is generally payable in full at the time of policy issuance. Ambac Assurance employs the same underwriting standards on secondary market issues that it does on new public finance issues.

Ambac Assurance guaranteed gross par of $53.8 billion, $44.6 billion and $43.0 billion in 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively, in the U.S. public finance market. Public Finance new business guaranteed represented 43%, 38% and 37% of total gross par guaranteed for 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” located in Part II, Item 7 for further information.

The table below shows our ten largest Public Finance exposures, by repayment source, as a percentage of total Financial Guarantee net par outstanding at December 31, 2005:

 

(Dollars in Millions)

   Ambac
Ratings (1)
    Net Par
Outstanding
   % of Total
Net Par
Outstanding

California State—GO

   A     $ 2,136    0.4%

California Department of Water Resources, Power Supply

   A       1,694    0.4%

MTA, NY, Transportation Revenue (Farebox)

   A       1,684    0.4%

NYS Thruway Authority, Highway & Bridge Revenue

   AA -     1,464    0.3%

New Jersey Turnpike Authority Revenue

   A       1,379    0.3%

New York City, NY—GO

   A +     1,322    0.3%

Washington State—GO

   AA       1,289    0.3%

New Jersey Economic Development Authority—School Facilities Construction

   A +     1,137    0.2%

New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority—Transportation System

   A +     1,122    0.2%

South Carolina Transportation Infrastructure Bank Revenue

   A -     1,092    0.2%
             

Total

     $ 14,319    3.0%
             

 

(1) Internal Ambac credit ratings are provided solely to indicate the underlying credit quality of guaranteed obligations based on the view of Ambac Assurance. They are subject to revision at any time and do not constitute investment advice. Ambac Assurance, or one of its affiliates, has insured the obligations listed and may also provide other products or services to the issuers of these obligations for which Ambac may have received premiums or fees.

U.S. Structured Finance and Asset-backed Market

Financial guarantees of securities in the U.S. structured finance and asset-backed market are typically issued in connection with transactions in which the securities being issued are secured by or payable from a specific pool of financial or cash flow generating assets. This pool of assets has an identifiable cash flow or market value and is generally held by a special purpose entity. Structured finance and asset-backed obligations insured by Ambac Assurance generally have the benefit of over-collateralization and/or other forms of credit enhancement to mitigate credit risks associated with the related assets. These forms of credit enhancement are designed to absorb the expected losses in these transactions.

 

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Structured finance obligations include the securitization of a variety of asset types such as mortgages, home equity loans, auto loans, student loans, credit card debt, leases, commercial asset-backed securities and pooled debt obligations originated in the United States (“Structured Finance”). Included within the commercial asset-backed sector are securitizations of operating assets, including aircraft, rental car fleets, and rail cars, as well as film and publishing royalties.

Structured finance includes credit enhancement for asset-backed commercial paper conduits (“conduits”). Conduits are used by issuers to efficiently fund assets in the short-term commercial paper market. Typically sponsored by financial institutions, the conduits usually purchase financial assets and asset-backed securities, and issue commercial paper to fund the purchase of the assets. The typical conduit structure provides Ambac with significant credit protection prior to a claim on Ambac’s insurance policy. A conduit requires program-wide credit enhancement as one of several elements needed to support the conduit’s credit rating for the structure, of which Ambac provides a senior portion.

Structured Finance also includes the credit enhancement of pooled debt obligations, including structured credit derivatives. These transactions involve the securitization of a diverse portfolio of corporate bonds and loan obligations and asset-backed securities (the “Securitized Assets”). The transaction structure provides certain financial protection to Ambac Assurance. This financial protection can take several forms, however, the most common are over-collateralization, first loss and excess spread. In the case of over-collateralization (e.g., the principal amount of the Securitized Assets exceeds the principal amount of the structured finance obligations guaranteed by Ambac Assurance), the structure allows the transaction to experience defaults among the Securitized Assets before a default is experienced on the structured finance obligations that have been guaranteed by Ambac Assurance. In the case of first loss, the financial guarantee insurance policy only covers a senior layer of losses. A subordinated layer of losses is either retained by the seller or sold off in the form of equity and mezzanine debt to other investors. In the case of excess spread, the financial assets generate cash flow in the form of interest that is in excess of the interest payments on the related debt.

Unlike the public finance market in which a substantial portion of the deals is bid competitively by the financial guarantors, the structured and asset-backed market is often a negotiated one. The financial guarantor will work directly with the investment bank or client to create an acceptable structure once having been awarded the business.

The U.S. structured finance and asset-backed market in which Ambac Assurance provides financial guarantees is broad and varied, comprising public issues and private placements. The increasing array of classes of assets securitized or guaranteed, and the ongoing rapid changes to the market, makes estimating the aggregate size of the market that we participate in difficult.

Premiums for structured finance and asset-backed policies are typically based on a percentage of principal insured. Structured finance and asset-backed premiums can be collected in a single payment at policy inception date or collected periodically (e.g., monthly, quarterly or annually) from the cash flow generated by the underlying assets.

Ambac Assurance guaranteed gross par of $58.8 billion, $53.4 billion and $50.2 billion in 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively, in the U.S. structured finance and asset-backed market. U. S. Structured Finance new business guaranteed represents 47%, 45% and 44% of total gross par guaranteed for 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” located in Part II, Item 7 for further discussion.

 

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The table below shows our ten largest Structured Finance transactions, as a percentage of total financial guarantee net par outstanding at December 31, 2005:

 

($ in Millions)

  

Ambac

Rating (1)

   

Net Par

Outstanding

  

% of Total

Net Par

Outstanding

Private Structured Finance Pool

   AA     $ 2,767    0.6%

Countrywide Revolving Home Equity Loan Trust 2005—F

   BBB +     2,499    0.5%

Cendant Rental Car Funding

   BBB       2,415    0.5%

Iowa Student Loan Liquidity Corporation Revenue Bonds

   A       1,900    0.4%

Hertz Vehicle Financing, LLC Series 2005-2

   BBB       1,847    0.4%

Michigan Higher Education Student Loan Authority

   AA       1,759    0.4%

Private Structured Finance Pool

   AAA       1,644    0.3%

Vermont Student Assistance Corporation Revenue Bonds

   A       1,596    0.3%

ARG Rental Car Funding Corporation

   BBB       1,384    0.3%

Synthetic RMBS

   AAA       1,375    0.3%
             

Total

     $ 19,186    4.0%
             

 

(1) Internal Ambac credit ratings are provided solely to indicate the underlying credit quality of guaranteed obligations based on the view of Ambac Assurance. They are subject to revision at any time and do not constitute investment advice. Ambac Assurance, or one of its affiliates, has insured the obligations listed and may also provide other products or services to the issuers of these obligations for which Ambac may have received premiums or fees.

International Finance Market

Outside of the United States, structured finance and asset-backed issuers, utilities, sovereign and sub-sovereign issuers, and other issuers have used financial guarantee products, particularly in markets throughout Western Europe. In the United Kingdom, ongoing privatization efforts have shifted certain risks associated with the development or operation of infrastructure projects from the government to market participants, thus prompting investors in such projects to seek the security of financial guarantee products. These privatization efforts are currently being initiated in most other European countries as well. In Western Europe and the emerging markets, interest in asset-backed securitization is expanding.

While the principles of securitization have been increasingly applied in overseas markets, development in particular countries has varied as a result of the relative sophistication of the local capital markets and the impact of legal and financial regulatory requirements. It is anticipated that securitization will continue to expand internationally, albeit at varying rates in each country. Ambac Assurance UK Limited, insures a wide array of obligations in the international markets including infrastructure financings, asset-securitizations, pooled debt obligations (including structured credit derivatives), utility obligations, whole company securitizations (e.g. securitizations of substantially all of the operating assets of a corporation) and other obligations.

Ambac Assurance’s strategy in the international markets is to strengthen its franchise in developed markets by focusing on high quality infrastructure, structured finance, securitization, and utility finance transactions, and in emerging markets by focusing on top tier future flow transactions (structured transactions secured by U.S. Dollar cash flows generated from exports or payment remittances) and pooled debt obligations.

Ambac UK, which is authorized and regulated in the United Kingdom to provide certain classes of general financial guarantees (and is also authorized to conduct business throughout much of the

 

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European Union), has been Ambac Assurance’s primary vehicle for directly issuing financial guarantee policies in the United Kingdom and the European Union. In February 2005, Ambac UK established a branch office in Milan, Italy. Ambac UK has entered into net worth maintenance and reinsurance agreements with Ambac Assurance, which support its triple-A ratings.

Ambac Assurance is party to an alliance in Japan with Sompo Japan Insurance Inc. (“Sompo Japan”). Although the development of the Japanese securitization market has been slow, we believe that this alliance is competitively positioned for future growth.

While there is evidence that the volume of international structured finance transactions has increased in the recent past, unlike the U.S. public finance and domestic asset-backed markets, there are few statistics that effectively track aggregate volumes in the global markets. There are several reasons for this, including the small relative size of individual markets, different currencies, the varied nature of the deals coming to market, the early stages of development of certain asset classes and the fact that many international deals are privately placed.

Premiums for international finance policies are based on a percentage of either principal or principal and interest insured. The timing of the collection of international finance premiums varies among individual transactions; some are collected in a single payment at policy inception date and others are collected periodically (e.g., monthly, quarterly or annually).

Ambac Assurance guaranteed gross par of $12.7 billion, $20.1 billion and $22.1 billion in 2005, 2004 and 2003, respectively, in the international market. International Finance new business guaranteed represented 10%, 17% and 19% of total gross par guaranteed for 2005, 2004 and 2003 respectively. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” located in Part II, Item 7 for further discussion.

The table below shows our ten largest International Finance transactions as a percentage of total financial guarantee net par outstanding at December 31, 2005:

 

($ in Millions)

  

Ambac

Rating(1)

  

Net Par

Outstanding

   % of Total
Net Par
Outstanding
 

Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate Pool

   AAA    $ 2,415    0.5 %

Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate Pool

   AA-      2,127    0.4  

RMAC Mortgage Services Limited 2004-NSP2

   A-      2,089    0.4  

Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate Pool

   AAA      2,015    0.4  

Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate Pool

   AAA      1,577    0.3  

Mitchells & Butlers Finance plc-UK Pub Securitisation

   A      1,468    0.3  

Synthetic RMBS

   AAA      1,203    0.3  

Telereal Securitisation plc

   AA      1,139    0.2  

Synthetic CDO—IG Corporate Pool

   AAA      1,118    0.2  

Synthetic RMBS

   AAA      1,095    0.2  
                

Total

      $ 16,246    3.2 %
                
(1) Internal Ambac credit ratings are provided solely to indicate the underlying credit quality of guaranteed obligations based on the view of Ambac Assurance. They are subject to revision at any time and do not constitute investment advice. Ambac Assurance, or one of its affiliates, has insured the obligations listed and may also provide other products or services to the issuers of these obligations for which Ambac may have received premiums or fees.

 

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Risk Management

Ambac Financial Group has a Portfolio Risk Management Committee (“PRMC”) which has established various procedures and controls to monitor and manage credit risk. The PRMC consists of senior risk management professionals and senior management of Ambac Financial Group. Its purview is enterprise-wide and its focus is on risk limits and measurement, concentration and correlation of risk, and the attribution of economic and regulatory capital in a portfolio context.

Ambac Financial Group has a Transaction Standards Committee which evaluates the suitability of transactions and products for Ambac participation with particular emphasis on potential legal, accounting, regulatory and/or reputation risks.

Underwriting guidelines, policies and procedures have been developed by Ambac Assurance’s management with the intent that Ambac Assurance guarantees only those obligations which, in the opinion of Ambac Assurance underwriting officers, are of investment grade quality with a remote risk of loss. However, losses may occur and it is Ambac Assurance’s policy to provide for loss reserves on non-derivative insurance policies that are adequate to cover probable and estimable losses. For derivative insurance policies and structured credit derivatives, changes in fair value are reflected currently in net income. See “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and Note 2 and Note 6 of Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements, located in Part II, Items 7 and 8, respectively, for further information.

The underwriting process involves review of structural, legal, political and credit issues, including compliance with current Ambac Assurance underwriting standards. These standards are reviewed periodically by management. Additionally, the underwriting process often entails on-site due diligence covering the parties to the transaction, such as the issuer, originator, servicer or manager.

The decision to guarantee an issue is based upon such credit factors as the issuer’s ability to repay the bonds, the bond’s security features and the bond’s structure, rather than upon an actuarial prediction of the likelihood that the issuer will default on the underlying debt obligation.

Members of Ambac Assurance’s underwriting staff review all requests for guarantees. The underwriting process is designed to screen issues and begins with a credit analysis by the primary analyst assigned to the issue. The credit is then reviewed within the primary analyst’s underwriting group. At a minimum, the primary analyst’s recommendation to qualify or reject an issue must be approved by a concurring analyst and a credit officer. The number of additional approvals required for a particular credit depends in part on Ambac Assurance’s aggregate exposure to the credit. In some cases, the complexity of the credit or whether it is a new asset type are determining factors in the approval/review process. Ambac Assurance has three established credit committees comprised of senior credit officers, credit and market risk managers and attorneys. All large, complex or new types of credits recommended by the underwriting group, must be formally presented to the credit committee for approval. For certain issues, the primary analyst’s recommendation must be approved by a concurring analyst and credit officer and need not be formally presented to the credit committee for approval.

 

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Ambac Assurance assigns internal ratings to individual exposures as part of the underwriting process and at surveillance reviews. These internal ratings, which represent Ambac Assurance’s independent judgments, are based upon underlying credit parameters similar to those used by rating agencies.

Public Finance Underwriting:

In addition to general underwriting standards, each asset class, and bond type within each asset class, has more specific underwriting criteria. For example, the critical risk factors for public finance credits will include the credit quality of the issuer, type of issue, the repayment source, the type of security pledged, the presence of restrictive covenants, and the bond’s maturity. Each bond issue is evaluated in accordance with, and the final premium rate is a function of, the particular factors as they relate to such issue.

Underwriting criteria that are applied for each bond type reflect the differences in, for example, economic and social factors, debt management, project essentiality, financial management, legal and administrative factors, revenue sources and security features.

Structured Finance Underwriting:

Structured finance and asset-backed obligations generally entail three forms of risks: (i) asset risk, which relates to the amount and quality of the underlying assets; (ii) structural risk, which relates to the extent to which the transaction’s legal structure and credit support provides protection from loss; and (iii) servicer risk, which is the risk that poor performance at the servicer or manager level contributes to a decline in cash flow available to the transaction. Ambac Assurance addresses these risks through its credit underwriting guidelines, standards and procedures.

In general, the amount and quality of asset coverage required is determined by the historical performance of the underlying asset type or the transaction’s specific underlying assets. The future performance or value of the underlying pool of assets will generally determine whether the amount of over-collateralization or other credit enhancement ultimately is sufficient to protect investors, and therefore the guarantor, against adverse asset performance. The ability of the servicer or manager to properly service and/or manage the underlying assets often is a factor in determining future asset performance.

Structured and asset-backed securities are usually designed to protect the investors, and therefore the guarantor, from the bankruptcy or insolvency of the entity that originated the underlying assets as well as from the bankruptcy or insolvency of the servicer of those assets. The servicer of the assets is typically responsible for collecting cash payments on the underlying assets and forwarding such payments, net of servicing fees, to a trustee for the benefit of the issuer. Other issues include whether the sale of the assets by the originator to the issuer would be upheld in the event of the bankruptcy or insolvency of the originator and whether the servicer of the assets may be permitted or stayed from remitting to investors cash collections held by it or received by it after the servicer or the originator becomes subject to bankruptcy or insolvency proceedings.

Ambac manages servicer execution risk for its structured finance exposures in several ways. In connection with the initial decision to guarantee, Ambac Assurance analyzes the capitalization and credit quality, the experience and financial strength of the servicer of the underlying assets. Thereafter, Ambac monitors the performance of transaction servicers through a combination of (i) on-site servicer

 

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reviews; (ii) annual compliance certificates received from servicer management; (iii) independent rating agency information and (iv) a review of servicer financial information. On-site servicer reviews typically include a review of the collection, default management and quality control processes. Where appropriate, a third-party, such as an independent audit firm, may perform the review. In addition, Ambac may require a back-up servicer or require “term-to-term” servicing which provides for limited, renewable servicing terms in order to provide greater flexibility regarding the servicing arrangements of a particular transaction.

A significant portion of Ambac Assurance’s structured finance exposures relate to the mortgage-backed and home equity loan market and as such, Ambac Assurance seeks to work with high quality, well-capitalized issuers and servicers. The issuers typically originate or purchase residential mortgages, home equity loans or home equity lines of credit, which are in turn sold by the issuers in the form of asset-backed securities.

The following table presents the top five servicers by net par outstanding, for global structured finance exposures:

 

($ in Millions)

   Asset Class    Net Par
Outstanding

Servicer:

     

Countrywide Home Loans.

   Mortgage-backed    $ 16,100

RFC—Homecomings Financial

   Mortgage-backed      7,416

HomeLoan Management Ltd.

   Mortgage-backed      5,485

Nelnet

   Student loans      4,747

Chevy Chase Bank, F.S.B.

   Mortgage-backed      4,273

International Finance Underwriting:

In the international markets, Ambac Assurance seeks to guarantee transactions of the same high credit standards it applies in its U.S. business. However, an understanding of the unique risks related to the particular country and region that could impact the credit of the issuer is necessary. These risks include legal and political environments, capital market dynamics, foreign exchange issues, and the degree of governmental support. Ambac Assurance monitors these risks carefully and addresses them through its credit underwriting guidelines, (which include country limits), underwriting procedures and transaction docum